长江中游湖泊表层沉积物多环芳烃的分布、来源特征及其生态风险评价

为明确长江中游地区湖泊沉积物中多环芳烃（PAHs）的分布特征、来源及其生态风险,于2018年7月采集了该地区12个湖泊的表层沉积物样品.采用气相色谱-质谱联用仪（GC-MS）测定了沉积物中16种PAHs的含量.结果表明：12个湖泊沉积物中均检测出16种优控PAHs,PAHs的总含量在572.7~1766.2 ng/g （dw）之间（均值为976.5±285.0 ng/g （dw））.武汉市东湖沉积物中PAHs含量最高,达到1634.8±111.4 ng/g （dw）.与国内外其他地区湖泊沉积物相比,长江中游地区湖泊沉积物中PAHs含量高于国内偏远地区的抚仙湖、青海湖及博斯腾湖,低于东部地区的巢湖、太湖及美国经济工业发达地区的湖泊.根据单体PAH的聚类分析结果,12个湖泊可以分成3种类型,类型1主要以低环为主,占比为64.04%±7.02%,类型2低环和中高环分布相对平均,分别为50.76%±5.17%和49.24%±5.17%,类型3低、中、高环分布相对平均,占比分别为35.35%±3.56%、26.17%±0.45%和38.48%±3.84%.综合该区域PAHs的分布特征及异构体比值法与主成分分析法的结果表明,类型1湖泊沉积物中PAHs主要来源为煤炭、木材等生物质的燃烧源;类型2和类型3湖泊沉积物中PAHs主要来源为煤炭、木材等生物质的低温燃烧以及机动车等燃烧汽油、柴油的尾气排放和工业炼焦等化石燃料的高温燃烧源.沉积物中PAHs与总有机碳（TOC）之间显著的相关性表明,沉积物中TOC含量是影响长江中游湖泊沉积物中PAHs归趋分布的主要因素.长江中游流域湖泊沉积物中PAHs的RQ_NCs值均小于800,且RQ_MPCs值大于1的风险商值法生态风险评价结果表明,长江中游流域湖泊表层沉积物中PAHs整体呈中等风险水平.     

台风利奇马(1909)双眼墙特征及长时间维持机制

利用CIMSS微波卫星产品和多普勒天气雷达资料,分析超强台风利奇马（1909）的长时间双眼墙特征,并采用集合卡尔曼滤波方法同化雷达径向风资料,诊断利奇马双眼墙的三维结构演变特征。结果表明：在双眼墙演变过程初期,受强垂直风切变和中高层干空气入侵的影响,外眼墙对流减弱,呈非对称特征。Sawyer-Eliassen方程诊断结果显示：台风利奇马（1909）内、外眼墙次级环流之间的相互作用不明显,不同于发生眼墙替换过程的台风,其外眼墙处非绝热加热引起的下沉运动发生在内眼的眼心,内眼墙的上升运动并未受到外眼墙次级环流抑制。另外,在强垂直风切变条件下,非对称的外眼墙不能持续增强收缩并取代内眼墙,因此双眼墙结构得以长时间维持。可见,台风利奇马（1909）外眼墙的非对称结构和特殊的次级环流分布是其双眼墙能够长期维持的重要原因。     

Study on basement structures of the northeast Pamirs

1 Geologic setting and layout of the DSS observation network In the studied area there are three major tectonic units, which are referred to as Tianshan fold system, Tarim basin and West Kunlun fold system (Bureau of Geology and Mineral Resources of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, 1993). The Tianshan fold system is a polycyclic geosyncline on the north edge of Tarim basin, and an orogenic zone resulting from collision and convergence between Tarim block and the Junggar-North Tianshan…     

云南滑坡泥石流灾害精细化气象预警系统

通过开展低纬高原地区MM5 V3不同参数化方案降水模拟试验,建立了基于SGI O350小型机的MM5中尺度数值模式业务系统.使降水预报输出产品时间分辨率小于等于60 min、水平距离分辨率小于等于10 km;对雷达、卫星降水反演资料与气象站及加密雨量站的实测资料用权重法集成为精细化实况降水场;基于滑坡泥石流灾害发生的天气气候背景和不同地质地貌条件下滑坡泥石流与降水的关系研究,采用PP-ES模式,建立了以时间分辨率为12 h、水平距离分辨率为30 km的滑坡泥石流灾害气象等级预报产品为主要内容的云南省精细化滑坡泥石流灾害气象监测预警系统.     

