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551.
A significant number of volcano-tectonic (VT) earthquake swarms, some of which are accompanied by ground deformation and/or
volcanic gas emissions, do not culminate in an eruption. These swarms are often thought to represent stalled intrusions of
magma into the mid- or shallow-level crust. Real-time assessment of the likelihood that a VT swarm will culminate in an eruption
is one of the key challenges of volcano monitoring, and retrospective analysis of non-eruptive swarms provides an important
framework for future assessments. Here we explore models for a non-eruptive VT earthquake swarm located beneath Iliamna Volcano,
Alaska, in May 1996–June 1997 through calculation and inversion of fault-plane solutions for swarm and background periods,
and through Coulomb stress modeling of faulting types and hypocenter locations observed during the swarm. Through a comparison
of models of deep and shallow intrusions to swarm observations, we aim to test the hypothesis that the 1996–97 swarm represented
a shallow intrusion, or “failed” eruption. Observations of the 1996–97 swarm are found to be consistent with several scenarios
including both shallow and deep intrusion, most likely involving a relatively small volume of intruded magma and/or a low
degree of magma pressurization corresponding to a relatively low likelihood of eruption. 相似文献
552.
A series of laboratory flume experiments under conditions of sediment starvation (zero sediment feeding) and recirculation were conducted in order to identify the temporal evolution and surface properties of static and mobile armour layers. The experiments were carried out in an 8 m long flume using a bimodal grain‐size mixture (D50 = 6·2 mm) and a range of shear stresses ranging from 4·0 to 8·6 N m–2. The results confirm that a static armour layer is coarser than a mobile one, and that the grain size of a mobile armour layer is rather insensitive to changes in the imposed flow strength. An analysis of laser scan bed surveys revealed the highly structured and imbricated nature of the static armour layer. Under these conditions the vertical roughness length scale of the bed diminished and it became topographically less complex at higher forming discharges. The topography of mobile armour layers created by rising discharges differed. They exhibited a greater roughness length scale and were less organized, despite the fact that the grain size of the surface material maintained an approximately constant value during recirculation. Also, the mobile armour tended to create larger cluster structures than static armour layers when formed by higher discharges. These differences were mainly due to the transport of the coarser fraction of bed sediments, which diminished to zero over the static armour because of being hidden within the bed, whereas in the mobile armour the coarser particles protruded into the flow and were actively transported, increasing the vertical roughness length scale. Overall, the results show that an examination of the grain size characteristics of armour layers cannot be used to infer sediment mobility and bed roughness. Detailed elevation models of exposed surfaces of gravel‐bed rivers are required to provide critical insight on the sediment availability and sedimentation processes. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
553.
Interceptors have been widely used in recent years in fast ferries and small high-speed leisure and commercial craft for ride and trim control, and steering. In the context of high-performance sailing yachts, they first appeared in 2008 on the yacht Ecover 3 which was dismasted while leading the Vendee Globe Challenge race. However, in spite of their popularity in power craft, few studies have been published investigating the impact of interceptors on vessel performance, and apparently none in the case of sailing yachts. In the current study, interceptors are compared with an aerodynamic device known as a Gurney flap. It is shown that interceptors are generally substantially smaller than Gurney flaps. A comprehensive experiment programme is presented exploring the impact of interceptors on the performance of an Open 60 yacht hull. Results show a marked reduction in calm-water resistance over a wide speed range, with benefits of 10–18% in the speed range between 8 and 20 knots, accompanied by reduced sinkage and trim. The gains observed are much larger than those observed in powercraft, and also substantially greater than those achievable through trim changes by moving ballast longitudinally. The benefits appear to be largely sustained in small waves. 相似文献
554.
Zieger Stefan Greenslade Diana J. M. Aijaz Saima Kepert Jeffrey D. Burton Andrew 《Ocean Dynamics》2021,71(5):559-588
Ocean Dynamics - This paper describes a series of hindcast simulations of 17 tropical cyclones over the northwest shelf region of Australia. Tropical cyclone track and vortex details were obtained... 相似文献
555.
556.
Future variability of droughts in three Mediterranean catchments 总被引:3,自引:3,他引:0
This study investigates the intensity change in typhoons and storm surges surrounding the Korean Peninsula under global warming conditions as obtained from the MPI_ECHAM5 climate model using the A1B series. The authors use the Cyclostationary Empirical Orthogonal Function to estimate future background fields for typhoon simulations from twenty-first-century prediction results. A series of numerical experiments applies WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) and POM (Prinston Ocean Model) models to simulate two historical typhoons, Maemi (2003) and Rusa (2002), and associated storm surges under real historical and future warming conditions. Applying numerical experiments to two typhoons, this study found that their central pressure dropped about 19 and 17 hPa, respectively, when considering the future sea surface temperature (a warming of 3.9 °C for 100 years) over the East China Sea (Exp. 1). The associated enhancement of storm surge height ranged from 16 to 67 cm along the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula. However, when the study considered global warming conditions for other atmospheric variables such as sea-level pressure, air temperature, relative humidity, geopotential height, and wind in the typhoon simulations (Exp. 2), the intensities of the two typhoons and their associated surge heights scarcely increased compared to the results of Exp. 1. Analyzing projected atmospheric variables, the authors found that air temperatures at the top of the storm around 200 hPa increased more than those at the surface in tropical and mid-latitudes. The reduced vertical temperature difference provided an unfavorable condition in the typhoon’s development even under conditions of global warming. This suggests that global warming may not always correlate with a large increase in the number of intense cyclones and/or an increase in associated storm surges. 相似文献
557.
