强对流天气监测预报预警技术进展

强对流天气预报业务包括监测、分析、预报、预警和检验等方面。对流初生识别、对流系统强度识别和对流天气类型识别等监测技术取得新进展,综合多源资料的监测技术已应用于中国气象局中央气象台业务。对流系统的触发、发展和维持机制等获得了新认识,我国不同类型强对流天气及其环境条件统计气候特征、分析规范及相应业务产品等为业务预报提供了必要基础和技术支撑。光流法、多尺度追踪技术以及应用模糊逻辑方法的临近预报技术等有明显进展,融合短时预报技术得到广泛应用,对流可分辨高分辨率数值 (集合) 预报及其后处理产品预报试验取得了显著成效,基于数值 (集合) 预报应用模糊逻辑方法的分类强对流天气短期预报技术为业务预报提供了技术支撑。强对流天气综合监测和多尺度自适应临近预报技术、多尺度分析技术以及融合短时预报技术、发展并应用模糊逻辑等方法的、基于高分辨率数值 (集合) 模式的区分不同强度等级和极端性的分类强对流天气精细化 (概率) 预报技术等是未来发展的主要方向。     

LD-Ⅱ和ADTD型闪电定位资料的对比分析

为了更全面地了解LD-Ⅱ和ADTD型闪电定位资料的准确性,利用安徽省2010年3—9月两套闪电定位系统监测到的资料,对比分析安徽省雷电活动规律,结果表明:两套资料在地闪总数、地闪时间变化、地闪空间分布、雷电流极性和强度等方面都存在较大的差异,LD-Ⅱ型闪电定位系统积累的资料时间较长,但ADTD型闪电定位系统在地闪空间分布、雷电流极性和强度的探测方面准确度更高.与雷灾资料对比发现,ADTD型闪电定位仪监测到的闪电记录距离受灾点较近、误差较小.     

广西大明山景区气候特点及气象指数研究

运用大明山景区3个自动站2008~2014年的资料,分析景区的气候特点,结果显示6至8月是景区降雨最密集的时段,天坪站具有明显的多雨趋势,5至9月是人体感觉最舒适的季节。大明山景区适宜旅游的天数占73%,9月和10月是大明山旅游景区最适宜旅游的月份。大明山穿衣指数春秋跨度大,春季为一至四级,秋季为二至五级;夏冬季穿衣指数跨度小,夏季为五级,冬季为一级。同月份大明山景区和南宁城区穿衣指数等级相差2~3个等级。对大明山雾凇指数的研究表明,景区雾凇主要出现在12月和1月,得出雾凇出现时气温、风速、相对湿度等气象要素的基本特征,并设计了雾凇指数,为进一步完善大明山旅游气象服务提供参考。     

超长La Ni?a事件背景下东亚夏季风的季节内变化:1999～2000年和1984～1985年的对比分析

基于多种再分析资料和观测资料,对比分析了两次超长La Ni?a事件中东亚夏季风的季节内变化。选取的两次事件分别发生在1984～1985年和1999～2000年,但强度有明显差异,其中前者为中等强度事件,而后者则为强事件。在两次事件过程中,暖池对流偏强,西太平洋副热带高压（副高）偏东偏弱,但季节内变化有很大差异。对强事件而言,6月对流开始发展,异常值在7月达到最大,8月稍弱,这与La Ni?a年合成结果一致,表明La Ni?a信号主导了东亚夏季风的季节内变化。与此不同的是,在1984～1985年事件中,6月和8月对流偏强,7月偏弱,呈双峰型异常变化。分析表明,当前一个月海温偏高时,后一个月对流偏强,减弱了太阳辐射,造成局地海温降低,偏低的海温又反过来抑制了后一个月的对流发展,暖池地区局地海气相互作用在中等强度La Ni?a事件中起到关键作用。因此,在两次超长La Ni?a事件中,东亚夏季风的季节内变化过程和影响因子有很大差异。此外,由于副高偏东,中国东部夏季降水总体上偏少。     

