城镇化与生态环境耦合的动态模拟——研究进展与展望

Urbanization and eco-environment coupling is a research hotspot.Dynamic simulation of urbanization and eco-environment coupling needs to be improved because the processes of coupling are complex and statistical methods are limited.Systems science and cross-scale coupling allow us to define the coupled urbanization and eco-environment system as an open complex giant system with multiple feedback loops.We review the current state of dynamic simulation of urbanization and eco-environment coupling and find that:(1)The use of dynamic simulation is an increasing trend,the relevant theory is being developed,and modeling processes are being improved;(2)Dynamic simulation technology has become diversified,refined,intelligent and integrated;(3)Simulation is mainly performed for three aspects of the coupling,multiple regions and multiple elements,local coupling and telecoupling,and regional synergy.However,we also found some shortcomings:(1)Basic theories are inadequately developed and insufficiently integrated;(2)The methods of unifying systems and sharing data are behind the times;(3)Coupling relations and the dynamic characteristics of the main driving elements are not fully understood or completely identified.Additionally,simulation of telecoupling does not quantify parameters and is not systemically unified,and therefore cannot be used to represent spatial synergy.In the future,we must promote communication between research networks,technology integration and data sharing to identify the processes governing change in coupled relations and in the main driving elements in urban agglomerations.Finally,we must build decision support systems to plan and ensure regional sustainable urbanization.     

Ecosystem carbon storage under different scenarios of land use change in Qihe catchment,China

Regional land use change is the main cause of the ecosystem carbon storage changes by affecting emission and sink process.However,there has been little research on the influence of land use changes for ecosystem carbon storage at both temporal and spatial scales.For this study,the Qihe catchment in the southern part of the Taihang Mountains was taken as an example;its land use change from 2005 to 2015 was analyzed,the Markov-CLUE-S composite model was used to predict land use patterns in 2025 under natural growth,cultivated land protection and ecological conservation scenario,and the land use data were used to evaluate ecosystem carbon storage under different scenarios for the recent 10-year interval and the future based on the carbon storage module of the In VEST model.The results show the following:(1) the ecosystem carbon storage and average carbon density of Qihe catchment were 3.16×107 t and 141.9 t/ha,respectively,and decreased by 0.07×107 t and 2.89 t/ha in the decade evaluated.(2) During 2005–2015,carbon density mainly decreased in low altitude areas.For high altitude area,regions with increased carbon density comprised a similar percentage to regions with decreased carbon density.The significant increase of the construction areas in the middle and lower reaches of Qihe and the degradation of upper reach woodland were core reasons for carbon density decrease.(3) For 2015–2025,under natural growth scenario,carbon storage and carbon density also significantly decrease,mainly due to the decrease of carbon sequestration capacity in low altitude areas;under cultivated land protection scenario,the decrease of carbon storage and carbon density will slow down,mainly due to the increase of carbon sequestration capacity in low altitude areas;under ecological conservation scenario,carbon storage and carbon density significantly increase and reach 3.19×107 t and 143.26 t/ha,respectively,mainly in regions above 1100 m in altitude.Ecological conservation scenario can enhance carbon sequestration capacity but cannot effectively control the reduction of cultivated land areas.Thus,land use planning of research areas should consider both ecological conservation and cultivated land protection scenarios to increase carbon sink and ensure the cultivated land quality and food safety.     

海洋中的烃及其迁移和衰变

对海洋中有关烃类的研究工作进行回顾和总结，分别介绍海洋中烃的来源，迁移和衰变及石油对海洋的污染。     

光合细菌在对虾育苗生产中的应用

１９９５年４月２４日～５月８日，在文登高岛盐场育苗场５０ｍ３水体育苗池，进行了用几株光合细菌（ＲｈｏｄｏｐｓｅｕｄｏｍｏｎａｓＳ．Ｐ．）混合菌液作为中国对虾（Ｐｅｎａｅｕｓｃｈｉｎｅｎｓｉｓ）苗期水质净化剂及辅助饵料，取得了明显效果。育苗池水透明度提高约２０ｃｍ，幼体挂脏率下降５０％，变态提早１ｄ左右，且多产仔虾百万尾     

中国北方四条河口的汞——以大辽河、鸭绿江、滦河、东村河为例

分别于1989年，1992年，1991年8月，1991年5月对大辽河口、鸭绿江口、滦河口、东村河口水体中总汞进行了取样和分析，其中又对大辽河口和东村河口进行了溶解态汞的分析。大辽河口和东村河口溶解态汞的含量分别为85～460ng/L和180～500ng/L，平均值分别为210和324ng/L；总汞含量分别为95～550和400～1000ng/L，平均值分别为310和640ng/L。大辽河河流段和河口段溶解态汞和颗粒态汞是主要存在形式。河口溶解态汞和颗粒态汞随氯度变化趋势相似。东村河口溶解态汞约占50%。鸭绿江口和滦河口总汞含量分别为30～2500和3700～6700ng/L，平均值分别为700和5700ng/L。鸭绿江口总汞随氯度变化趋势与随浊度变化趋势一致。而在滦河口总汞含量随两者变化趋势则不同。还讨论了滦河口、东村河口、鸭绿江口和大辽河口汞的污染程度。     