Isotopic and hydrochemical insights into the groundwater characteristics along an arid to semi-humid climate gradient in China

In arid to semi-arid regions, groundwater is a critical water resource heavily relied upon, with the recharge sources and patterns being predominantly shaped by climate change and regional disparities. To compare the characteristics of groundwater in the endorheic and exorheic river basins with the climate transition zone of Gansu Province, this study uses isotopic hydrochemical analyses. This study summarizes the differences in regional groundwater recharge and evolutionary patterns. The results shows that the distribution patterns of precipitation isotopes in endorheic and exorheic river basins are opposite to those of groundwater isotopes. Specifically, the precipitation in the endorheic areas is more depleted in heavy isotopes, whereas the groundwater is more enriched. Both endorheic areas and exorheic areas exhibit similar characteristics of groundwater hydrochemical evolution, evolving from low-mineralization Mg²⁺ HC ${\mathrm{O}}_3^{-}$ recharge water to Na⁺ Cl⁻ type water with saline characteristics. The former is primarily replenished by surface water, whereas the latter is primarily replenished by precipitation. Variations in recharge patterns along with the differences in climatic conditions lead to distinct groundwater conditions in the two regions.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF ATMOSPHERIC HEATING AND ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION DURING ACTIVE PERIOD OF 500 hPa HIGH OVER THE TIBETAN PLATEAU IN SUMMER

In correspondence with the establishment of the“upper high and lower high”pressure pattern due to the activitiesof 500 hPa high over the Tibetan Plateau in summer,a series of changes of the East Asia atmospheric circulation willtake place.In this paper,the distributions of divergence and vertical velocity of 500 hPa high,the evolutions of atmos-pheric heat source,the variations of vorticity and zonal wind at 100 hPa level and vertical meridional cell over theTibetan Plateau etc.are statistically analyzed.Thus,we can see that the ascending motion and the convective heatingover the Tibetan Plateau,the South Asia high and the westerly jet on the north of the Plateau at 100 hPa level are weak-ened.The northern branch and the southern branch of the easterly jet on the south of the Plateau merge into a singlewhole and situate on the south of the former northern branch.In the meantime,thermodynamic land-sea discrepancy inSouth Asia and the convective heating over the Bay of Bengal is enhanced.It will play an important role in the mainte-nance of the easterly jet and the South Asia monsoon.     

MULTI-HIERARCHICAL STRUCTURE AND JUMP OF TEMPERATURE FOR THE GLOBE, CHINA AND YUNNAN OVER THE PAST 100 YEARS

An analysis has been conducted of the multi-hierarchical structure and jump of temperature variation for the globe, China and Yunnan Province over the past 100 years using an auto-adaptive, multi-resolution data filter set up in You, Lin and Deng (1997). The result is shown below in three aspects. (11 The variation of global temperature in this period is marked by warming on a large scale and can be divided into three stages of being cold (prior to 1919), warm (between 1920 and 1978) and warmer (since 1979). Well-defined jumps are with the variation in correspondence with the hierarchical evolution on such scale, occurring in 1920 and 1979 when there is the most substantial jump towards warming. For the evolution on smaller scales, however, the variation has shown more of alternations of cold and warm temperatures. The preceding hierarchical structure and warming jump are added with new ones. (2) The trend in which temperature varies is much the same for China and the Yunnan Province, but it is not consistent with that globally, the largest difference being that a weak period of cold temperature in 1955-1978 across the globe was suspended in 1979 when it jumped to a significant warming,while a period of very cold temperature in 1955-1986 in China and Yunnan was not followed by warming in similar extent until 1987. (3) Though there are consistent hierarchical structure and jumping features throughout the year in Yunnan, significant changes with season are also present and the most striking difference is that temperature tends to vary consistently with China in winter and spring but with the globe in summer and fall.     

Farneback光流法在雷达回波追踪中的应用

本文基于Farneback光流法实现了雷达回波追踪,并选取不同天气类型的雷达资料进行测试评估,结果表明:利用Farneback光流法估算的位移场空间分辨率和准确度均较高,空间分辨率为1 km,风向风速与实况吻合,能清晰刻画出风场中的辐合辐散结构。利用主观对比法和客观指标计算法与交叉相关法(TREC)作对比,表明利用Farneback光流法得到的回波位移场精度优于TREC法,应用前景良好。     

On the sensitive areas for targeted observations in ENSO forecasting

本研究分别从初始误差增长和粒子滤波同化的角度识别了 ENSO预测的目标观测敏感区.结果表明:与粒子滤波同化方法确定的敏感区相比,基于初始误差增长确定的敏感区位置稍微偏东,且在东南太平洋也有分布,但整体而言,这两种方法确定的敏感区存在大范围重合区域,是互为印证的.在实际目标观测中,如果考虑使用确定敏感区方法的不确定性,那么选择上述两种方法确定的敏感区的重合区域作为ENSO预测的目标观测敏感区将更为合理.