The little-known earthquakes of 1866 and 1916 in Anatolia (Turkey)

In this paper we assess the size and effects of the earthquakes of 12 May 1866, and 24 January 1916 in Anatolia (Turkey). We show that these events had a magnitude M_s 7.2 and that the former was associated with a 45-km long surface fault break along the north-east part of the East Anatolian Fault Zone. These two earthquakes are chosen among others in order to demonstrate how easy it is to miss out large earthquakes of the historical, even of the early instrumental period, and to draw the incompleteness of many existing catalogues to the attention of those who use them for the estimation of slip rates and the assessment of seismic hazard. Of the two earthquakes studied here, the former was only vaguely known and the latter is not included in Gutenberg and Richter's catalogue.     

Doppler radar spectral width broadening due to beamwidth and wind shear

The spectral width observed by Doppler radars can be due to several effects including the atmospheric turbulence within the radar sample volume plus effects associated with the background flow and the radar geometry and configuration. This study re-examines simple models for the effects due to finite beam-width and vertical shear of the horizontal wind. Analytic solutions of 1- and 2-dimensional models are presented. Comparisons of the simple 2-dimensional model with numerical integrations of a 3-dimensional model with a symmetrical Gaussian beam show that the 2-dimensional model is usually adequate. The solution of the 2-dimensional model gives a formula that can be applied easily to large data sets. Analysis of the analytic solutions of the 2-dimensional model for off-vertical beams reveals a term that has not been included in mathematical formulas for spectral broadening in the past. This term arises from the simultaneous effects of the changing geometry due to curvature within a finite beamwidth and the vertical wind shear. The magnitude of this effect can be comparable to that of the well-known effects of beam-broadening and wind shear, and since it can have either algebraic sign, it can significantly reduce (or increase) the expected spectral broadening, although under typical conditions it is smaller than the beam-broadening effect. The predictions of this simple model are found to be consistent with observations from the VHP radar at White Sands Missile Range, NM.