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91.
Comparative analysis of contributing parameters for rainfall-triggered landslides in the Lesser Himalaya of Nepal 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
Ranjan Kumar Dahal Shuichi Hasegawa Minoru Yamanaka Santosh Dhakal Netra Prakash Bhandary Ryuichi Yatabe 《Environmental Geology》2009,58(3):567-586
In the Himalaya, people live in widely spread settlements and suffer more from landslides than from any other type of natural
disaster. The intense summer monsoons are the main factor in triggering landslides. However, the relations between landslides
and slope hydrology have not been a focal topic in Himalayan landslide research. This paper deals with the contributing parameters
for the rainfall-triggered landslides which occurred during an extreme monsoon rainfall event on 23 July 2002, in the south-western
hills of Kathmandu valley, in the Lesser Himalaya, Nepal. Parameters such as bedrock geology, geomorphology, geotechnical
properties of soil, and clay mineralogy are described in this paper. Landslide modeling was performed in SEEP/W and SLOPE/W
to understand the relationship of pore water pressure variations in soil layers and to determine the spatial variation of
landslide occurrence. Soil characteristics, low angle of internal friction of fines in soil, medium range of soil permeability,
presence of clay minerals in soil, bedrock hydrogeology, and human intervention were found to be the main contributing parameters
for slope failures in the region. 相似文献
92.
Nicola Nocilla Aldo Evangelista Anna Scotto di Santolo 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2009,42(5):815-833
In recent years, rock fall phenomena in Italy have received considerable attention for risk mitigation through in situ observations
and experimental data. This paper reports the study conducted at Camaldoli Hill, in the urban area of Naples, and at Monte
Pellegrino, Palermo, Italy. The rocks involved are volcanic Neapolitan yellow tuff (NYT) in the former area and dolomitic
limestone in the latter. Both rocks, even though with different strength characteristics, have shown a significant tendency
towards rock fragmentation during run out. This behavior was first investigated by comparing the volumes of removable blocks
on the cliff faces (V
0) and fallen blocks on the slopes (V
f). It was assumed that the ratio V
f/V
0 decreases with the distance (x
f) from the detachment area by an empirical law, which depends on a coefficient α, correlated with the geotechnical properties of the materials involved in the rock fall. Finally, this law was validated
by observation of well-documented natural rock falls (Palermo) and by in situ full-scale tests (Naples). From the engineering
perspective, consideration of fragmentation processes in rock fall modeling provides a means for designing low-cost mitigation
measures. 相似文献
93.
The climate–population relationship has long been conceived. Although the topic has been repeatedly investigated, most of
the related works are Eurocentric or qualitative. Consequently, the relationship between climate and population remains ambiguous.
In this study, fine-grained temperature reconstructions and historical population data sets have been employed to statistically
test a hypothesized relationship between temperature change and population growth (i.e., cooling associated with below average
population growth) in China over the past millennium. The important results were: (1) Long-term temperature change significantly
determined the population growth dynamics of China. However, spatial variation existed, whilst population growth in Central
China was shown to be responsive to both long- and short-term temperature changes; in marginal areas, population growth was
only sensitive to short-term temperature fluctuations. (2) Temporally, the temperature–population relationship was obscured
in some periods, which was attributable to the factors of drought and social buffers. In summary, a temperature–population
relationship was mediated by geographic factors, the aridity threshold, and social factors. Given the upcoming threat posed
by climate change to human societies, this study seeks to improve our knowledge and understanding of the climate–society relationship. 相似文献
94.