The duration of shoreline occupation at a given sea‐level, coastal response to sea‐level change and the controls on preservation of various shoreline elements can be recognized by detailed examination of submerged shorelines on the continental shelf. Using bathymetric and seismic observations, this article documents the evolution and preservation of an incised valley and lithified barrier complex between ?65 m and ?50 m mean sea‐level on a wave‐dominated continental shelf. The barrier complex is preserved as a series of aeolianite or beachrock ridges backed by laterally extensive back‐barrier sediments. The ridges include prograded cuspate lagoonal shoreline features similar to those found in contemporary lagoons. The incised valley trends shore‐parallel behind the barrier complex and records an early phase of valley filling, followed by a phase of extensive lagoonal sedimentation beyond the margins of the incised bedrock valley. Sea‐level stability at the outer barrier position (ca ?65 m) enabled accumulation of a substantial coastal barrier that remained intact during a phase of subsequent slow sea‐level rise to ?58 m when the lagoon formed. These lagoonal sediments are stripped seawards by bay ravinement processes which caused the formation of several prograded marginal cuspate features. An abrupt rise in sea‐level to ?40 m, correlated with melt‐water pulse 1B, enabled the preservation of thick lagoonal sediments at the top of the incised valley fill and preservation on the sea bed of the cemented core of the barriers. This situation is unique to subtropical coastlines where early diagenesis is possible. The overlying sandy sediment from the uncemented upper portion of the barriers is dispersed by ravinement, partly burying the ridges and protecting the underlying sediments. The high degree of barrier or shoreline preservation is attributed to rapid overstepping of the shoreline, early cementation in favourable climatic conditions and the protection of the barrier cores by sand sheet draping. 相似文献
558.
The results of potassium‐argon measurements are reported. Three samples from the southern end of the New England bathylith confirm its Permian age (240–245 m.y.). Two samples of the “pre‐Permian” granites are not younger than Lower Permian (Hillgrove, 270 m.y.; Barrington Tops, 260 m.y.). A sample of the analcite basalt from Spring Mountain gave an Oligocene age (34 m.y.) by measurements on two separate minerals. 相似文献
559.
D. L. Strusz with contribution by M. R. Banks G. Bischoff B. J. Cooper R. A. Cooper P. G. Flood E. D. Gill J. S. Jell J. W. Pickett N. M. Savage D. L. Sherwin J. A. Talent B. D. Webby & A. J. Wright 《Australian Journal of Earth Sciences》2013,60(4):427-455
Alkali basaltic rocks from the Southern Highlands, N.S.W., contain oxide phases of both high and low pressure origin. The two phases are readily distinguished using chemical and textural criteria. Chemical data for low‐pressure Fe‐Ti oxides indicate that oxygen fugacities of the host lavas range from 10‐12.8 to 10‐8 atm at 950° to 1110°C. In most cases, the oxygen fugacities of the individual lava flows appear to be principally a function of temperature and intrinsic chemical equilibria existing at the time of formation of the basaltic liquid. However, some relatively differentiated flows shows a high degree of oxidation due to volatile enrichment with fractionation. Rare glassy flows show dendritic crystallization of Fe‐Ti oxides. Most flows in which abundant olivine was the first phase to be precipitated also contain Cr‐rich spinels associated, and apparently coeval, with the earliest‐crystallizing olivine. 相似文献
560.
K‐Ar and Rb‐Sr isotopic measurements have been made on the north‐south belt of igneous and metamorphic rocks from the Peninsula Ridge and Yambo Inlier of Cape York Peninsula. Four periods of Palaeozoic igneous activity appear to have been denned. These are (87’Rbλ = 1.39 X 10–11y–1) about 415 m.y., about 400 m.y., 385–390 m.y., and 255–280 m.y., with the youngest dates to the north and northeast. The largest volume of magma, the Kintore Adamellite was emplaced during the 285–390 m.y. period. Initial 87Sr/86Sr ratios range from 0.715 (a granodiorite) through 0.72–0.74 (muscovite adamellite) to 0.76 (leuco‐adamellite), which suggests a high component of old crustal material in the latter types. The host metamorphics grade from greenschist facies in the west to almandine‐amphibolite facies in the centre and south. Limited direct data suggest that the greenschists are older than 1400 m.y. This is supported by intrusive dolerite dating greater than 1800 m.y. Rocks possibly 2000 m.y. old are thus adjacent to the Australian northeast coast and place drastic limitations on the possibility of continual continental growth to the east. Rb/Sr measurements on minerals of the almandine amphibolite rocks record the major Kintore event. Total rock measurements have high uncertainties but give only slightly older figures. Initial 87Sr/86Sr ratios of these apparent total rock isochrons are high, 0.735–0.745. Gross isotopic redistribution must have occurred during the Palaeozoic metamorphism. The Rb/Sr isotopic and geochemical relationships suggest that some of the granitic rocks have been derived from the equivalent of the present greenschist facies suite, and that the almandine amphibolite facies was, in part, remetamorphosed during the Palaeozoic and is possibly partly residual after metamorphic segregation. The region has been examined from the plate tectonic point of view and shows that many of the requirements of a cordilleran‐type mountain belt of Dewey & Bird (1970) existed during the mid‐upper Palaeozoic. The Palmerville Fault and the Hodgkinson Basin are key units in this interpretation. Dolerite, possibly 2000 m.y. old, could be contemporaneous with voluminous dolerites of similar age from the Kimberley region (Australia) and of Venezuela and Guyana. They may be a useful continental breakup indicator, as are the Gondwana dolerites. 相似文献