On the frequency of lake-effect snowfall in the Catskill Mountains

Meltwater from snow that falls in the Catskill/Delaware watershed in the Catskill Mountains in south-central New York contributes to reservoirs that supply drinking water to approximately nine million people in and near New York City (NYC). Using the Interactive Multisensor Snow and Ice Mapping System (IMS) 4-km snow maps from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Ice Center, we identified and tracked 28 lake-effect (LE) storms that deposited snow in the Catskills (2004–2017). These storms, which generally originated from Lake Ontario, but sometimes from Lake Erie, represent an underestimate of the number of LE storms that contribute snowfall to the Catskills snowpack because snowstorms are not visible on IMS maps when they travel over already-snow-covered terrain. Using satellite, meteorological (including NEXRAD and National Weather Service Cooperative Observer Program), and reanalysis data, we identified conditions that contributed to the LE snowstorms and mapped snow-cover extent (SCE) following the storms. We show that LE snow makes an important contribution to the Catskills snowpack because of the frequency of events, even though the total amount of each event may, on average, be small. The IMS 4-km maps tend to overestimate SCE compared to MODerate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer and Landsat snow maps. Climate change could impact LE storms and the distribution of rain versus snow in the Catskills, which may affect future reservoir operations in the NYC Water Supply System and winter recreation in the Catskills.     

Use of the Aurelia Metamorphosis Test System to detect subtle effects of selected hydrocarbons and petroleum oil

The Aurelia Metamorphosis Test System was devised to use simple Aurelia polyps as indicator organisms for the detection of subtle effects of petroleum-related hydrocarbons and of Alaskan crude petroleum oil (ACPO) on developmental processes involved in strobilation initiation, differentiation of ephyrae, and genetic modification expressed through cloning. Compounds tested were ACPO, aniline, anthracene, benzanthracene, benzene, benzo[a]pyrene, biphenyl, cresol, naphthalene, perylene, phenol and pyrene. Gross morphology of the ephyrae (patterning, numbers and appearance of structures), statolith and mematocyst numbers, and pulsing behavior were recorded using the light microscope. Selected ephyrae with teratological malformations were studied with the scanning electron microscope and swimming behavior was observed visually. The variety of subtle developmental, behavioral and genetic effects due to marine hydrocarbons detected using the Aurelia Metamorphosis Test System demonstrated that this test system could be used as an early warning system to detect subtle effects of other marine pollutants.     

Ion Implants as Matrix‐Appropriate Calibrators for Geochemical Ion Probe Analyses

Ion microprobe elemental and isotopic determinations can be precise but difficult to quantify. Error is introduced when the reference material and the sample to be analysed have different compositions. Mitigation of such ‘matrix effects’ is possible using ion implants. If a compositionally homogeneous reference material is available which is ‘matrix‐appropriate’ (i.e., close in major element composition to the sample to be analysed, but having an unknown concentration of the element, E, to be determined) then ion implantation can be used to introduce a known amount of an E isotope, calibrating the E concentration and producing a matrix‐appropriate calibrator. Nominal implant fluences (ions cm^?2) are inaccurate by amounts up to approximately 30%. However, ion implantation gives uniform fluences over large areas; thus, it is possible to ‘co‐implant’ an additional reference material of any bulk composition having known amounts of E, independently calibrating the implant fluence. Isotope ratio measurement standards can be produced by implanting two different isotopes, but permil level precision requires postimplant calibration of the implant isotopic ratio. Examples discussed include (a) standardising Li in melilite; (b) calibrating a ²⁵Mg implant fluence using NIST SRM 617 glass and (c) using Si co‐implanted with ²⁵Mg alongside NIST SRM 617 to produce a calibrated measurement of Mg in Si.     

Estimating Preferential Flow in Karstic Aquifers Using Statistical Mixed Models

Karst aquifers are highly productive groundwater systems often associated with conduit flow. These systems can be highly vulnerable to contamination, resulting in a high potential for contaminant exposure to humans and ecosystems. This work develops statistical models to spatially characterize flow and transport patterns in karstified limestone and determines the effect of aquifer flow rates on these patterns. A laboratory‐scale Geo‐HydroBed model is used to simulate flow and transport processes in a karstic limestone unit. The model consists of stainless steel tanks containing a karstified limestone block collected from a karst aquifer formation in northern Puerto Rico. Experimental work involves making a series of flow and tracer injections, while monitoring hydraulic and tracer response spatially and temporally. Statistical mixed models (SMMs) are applied to hydraulic data to determine likely pathways of preferential flow in the limestone units. The models indicate a highly heterogeneous system with dominant, flow‐dependent preferential flow regions. Results indicate that regions of preferential flow tend to expand at higher groundwater flow rates, suggesting a greater volume of the system being flushed by flowing water at higher rates. Spatial and temporal distribution of tracer concentrations indicates the presence of conduit‐like and diffuse flow transport in the system, supporting the notion of both combined transport mechanisms in the limestone unit. The temporal response of tracer concentrations at different locations in the model coincide with, and confirms the preferential flow distribution generated with the SMMs used in the study.     