蛋白核小球藻在废水污泥中培养的研究

啤酒厂废水污泥中含有一定的营养元素和活性物质。本研究利用废水污泥培养蛋白核小球藻（Chlorellapyrenoidosa）取得了初步结果。将一定比例的活性污泥掺入普通培养液形成混合培养基,其中80：20试验组无论从蛋白核小球藻的生物量还是粗蛋白的含量均与普通培养基的培养产物近似,具有实践意义。结果表明,混合培养基培养某些藻类,不仅降低了养殖成本,还可净化环境,为废水污泥用于藻类养殖开辟了一条新途径。     

东亚地区春季一氧化碳的输送特征研究

以ECMWF ERA-40再分析资料构建的气象场为驱动场,利用全球三维大气化学模式MOZART-2,模拟了2001年3月大气污染物浓度的全球时空分布,并以一氧化碳(CO)作为示踪剂分析了春季东亚污染物向西太平洋地区输送的路线和机制.为了检验模拟结果的合理性,对TRACE-P 期间典型天气过程下的模拟结果与观测结果进行了比较.比较结果显示,模拟结果可以较好地再现2001年春季冷锋过境期间与东南亚深对流运动加强的天气形势下,东亚污染物向西太平洋地区输送的2大主要路径及其特征:(1) 污染物被冷锋系统提升后,在对流层中层向西太平洋快速传输;(2) 强烈的大气对流运动可以导致东南亚生物质燃烧产生的污染物在对流层上层向西太平洋输送.     

基于水声环境空间中多模态深度融合模型的目标识别方法研究

随着对水下目标特性研究的深入和声学探测技术的发展,基于单模态的阵列式信息融合或基于空间信息的分布式信息融合的水下目标识别方法研究已有一定成果,但针对复杂海况导致单一物理场或单一融合层次的系统识别性能提高有限等方面影响的水下目标识别方法研究还有所不足,因此,开展基于多模态深度融合模型的水下目标识别方法研究可利用模态互补,共享信息而提升识别率。文中在国内外研究基础上,深入研究了基于到达时差法和多模态方法组合的检测方法,初步形成了基于水声环境空间中多模态深度融合模型的识别框架,开展了海洋中典型自然与人为事件的信号分析与特征提取,并在此基础上,设计新型基于海底基站的被动识别系统。该系统同步记录和由位置等组成的时间序列标记声、磁和压数据,可实现高精度、高分辨率的识别。本研究可满足未来海洋观测对高性能水下目标探测、定位和跟踪系统的迫切需要,为海洋安全监管、海洋突发事件应急响应等领域提供新的技术手段和科学参考。     

Environmental impact of fluidized solidified silt casting on surrounding water bodies

Abstract

With the growing demand for underwater refill engineering, the construction technology of implementing fluidized solidification in underwater pouring has recently received increased attention. However, the environmental impact of underwater casting on surrounding water bodies, especially when the silt is polluted, is still unclear. In this study, a simulated underwater pouring test and a static immersion release test were conducted separately to study the quality of the surrounding water during and after pouring. The results showed that fluidized-solidified silt casting could increase the pH of the surrounding water, even after the pouring had stopped, by approximately 1.0 and the turbidity could reach 200 NTU. No diffusion of Zn and Cu into the surrounding water was observed and while Ni and Cr exhibited slight diffusion, this was at a level well below international water quality standard. During construction, reducing the distance from the seafloor to the bottom of the pouring catheter could reduce the level of pollution. After construction, the use of neutral solidified materials can effectively reduce the pH of the surrounding water and the potential risk of heavy metal dissolution.     

基于DEA和SFA的我国海水养殖技术效率

文章采用2005—2015年我国沿海地区的面板数据,运用数据包络分析(DEA)和随机前沿分析(SFA)方法对海水养殖技术效率进行测度,并系统分析海水养殖技术效率的影响因素和意义。研究结果表明:我国海水养殖投入和产出水平较合理,但投入资源的优化配置仍有不足;海水养殖面积、海水养殖人员数量和中间物质消耗对海水养殖产量有显著的正相关影响,投入的鱼苗数对产量的影响不显著;运用DEA和SFA方法测度海水养殖技术效率存在显著相关性和差异性,在排序上存在显著一致性;海水养殖技术水平、海水养殖结构、机动渔船比例、海水养殖产值水平和海水养殖规模与海水养殖技术效率呈显著正相关,海产品加工水平呈正相关但不显著;研究海水养殖技术效率对海水养殖产业的发展具有重要意义。最后,基于海水养殖技术效率的影响因素提出相关建议。