珠江三角洲电力系统震害预测

在对珠江三角洲电力系统进行抽样调查的基础上，给出了电力系统中网络节点和架空线路的平均破坏率矩阵，并结合地震危险性定数法分析结果预测珠江三角洲电力系统的震害情况。     

鲜水河地区现今形变及地球动力学特征

本文根据非线性理论的新方法，稳健估计技术和多核函数等，对鲜水河地区垂直和水平形变监测资料进行了分析处理，获得了鲜水河地区的现今地壳动态信息，从而分析获得鲜水河断裂的现今活动与地震的关系，鲜水河断裂的现今活动模型及其应力状态。     

向量场的经验正交展开及其应用

本文提出了一种向量场经验正交展开的方法。我们对N×T个离散点上的向量所构成的一个N×T维矩阵,设法寻找一组称为经验正交函数的向量,使其中每一个分量都在均方意义下最接近矩阵的每一列。这组向量可以从特征方程确定。对于有N列元素的矩阵(注意每一个元素都是一个向量),有不少于N个经验正交函数分量。用这些分量所作向量场的正交展开级数收敛很快。给出的展开实际例子说明:向量场经验正交展开,可以比一般标量场经验正交展开,取得更好的效果。     

北京地区暴雨时各层温、湿、风的统计特征

本文分析了北京45个日雨量大于100毫米暴雨的探空,发现在暴雨出现时各层空气异常潮湿而不稳定,并且风有一定强度的垂直切变,尤其是边界层有强切变。当暴雨临近时,R_i数变小,湍流发展,这也是形成暴雨的一个重要原因。我们还发现暖湿空气活动是暴雨形成的有利条件,在暴雨形成过程中是否容易发生不稳定能释放,不在于是否大,而在于低层暖湿空气能否及早抬升达到自由对流高度,以及600毫巴是否足够高。文中所给定量结果为理论工作和预报工作提供了依据或参考。     

箱法在草地温室气体通量野外实验观测中的应用研究

利用静态箱法采样,配以气相色谱仪法分析对草地N2O、CH4和CO2温室气体通量进行了较系统的现场测量,同时对箱体内外温度进行同步观测。在对野外原位观测实验数据进行定量分析的基础上,论证了静态箱法对草原土壤-植被系统的N2O、CH4和CO2通量测量的适用性和科学性,讨论了实验结果的可靠性。     

生命线工程系统中运行设施元件可靠性的分析研究

本文研究了生命线工程系统中运行设施的元件破坏状态和可靠性分析方法，给出元件的破坏状态分级标准、判断准则和元件可靠度的计算方法，这对建立一个实用的生命线工程抗震能力分析的专家系统是十分有意义的。     

Nonlinear seismic response analysis of arch dam-foundation systems- part II opening and closing contact joints

A time-domain method for the analysis of arch dam-foundation rock dynamic interaction during earthquake was proposed, and the dynamic relaxation technique was adopted to obtain the initial static response for dynamic analysis by [Du et al. (2005). The paper has been contributed to Bulletin of earthquake engineering]. In this paper, a nonlinear explicit method in time domain considering the opening and closing effect of contact joints on arch dam during earthquake is further proposed by introducing the dynamic contact force model into the method. The simulation accuracy of dynamic contact force model is verified by comparing its calculation result and test result of scale model on shaking table. Finally, the influence of joints on the seismic response of Xiaowan arch dam is studied by the proposed method and some conclusions are given.     

武汉绕城公路东北段主要工程地质问题研究

为了给项目的设计和施工提供科学依据，对武汉绕城公路东北段软土、膨胀土、砂土地震液化、岩溶、深路堑、高填路基、筑路材料等潜在的地质灾害进行了详细评价，通过采用工程地质测绘及钻探、触探、物探、试验分析等多种勘探、测试手段，对沿线的各种工程地及其危害表现形式进行计算分析，预测施工过程及工程建成后可能出现的岩土工程问题，提出了相应的施工方法，对同类工程的建设具有指导意义。     

Foreword to Journal of Geographical Sciences

In order to strengthen academic exchange of geography between China and other countries,and to offer a publication for exchanging academic ideas of geog-raphers in the world,The Journal of AChinese Geog-raphyis changed to Journal of Geographical Sciences in 2001.     

Design of environmental decision support system and its application to water quality management

1 IntroductionEnvironmental decision support systems could be divided into two categories by their organizational form and system functions. One is regional environmental analytical system based on commercial GIS and assisted by environmental models, such as BASINS developed by the American NEPA using ARC/VIEW as its user platform and including QUAL2E and NPSM as its prediction tools. The other is environmental information and prediction system based on mathematical models, such as…