A Parameterization of Dry Thermals and Shallow Cumuli for Mesoscale Numerical Weather Prediction 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2
Julien Pergaud Valéry Masson Sylvie Malardel Fleur Couvreux 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2009,132(1):83-106
For numerical weather prediction models and models resolving deep convection, shallow convective ascents are subgrid processes
that are not parameterized by classical local turbulent schemes. The mass flux formulation of convective mixing is now largely
accepted as an efficient approach for parameterizing the contribution of larger plumes in convective dry and cloudy boundary
layers. We propose a new formulation of the EDMF scheme (for Eddy Diffusivity\Mass Flux) based on a single updraft that improves
the representation of dry thermals and shallow convective clouds and conserves a correct representation of stratocumulus in
mesoscale models. The definition of entrainment and detrainment in the dry part of the updraft is original, and is specified
as proportional to the ratio of buoyancy to vertical velocity. In the cloudy part of the updraft, the classical buoyancy sorting
approach is chosen. The main closure of the scheme is based on the mass flux near the surface, which is proportional to the
sub-cloud layer convective velocity scale w
*. The link with the prognostic grid-scale cloud content and cloud cover and the projection on the non- conservative variables
is processed by the cloud scheme. The validation of this new formulation using large-eddy simulations focused on showing the
robustness of the scheme to represent three different boundary layer regimes. For dry convective cases, this parameterization
enables a correct representation of the countergradient zone where the mass flux part represents the top entrainment (IHOP
case). It can also handle the diurnal cycle of boundary-layer cumulus clouds (EUROCS\ARM) and conserve a realistic evolution
of stratocumulus (EUROCS\FIRE). 相似文献
95.
Pietro Salizzoni Massimo Marro Lionel Soulhac Nathalie Grosjean Richard J. Perkins 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2011,141(3):393-414
The turbulent exchange of momentum between a two-dimensional cavity and the overlying boundary layer has been studied experimentally,
using hot-wire anemometry and particle image velocimetry (PIV). Conditions within the boundary layer were varied by changing
the width of the canyons upstream of the test canyon, whilst maintaining the square geometry of the test canyon. The results
show that turbulent transfer is due to the coupling between the instabilities generated in the shear layer above the canyons
and the turbulent structures in the oncoming boundary layer. As a result, there is no single, unique velocity scale that correctly
characterizes all the processes involved in the turbulent exchange of momentum across the boundary layer. Similarly, there
is no single velocity scale that can characterize the different properties of the turbulent flow within the canyon, which
depends strongly on the way in which turbulence from the outer flow is entrained into the cavity and carried round by the
mean flow. The results from this study will be useful in developing simple parametrizations for momentum exchange in the urban
canopy, in situations where the street geometry consists principally of relatively long, uniform streets arranged in grid-like
patterns; they are unlikely to be applicable to sparse geometries composed of isolated three-dimensional obstacles. 相似文献
96.
This paper investigates the impact of climate change on destination choice decisions in a context of domestic coastal tourism in Spain. Destinations are characterized in terms of travel cost and coastal ‘attractors’, such as temperature and beach-related attributes. By means of a discrete choice model based on the random utility theory, these variables are used to explain the observed pattern of interprovincial domestic trips, showing trade-offs between temperature and attractiveness in the probability of a particular destination being chosen. The model is used to investigate the impact of two climate change scenarios on the allocation of domestic tourism within Spain. The findings show that while Spain’s northern colder provinces would benefit from rising temperatures, provinces in the south would experience a decrease in the frequency of trips. 相似文献
97.
The turbulent characteristics of the neutral boundary layer developing over rough surfaces are not well predicted with operational weather-forecasting models. The problem is attributed to inadequate mixing-length models, to the anisotropy of the flow and to a lack of controlled experimental data against which to validate numerical studies. Therefore, in order to address directly the modelling difficulties for the development of a neutral boundary layer over rough surfaces, and to investigate the turbulent momentum transfer of such a layer, a set of hydraulic flume experiments were carried out. In the experiments, the mean and turbulent quantities were measured by a particle image velocimetry (PIV) technique. The measured velocity variances and fluxes \({(\overline{{u_{i}^{\prime}}{u_{j}^{\prime}}})}\) in longitudinal vertical planes allowed the vertical and longitudinal gradients (?/?z and ?/?x) of the mean and turbulent quantities (fluxes, variances and third-order moments) to be evaluated and the terms of the evolution equations for ?e/?t, \({\partial \overline{u^{\prime 2}}/\partial t}\), \({\partial \overline{w^{\prime 2}}/\partial t}\) and \({\partial \overline{{u^{\prime}}{w^{\prime}}}/\partial t}\) to be quantified, where e is the turbulent kinetic energy. The results show that the pressure-correlation terms allow the turbulent energy to be transferred equitably from \({\overline{{u^{\prime}}^{2}}}\) to \({\overline{{w^{\prime}}^{2}}}\). It appears that the repartition between the constitutive terms of the budget of e, \({\overline{{u^{\prime}}^{2}}}\), \({\overline{{w^{\prime}}^{2}}}\) and \({\overline{{u^{\prime}}{w^{\prime}}}}\) is not significantly affected by the development of the rough neutral boundary layer. For the whole evolution, the transfers of energy are governed by the same terms that are also very similar to the smooth-wall case. The PIV measurements also allowed the spatial integral scales to be computed directly and to be compared with the dissipative and mixing length scales, which were also computed from the data. 相似文献
98.
