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151.
Alessio Langella Domenico Calcaterra Piergiulio Cappelletti Abner Colella Maria Pia D’Albora Vincenzo Morra Maurizio de Gennaro 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2009,59(1):145-160
Results of a research carried out on the lavas from Campi Flegrei and Somma-Vesuvius volcanic districts are reported here.
The lavas have been widely employed, since Roman age, in several important monumental buildings of the Campania region, mainly
in the town of Naples and in its province. They are classified as trachytes (Campi Flegrei products), tephri-phonolites and
phono-tephrites (Somma-Vesuvius complex) from a petrographical point of view. Sampling was carried out from well-known exploitation
districts. A substantial chemical difference between the products of the two sectors was confirmed, while petrophysical characterization
evidenced similarity among the two different materials, although some differences were recorded even in samples coming from
the same exploitation site. 相似文献
152.
Dynamic risk processes, which involve interactions at the hazard and risk levels, have yet to be clearly understood and properly integrated into probabilistic risk assessment. While much attention has been given to this aspect lately, most studies remain limited to a small number of site-specific multi-risk scenarios. We present a generic probabilistic framework based on the sequential Monte Carlo Method to implement coinciding events and triggered chains of events (using a variant of a Markov chain), as well as time-variant vulnerability and exposure. We consider generic perils based on analogies with real ones, natural and man-made. Each simulated time series corresponds to one risk scenario, and the analysis of multiple time series allows for the probabilistic assessment of losses and for the recognition of more or less probable risk paths, including extremes or low-probability–high-consequences chains of events. We find that extreme events can be captured by adding more knowledge on potential interaction processes using in a brick-by-brick approach. We introduce the concept of risk migration matrix to evaluate how multi-risk participates to the emergence of extremes, and we show that risk migration (i.e., clustering of losses) and risk amplification (i.e., loss amplification at higher losses) are the two main causes for their occurrence. 相似文献
153.
Correlation between nitrate concentration in groundwater and parameters affecting aquifer intrinsic vulnerability 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
This paper is the result of a study which was carried out in order to verify if the traditional methods to evaluate the intrinsic
vulnerability or vulnerability related parameters, are able to clarify the problem of nitrate pollution in groundwater. In
particular, the aim was to evaluate limitations and problems connected to aquifer vulnerability methods applied to nitrate
contamination prevision in groundwater. The investigation was carried out by comparing NO3
− concentrations, measured in March and November 2004 in the shallow aquifer, and the vulnerability classes, obtained by using
GOD and TOT methods. Moreover, it deals with a comparison between NO3
− concentrations and single parameters (depth to water table, land use and nitrogen input). The study area is the plain sector
of Piemonte (Northern Italy), where an unconfined aquifer nitrate contamination exists. In this area the anthropogenic presence
is remarkable and the input of N-fertilizers and zootechnical effluents to the soil cause a growing amount of nitrates in
groundwater. This approach, used in a large area (about 10,000 km2) and in several monitoring wells (about 500), allowed to compare the efficiency of different vulnerability methods and to
verify the importance of every parameter on the nitrate concentrations in the aquifer. Furthermore it allowed to obtain interesting
correlations in different hydrogeological situations. Correlations between depth to water table, land use and nitrogen input
to the soil with nitrate concentrations in groundwater show unclear situations: in fact these comparisons describe the phenomenon
trend and highlight the maximum nitrate concentrations for each circumstance but often show wide ranges of possible nitrate
concentrations. The same situation could be observed by comparing vulnerability indexes and nitrate concentrations in groundwater.
These results suggest that neither single parameters nor vulnerability methods (GOD and TOT) are able to describe individually
the complex phenomena affecting nitrate concentrations in soil, subsoil and groundwater. In particular, the traditional methods
for vulnerability analysis do not analyze physical processes in aquifers, such as denitrification and nitrate dilution. According
to a recent study in the shallow unconfined aquifer of the Piemonte plain, dilution can be considered as the main cause for
nitrate attenuation in groundwater. 相似文献
154.
The purpose of this work is to evaluate under what conditions it is feasible and with what accuracy it is possible to locate the nucleation point of a large earthquake, given the availability of aftershocks located with high precision by the deployment of a local network. We experiment with several approaches and apply them lo the location of the epicentre of the 1980 November 23 Irpinia earthquake ( M w = 6.9).
First we use local Pg phases selected to optimize the azimuthal coverage, obtaining a well-constrained location with a small statistical error, which typically underestimates the true hypocentre uncertainty.
We then exploit the relative location technique, obtaining stable, almost coincident solutions under three conditions: (1) using multiple independent master events to derive an average epicentre; (2) fitting simultaneously the larger data set for all available master events, using a forward approach; (3) conducting an a priori evaluation of the statistics of station and master events to separate model uncertainties and improve the statistical accuracy of the relative locations. Moreover, only by introducing station statistics can we achieve the desired accuracy of ≅ 1 km in constraining the rupture nucleation point of this large earthquake, and we show that the application of the relative location technique to uncleaned, unweighted data for a single master event provides only a crude epicentre with a confidence ellipse deceivingly smaller than the true hypocentre uncertainty.
