Rapid forecasting of urban flood inundation using multiple machine learning models

Natural Hazards - Urban flood inundation is worsening as the number of short-duration rainstorms increases, and it is difficult to accurately predict urban flood inundation over a long lead time;...     

滦平盆地陡坡带下白垩统西瓜园组水下粗碎屑岩沉积特征及搬运机制

为探讨陆相断陷湖盆陡坡带构造活动控制下水下粗碎屑岩沉积特征、搬运机制及其演化规律,以滦平断陷盆地陡坡带下白垩统西瓜园组为研究对象,采用无人机倾斜摄影、实测剖面、砾石定向性定量表征等技术方法,从沉积背景、岩相类型、沉积单元及相序特征等方面开展野外露头解剖工作.滦平盆地西瓜园组沉积时期,近岸水下扇沉积于构造沉降速率大、湖平面上升、深水、古地貌陡峭环境,洪水携带粗碎屑沉积沿陡坡带入湖,底部发育与地震活动相关的砾质碎屑流,伴随发育滑动—滑塌沉积,上部发育高密度浊流.随着沉积物不断供给,斜坡坡度逐渐减小;随着粗碎屑沉积搬运距离不断增加,砂砾质碎屑流中砾石表现出明显定向性,高密度浊流所占厚度比例增加;末端以低密度浊流为主.扇三角洲沉积于构造沉降速率相对较低、水深相对较浅、古地貌相对平缓的环境,发育相对成熟的供源体系,汇水系统长度较长,扇三角洲前缘粗碎屑岩由碎屑流向高密度浊流、牵引流、低密度浊流转换.      

四川盆地开江地区WT1井震旦系陡山沱组物源分析及构造背景判断*

为厘清四川盆地开江地区WT1井震旦系陡山沱组地层发育的构造背景,重塑其原型沉积盆地,为重建古地理及油气进一步勘探部署工作提供科学依据,利用岩石学、岩石地球化学及碎屑锆石U-Pb年代学手段对该井陡山沱组物源进行了分析。岩石地化结果表明WT1井陡山沱组沉积物源岩为中基性火山岩类且经历了中等程度化学风化作用;碎屑锆石U-Pb年龄主要记录了915~850Ma、794~714.5Ma以及622~700Ma 3个阶段的构造岩浆活动,与扬子克拉通北缘及邻区Rodinia超大陆的裂解演化过程有关,该构造活动背景下的中基性火山岩是WT1井陡山沱组沉积的主要物质来源。结果表明四川盆地开江地区的陡山沱组发育于拉张伸展构造背景,属克拉通内裂陷盆地沉积,有利于烃源岩层的发育;同时为Rodinia超大陆的裂解演化过程提供了重要的年代学演化证据。该成果对深入认识四川盆地的地质结构、沉积-构造演化以及油气勘探的战略部署等具有极为重要的科学意义。     

A comparative study of different machine learning algorithms in predicting EPB shield behaviour: a case study at the Xi’an metro,China

Acta Geotechnica - Complex geological conditions and/or inappropriate shield tunnel boring machine (TBM) operation can significantly degrade both the excavation and safety of tunnel construction....     

1986-2016年辽宁省强降水气候特征

利用1986—2016年62个国家气象站5—10月的逐日和逐小时降水观测资料,分析了辽宁省强降水的发生规律,包括强降水发生范围,逐年、逐月、逐旬、逐时变化特征、空间分布特征、雨强分布规律等。结果表明：1）1994年辽宁省强降水频繁、雨强大、降水范围大,为典型强降水年份。2）辽宁省强降水主要集中在7—8月,尤其是7月下旬—8月上旬,占总发生次数的38.3%。3）早晨和下午为短时强降水高发时段,上午及夜里为短时强降水的低发时段。4）辽宁省强降水呈东多西少、南多北少特点,存在3个高值区, 2个低值区。5）辽宁省短时强降水以20—40mm/h为主,日强降水以50—100mm/24h为主。     

基于不同摩擦系数水平的滑移隔震体系的相对输入能量与绝对输入能量的差异性分析

定义了能量变化率指标,以简谐激励作用下的滑移隔震结构为例,探讨了摩擦系数对滑移隔震结构能量变化率指标的影响,通过对这些能量指标的研究,分析了系统的相对输入能量和绝对输入能量的差异性随摩擦系数的变化规律,为后续研究提供理论依据。     

洛阳市城市环境气象监测预报服务研究

利用洛阳市环境监测资料和气象资料,分析了洛阳市污染物浓度的日变化、季节变化、年际变化规律,并分析了污染物浓度与气象因子的关系.在此基础上,通过回归分析预报方法、污染潜势预报方法、CAPPS模式预报方法对洛阳市3种主要污染物的浓度和级别进行了24 h和48 h预测,并建立了气象局与环保部门共享的气象和污染数据库平台,为双方今后的合作奠定了基础.     

Landscape Dynamics and Driving Factors in Da＇an County of Jilin Province in Northeast China During 1956-2000

The landscape pattern of Da＇an County, Northeast China has undergone significant changes since the 1950s as a result of climatic change and human activities. The aim of this paper is to quantitatively study landscape pattern and its spatial dynamics of Da＇an County at the landscape level over the nearly 50-year span. Patch dynamics were examined according to land use and land cover change processes built from a series of images, as well as topographic maps, and temporal patterns built from landscape pattern metrics. The transition matrix of landscape patch types and changes of various landscape metrics were applied. The results showed that, from 1956 to 2000, the landscape within the study area had undertaken a complicated evolution in landscape structure and composition. The outstanding characteristic is that saline-alkali land increased and grassland decreased. As some smaller patches amalgamated, the heterogeneity of patch decreased. All those changes were the synthetic result of both climatic and anthropogenic influences, but the predominant factor was different in different parts. In the southern part of the study area, the landscape pattern changes resulted from the modification of climate obviously, while in the northern part, the landscape pattern changes were mainly caused by human activities, such as the conversion between farmland and saline-alkali land. This phenomenon showed that human activities played more important role in the north than in the south of Da＇an County.     

附有标高刻度的三维立体剖面图的模型方法及其在垂直形变分析中的应用

提出了一种用于垂直形变分析的附有标高刻度的三维立体剖面图的全新模型方法 ,介绍了用这一模型方法建立国家复测水准网三维立体剖面图模型的过程。使用表明 ,这一模型方法与目前常用的三维空间表示方法相比 ,在定量、定位分析水准点的沉降变化时具有直观、快速等优点。