Adequate high-quality data on three-dimensional velocities in the atmospheric surface layer (height \(\delta \)) were acquired in the field at the Qingtu Lake Observation Array. The measurement range occupies nearly the entire logarithmic layer from approximately \(0.006\delta \)–\(0.2\delta \). The turbulence intensity and eddy structures of the velocity fluctuations in the logarithmic region were primarily analyzed, and their variations in the z (wall-normal) direction were revealed. The primary finding was that the turbulent intensity of wall-normal velocity fluctuations exhibits a sharp upswing in the logarithmic region, which differs from classic scaling law and laboratory results. The upswing of the wall-normal turbulence intensity in the logarithmic region is deemed to be linear based on an ensemble of 20 sets of data. In addition, the wall-normal extent of the correlated structures and wall-normal spectra were compared to low Reynolds number results in the laboratory. 相似文献
99.
Yoojin Kim Ha-Rim Kim Yong-Sang Choi WonMoo Kim Hye-Sil Kim 《Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences》2016,52(5):467-477
Statistical seasonal prediction models for the Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) were developed for the late summer (August-October) when the downward trend is dramatic. The absorbed solar radiation (ASR) at the top of the atmosphere in June has a significant seasonal leading role on the SIC. Based on the lagged ASR-SIC relationship, two simple statistical models were established: the Markovian stochastic and the linear regression models. Crossvalidated hindcasts of SIC from 1979 to 2014 by the two models were compared with each other and observation. The hindcasts showed general agreement between the models as they share a common predictor, ASR in June and the observed SIC was well reproduced, especially over the relatively thin-ice regions (of one- or multi-year sea ice). The robust predictability confirms the functional role of ASR in the prediction of SIC. In particular, the SIC prediction in October was quite promising probably due to the pronounced icealbedo feedback. The temporal correlation coefficients between the predicted SIC and the observed SIC were 0.79 and 0.82 by the Markovian and regression models, respectively. Small differences were observed between the two models; the regression model performed slightly better in August and September in terms of temporal correlation coefficients. Meanwhile, the prediction skills of the Markovian model in October were higher in the north of Chukchi, the East Siberian, and the Laptev Seas. A strong non-linear relationship between ASR in June and SIC in October in these areas would have increased the predictability of the Markovian model. 相似文献
100.
Vertical distributions of aerosol optical properties during haze and floating dust weather in Shanghai 下载免费PDF全文
A comparative study on the vertical distributions of aerosol optical properties during haze and floating dust weather in Shanghai was conducted based on the data obtained from a micro pulse lidar.There was a distinct difference in layer thickness and extinction coefficient under the two types of weather conditions.Aerosols were concentrated below 1 km and the aerosol extinction coefficients ranged from 0.25 to 1.50km-1 on haze days.In contrast,aerosols with smaller extinction coefficients(0.20 0.35 km-1) accumulated mainly from the surface to 2 km on floating dust days.The seasonal variations of extinction and aerosol optical depth(AOD) for both haze and floating dust cases were similar greatest in winter,smaller in spring,and smallest in autumn.More than 85%of the aerosols appeared in the atmosphere below 1 km during severe haze and floating dust weather.The diurnal variation of the extinction coefficient of haze exhibited a bimodal shape with two peaks in the morning or at noon,and at nightfall,respectively.The aerosol extinction coefficient gradually increased throughout the day during floating dust weather.Case studies showed that haze aerosols were generated from the surface and then lifted up,but floating dust aerosols were transported vertically from higher altitude to the surface.The AOD during floating dust weather was higher than that during haze.The boundary layer was more stable during haze than during floating dust weather. 相似文献