The revised epicentre for the 1980 November 23 Irpinia earthquake (48.803 °N-15.302°E) validates the class of multidisciplinary reconstructions of the source process such as the model of Valensise et al. (1989), based on the hypocentre of Westaway & Jackson (1987), and is shifted by almost 13 km to the NW of the epicentre recently proposed by Westaway (1992). 相似文献
First we use local P
We then exploit the relative location technique, obtaining stable, almost coincident solutions under three conditions: (1) using multiple independent master events to derive an average epicentre; (2) fitting simultaneously the larger data set for all available master events, using a forward approach; (3) conducting an a priori evaluation of the statistics of station and master events to separate model uncertainties and improve the statistical accuracy of the relative locations. Moreover, only by introducing station statistics can we achieve the desired accuracy of ≅ 1 km in constraining the rupture nucleation point of this large earthquake, and we show that the application of the relative location technique to uncleaned, unweighted data for a single master event provides only a crude epicentre with a confidence ellipse deceivingly smaller than the true hypocentre uncertainty.
The revised epicentre for the 1980 November 23 Irpinia earthquake (48.803 °N-15.302°E) validates the class of multidisciplinary reconstructions of the source process such as the model of Valensise et al. (1989), based on the hypocentre of Westaway & Jackson (1987), and is shifted by almost 13 km to the NW of the epicentre recently proposed by Westaway (1992). 相似文献
155.
Jochen Woessner Danciu Laurentiu Domenico Giardini Helen Crowley Fabrice Cotton Gottfried Grünthal Gianluca Valensise Ronald Arvidsson Roberto Basili Mine Betül Demircioglu Stefan Hiemer Carlo Meletti Roger W. Musson Andrea N. Rovida Karin Sesetyan Massimiliano Stucchi The SHARE Consortium 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2015,13(12):3553-3596
156.
Francesca?Bay Stefan?WiemerEmail author Donat?F?h Domenico?Giardini 《Journal of Seismology》2005,9(2):223-240
Spectral ground motion (1 to 15 Hz) as a function of distance is modeled for events spanning 3.0 <Mw ≤ 7.0 in Switzerland. The parameters required to simulate ground motion with a stochastic approach are inverted from 2958 horizontal and vertical component waveforms of small to moderate size events (2.0 ≤ M{L} ≤ 5.2) in the distance range 10 to 300 km recorded on hard rock sites. Using a Monte Carlo simulation, we establish a significantly different amplification of about a factor of 1.9 between the Alpine Foreland and the Alps. To assess the trade-off between the free parameters of our stochastic model and their influence on the predictive ground motion relationship, we perform a grid search over the five-dimensional solution space. The uncertainties are separated into epistemic and aleatory parts; the main epistemic uncertainty is attributed to the lack of data forM > 5. To constrain the viable models at large magnitudes, results from worldwide scaling studies are evaluated in light of the Swiss data. The model that explains best the low observed stress drops at small magnitudes (Δσ ≅ 3 bar) yet matches observed intensities of historical earthquakes assumes a stress drop increasing with moment asM00.25. For three sites in Switzerland we evaluate the sensitivity of the epistemic uncertainty by computing probabilistic hazard curves. Our model offers the most comprehensive and detailed study of spectral ground motion for Switzerland to date. 相似文献
157.
158.
Shake table testing on restoring capability of double concave friction pendulum seismic isolation systems 下载免费PDF全文
Felice Carlo Ponzo Antonio Di Cesare Gianmarco Leccese Domenico Nigro 《地震工程与结构动力学》2017,46(14):2337-2353
After an earthquake, non‐negligible residual displacements may affect the serviceability of a base isolated structure, if the isolation system does not possess a good restoring capability. The permanent offset does not affect the performance unless the design is problematic for utilities, also considering possible concerns related to the maintenance of the devices. Starting from experimental and analytical results of previous studies, the restoring capability of Double Concave Friction Pendulum bearings is investigated in this paper. A simplified design suggestion for the estimation of maximum expected residual displacements for currently used friction pendulum systems is then validated. The study is based on controlled‐displacement and seismic input experiments, both performed under unidirectional motion. Several shaking table tests have been carried out on a three‐dimensional isolated specimen structure. The same sequence of seismic inputs was applied considering three different conditions of sliding surfaces corresponding to low, medium and high friction. The accumulation of residual displacements is also investigated by means of nonlinear dynamic analysis. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
159.
A succession of depositional sequences, recording middle-late Pleistocene and Holocene glacial–interglacial cycles, documents the impact of short-term tectonic deformation on the western Adriatic margin. The western Adriatic margin is part of the Apennine foreland which was intensely, though variably, deformed during the Meso-Cenozoic evolution of the Adriatic region from a passive margin to a foreland basin. The study area extends offshore Gargano Promontory, an uplifted sector of the Adriatic foreland, and includes three major deformation belts located along or cross-strike to the margin: (1) the NW-SE Gallignani-Pelagosa ridge, (2) the WSW-ENE Tremiti-Pianosa high (both located north of Gargano) and (3) the W-E to NW-SE Gondola fault deformation belt (in the south Adriatic). Long-term deformation along these tectonic lineaments is documented on conventional low-frequency seismic profiles by regional folds and faults affecting Eocene–Miocene units overlain by dominantly draping Plio-Quaternary deposits. At this scale of observation, only north of Gargano Promontory there is some evidence of Plio-Quaternary units thinning against structural highs, thus suggesting that tectonic deformation was protracted through this interval. Based on new high-resolution seismic data, we show that deformation along these pre-existing tectonic structures continued during the Quaternary, affecting middle-late Pleistocene and even Holocene units on the shelf and upper slope north and south of Gargano Promontory. These recent deformations consist of gentle folds and high-angle faults, locally producing topographic relief that affects the stratigraphy and thickness of syn-tectonic deposits. We interpret the small-scale, shallow faults and gentle folds affecting middle-late Pleistocene and Holocene deposits, north and south Gargano Promontory, as the evidence of ongoing foreland deformation along inherited regional fold and fault systems. 相似文献
160.
Received: 3 March 2000 · Accepted: 9 May 2000 相似文献