Pyrite Oxidation Halts Migration of a Phosphorus Plume

We have established a monitoring record of phosphate (PO₄³⁻) migration in the Long Point, ON campground septic system plume that now spans 26 years. Previously, at year 16 (2006), a P plume 16 m in length was documented and provided a good fit with an analytical advection dispersion model when a P migration velocity of 0.8 m/yr was used (retardation factor of 37) and when P behaved in an otherwise conservative manner (sorption only). However, between years 16 and 26 (2016), the P plume length expanded by only 2 m (0.2 m/yr) and increased in depth by only 0.5 m. The zone of abrupt P depletion at depth occurs close to the zone where SO₄²⁻ concentrations increase in response to NO₃⁻ oxidation of pyrite. Scanning electron microscope images of sand grains from the nose of the P plume reveal abundant authigenic mineral coatings of considerable thickness (∼5 to 20 μm), with Fe as the dominant cation and containing 1 to 3 wt % P. This evidence suggests that P is now being attenuated along a reaction front that coincides with the zone where pyrite oxidation is occurring. P migration may now be controlled by the rate of migration of the pyrite oxidation front and this is several times slower than the previously indicated rate in the shallower, sorption-controlled portion of the plume. Monitoring at Long Point has demonstrated the danger of embracing an overly simplistic conceptual model when attempting to predict wastewater P migration in groundwater and also highlights the unique insight provided by a long-term monitoring record.     

The eastern French Pyrenees: from mountain belt to foreland basin

The Pyrenees is a young mountain belt formed as part of the larger Alpine collision zone. This excursion explores the development of the Pyrenean Mountain Belt in southern France, from its early extensional phase in the mid‐Cretaceous and subsequent collisional phase, through its uplift and erosion in the Late Cretaceous and again in the Eocene, which led to the development of the Aquitaine‐Languedoc foreland basin. One of the complexities of the Pyrenean Belt is that thrusting, uplift and erosion during the Pyrenean orogeny exposed older Variscan basement rocks in the central core of the mountains, rocks which were metamorphosed during an earlier event in the late Carboniferous. Thus, this orogenic belt also tells the story of an earlier collision between Laurussia in the north and Gondwana in the south at c. 300 Ma, prior to the onset of the Pyrenean events at c. 100 Ma. Here we seek to unravel these two separate orogenic stories.     

Astronomical constraints on nebular temperatures: Implications for planetesimal formation

Abstract— Motivated by recent observations of T-Tauri stars and the interpretation of these observations in terms of the properties of circumstellar disks, we derive internal (midplane) temperatures for disks around mature (age ～1 Ma) T-Tauri stars. The estimates are obtained by combining published results for disk masses, sizes, accretion rates, and surface temperatures. For 26 stars (for which adequate data are available), we derive midplane temperatures at 1 AU primarily in the range 200–800 K, and 100–400 K at 2.5 AU. It is likely that the solar nebula, at the same stage of evolution, contained planetesimals and objects destined to become meteorite parent bodies. Observations of young stellar objects at earlier stages of evolution (age ～0.1 Ma) imply that accretion rates were, on the average, at least two orders of magnitude greater than the 10^?8 M_⊙/year rates typical for mature T-Tauri stars. Such high values would result in midplane temperatures at or near the silicate vaporization temperature in the terrestrial planet region. If cooling of the solar nebula from such a hot epoch was responsible for establishing the pervasive elemental fractionation patterns found in chondritic meteorites, then objects in the asteroid belt must have grown rapidly (within 0.1 Ma) to sizes of ～1 km, a conclusion consistent with current theories of planetesimal formation. However, the fact that primitive meteorite parent bodies escaped being melted by the decay of ²⁶Al then implies that further growth of at least some objects was essentially delayed for 2 Ma or more. Such a diminished growth rate appears to be consistent with simulations of the dynamics of solid bodies in the asteroid belt. Other hypotheses seem less attractive. One might assume that the final cooling occurred only after the decay of ²⁶Al (i.e., more than a million years after calcium-aluminum rich inclusion formation), or that ²⁶Al was not ubiquitous in the early solar system. But the first of these conjectures is incompatible with astronomical observations of T-Tauri systems, and the second appears to be contradicted by the evidence for ²⁶Al in diverse meteoritic components. The remaining alternative would then appear to be that, despite a lack of supporting evidence, chondritic fractionation patterns reflect the net effect of many local heating and cooling events and have nothing to do with global nebular cooling. We conclude that the most plausible hypothesis is that both nebular cooling and coagulation of solids to kilometer-sized objects occurred rapidly and that a substantial number of planetesimals in the asteroid belt remained smaller than a few kilometers in radius for at least 2 Ma.     

A Review of: “Urban and Regional Technology Planning: Planning Practice in the Global Knowledge Economy”

Haiti and other developing countries have increasingly turned to emigrant remittances as a potential source of development capital. There is a vigorous debate in the development community about the impacts of remittances, however, with concerns about dependence challenging the optimism about a potential new development engine. Based on interviews with forty-two remittance recipients in Haiti and forty-five corresponding senders in New York State, we find that the remittance economy in Haiti is indeed productive and has the potential to generate employment and other important development benefits. That said, there are important limitations created by broader political–economic conditions and deeply entrenched inequalities.