Nonradial eruption of a kinking filament observed from STEREO

On 5 April 2008, a filament at the periphery of an active region was observed by the Extreme Ultraviolet Imager telescope aboard the STEREO-A spacecraft, which showed up as a prominence eruption in the field-of-view from STEREO-B. The filament at STEREO-A 304 Å was first lengthened toward a region with weak overlying magnetic field so evolved as a large-scale one consisting of bright and dark threads twisting with each other, and then the portion below the weak field underwent an eruption. Meanwhile, the corresponding STEREO-B 304 Å prominence threads exhibited a kinking structure and tilting motion, with its center deflecting from the radial direction. By using three-dimension (3D) reconstruction technology, we obtain the 3D topology for the kinked prominence when its apex arrived at 1.4 radii, from which a clockwise rotation of about 90° is found in the course of the eruption. By comparing the 3D structure with the magnetic-field configuration computed by using the Potential-Field Source-Surface (PFSS) model, it is suggested that the filament erupted against the rather weaker than stronger overlying magnetic field, which make it appear to tilt toward one side.     

虚拟天文台数据访问系统(VO-DAS)任务调度设计与实现

为解决异地、异构、海量天文数据无缝透明地统一访问,中国虚拟天文台(China-VO)研究小组自主设计并开发了一套解决方案——虚拟天文台数据访问系统(VO-DAS)。着重从执行流程、设计模式、Session机制、生命周期、资源销毁、异常处理等模块详细阐述了该系统的任务调度设计。为了验证该系统的可行性和性能,最后描述了多个天文科学范例。     

升级改造后的BPL时频监控系统

为更好地完成授时任务,对BPL长波授时系统(由中国科学院国家授时中心承建)进行了升级改造。介绍了升级改造后的BPL长波授时系统组成、时频控制与监测方法。改造前、后系统时频控制指标的统计结果表明,改造后时号控制精度大幅提高。     

Primordial non-Gaussianity from LAMOST surveys

The primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG) in the matter density perturbation is a very powerful probe of the physics of the very early Universe. The local PNG can induce a distinct scale-dependent bias on the large scale structure distribution of galaxies and quasars, which could be used for constraining it. We study the detection limits of PNG from the surveys of the LAMOST telescope. The cases of the main galaxy survey, the luminous red galaxy (LRG) survey, and the quasar survey of dif- ferent magnitude limits...     

Secular period decreasing of detached chromospherically active binaries

The long-term orbital period changes of a large sample of detached chromospherically active binaries (CABs) were studied. Eleven such systems were found to be undergoing secular period decreases with the rates of ?6.3×10^?9 to ?1.1×10^?6 days per year. The period decreasing rates are found to vary depending on the orbital period. The longer the orbital period is, the more rapidly the period decreases. Following Stepien (Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 274:1019, 1995), the period decreasing rate predicted by angular momentum loss (AML) caused by magnetic wind is computed for each system. A comparison between the observed and calculated period decreasing rates shows that the former values are obviously larger than the latter by 1–3 orders of magnitude. It suggests that the magnetic wind is not likely the determinant mechanism driving the AML in these systems. Finally, the orbital angular momentum (AM) and the rate of AML, $\dot{J}$ , are computed for each system. It shows that the AM have a similar change with the orbital period like dP/dt does, but $\log\dot{J}/J$ presents no strict changing with the kinematical ages.     

脊尾白虾(Exopalaemon carinicauda)组织蛋白酶D基因的克隆及其表达分析

采用RACE技术获得了总长为1853bp的脊尾白虾(Exopalaemon carinicauda)组织蛋白酶D基因全长cDNA序列。该基因5′和3′非编码区分别为120bp和572bp,开放阅读框为1161bp,推测编码386个氨基酸,预测分子量为42.36kDa,理论等电点为7.54,命名为EcCatD基因。同源性和系统进化分析表明,EcCatD基因与斑节对虾、美洲螯龙虾的相似性分别为86%和80%,与斑节对虾和美洲螯龙虾紧密聚为一支。荧光定量RT-PCR结果表明,EcCatD基因在血细胞中的相对表达量最高,其次为肝胰腺。该基因在鳗弧菌和WSSV感染后的脊尾白虾血细胞和肝胰腺中的表达量显著增加,并具有不同的时空表达趋势。结果表明EcCatD基因在脊尾白虾免疫反应中具有重要作用。