大都市区城市扩展模型- 以北京城市扩展模拟为例

在分析大都市区城市扩展特征的基础上,从宏观外部约束性因素和局部城市单元自身扩展能力变化共同作用影响城市发展演变的角度,构建了一个模拟和预测大都市区城市发展演变过程的城市扩展模型 (City Expanding Model in Metropolitan Area; CEM)。首先对北京1975~1997年的城市发展过程进行模拟重建,然后在此基础上从城镇用地数量最优和位置最佳相结合的角度对北京2005~2015年的城市发展格局进行了预测。结果表明,在对各种影响因素进行严格标准化并利用自适应Monte-Carlo方法多次模拟确定最佳影响权重的基础上,该模型可以在一定程度上反映城市发展,尤其是大都市区城市发展演变的特征和规律。     

基于DMSP/OLS稳定夜间灯光数据的中国1995-2008年电力消费量时空动态研究(英文)

Electric power consumption (EPC) is one of the basic indices for evaluating electric power use. Obtaining timely and accurate data on the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC is crucial for understanding and practical deployment of electric power resources. In this study, an EPC model was developed using stable nighttime lights time-series data from the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program Operational Linescan System (DMSP/OLS). The model was used to reconstruct the spatial patterns of EPC in Chinese Mainland at the county level from 1995 to 2008. In addition, the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC were analyzed, and the fol-lowing conclusions were drawn. (1) The EPC model reliably represented the spatiotemporal dynamics of EPC in Chinese Mainland with approximately 70% accuracy. (2) The EPC in most regions of Chinese Mainland was at low to moderate levels, with marked temporal and spatial variations; of high-level EPC, 58.26% was concentrated in eastern China. Six urban agglomerations (Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region, Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou region, Pearl River Delta, Shandong Peninsula, middle-south of Liaoning Province, and Sichuan Basin) accounted for 10.69% of the total area of Chinese Mainland but consumed 39.23% of the electricity. (3) The EPC of most regions in Chinese Mainland increased from 1995 to 2008, and 64% of the mainland area showed a significant increase in EPC. Moderate increases in EPC were found in 61.62% of eastern China and 80.65% of central China from 1995 to 2008, whereas 75.69% of western China showed no significant increase in EPC. Meanwhile, 77.27%, 89.35%, and 66.72% of the Shanghai-Nanjing-Hangzhou region, Pearl River Delta, and Shandong Peninsula, respectively, showed high-speed increases in EPC. Moderate increases in EPC occurred in 71.12% and 72.13% of the Beijing-Tianjin-Tangshan region and middle-south of Liaoning Province, respectively, while no significant increase occurred in 56.34% of the Sichuan Basin.     

一种改进的GNSS高维模糊度快速降相关算法

为了提高GNSS高维模糊度的解算效率,提出一种改进的GNSS模糊度快速降相关算法.算法采用对称旋转排序策略和延后降相关策略对下三角Cholesky分解的整数高斯变换算法进行改进.通过模拟和实测数据进行验证,结果表明,改进算法在一定程度上减少了降相关过程中的条件方差交换次数和整数高斯变换次数,从而有效提高了解算效率,增强...     

不同职能城市土地利用结构影响因素分析

根据2007年地级以上城市的土地和社会经济数据,采用主成分、聚类分析、相关分析等方法,分析不同职能城市土地利用结构特征及影响因素。结果表明:(1)根据城市职能主因子得分,结合城市规划及发展实际,将地级以上规模城市分为区域综合性城市、第二产业城市、交通城市、文化旅游城市、地方中心城市5类。(2)不同职能城市土地利用结构信息熵以中等水平为主,土地利用类型多样性提升空间较大。(3)经济因素、产业结构、基础设施和城市人口等是影响土地利用结构的主要因素,但对不同职能城市用地结构的影响次序和影响程度异质性明显。     

Delimiting the eastern extent of the Altyn Tagh Fault: Insights from structural analyses of seismic reflection profiles

The Altyn Tagh Fault (ATF) serves as a key continental‐scale controlling structural element of the Tibetan Plateau. However, its eastward extent remains controversial. Here we use high‐resolution seismic reflection profiles to investigate the subsurface structures of the easternmost ATF and use these to delimit the easternmost extent of the fault. The structural analyses show an eastward geometric change from transpressional positive flower structures to compressional thrusts, with transpression‐induced shortening magnitudes decreasing eastwards from a maximum of ~5.3 km to being absent. Stratigraphic controls indicate that the deformation took place over the last ~<1.2 Ma. Our wider findings lead us to: (a) reject the suggestion that the ATF previously extended beyond the Kuantan Shan‐Hei Shan to link with the Alxa‐East Mongolia Fault; and (b) propose that the rigid block model used to describe the Tibetan Plateau crust is not consistent with the extent and structural details of the easternmost ATF.     

VP型垂直摆倾斜仪观测频带的分析及改进

从仪器原理、传递函数和观测数据等方面分析目前在网进行1 Hz采样的VP型垂直摆倾斜仪在2~60 s周期内的频率特性,认为该仪器可以观测到频带内的信号变化,但因处于过渡带,观测幅度较真实幅度削弱约20~40 dB。对VP型垂直摆倾斜仪观测频带进行拓展,使2~60 s周期内的观测信号由之前的过渡带进入到仪器的通频带,结果与相同采样率的其他定点形变仪器的观测效果相同,将地倾斜观测量转换为加速度表达后,其幅频特性符合全球地震背景噪声模型。改进后的VP型垂直摆倾斜仪对于远距离震级不大的同震体波震相记录效果略优于改进前,但受地脉动影响,在识别非地脉动信号时需要采用更精细的方法和手段来提高识别效果。     

关于城镇规划的哲学思考

本文针对城镇规划中出现的求大求全现象，运用对立统一的辩证观进行了分析和探讨，认为规划者和领导者在城镇规划和建设的各阶段过程中中都应进行哲学的理性思考，正确处理好规划建设中理想与现实的矛盾统一。     

声源定位算法的精度分析

针对国家靶场测量落点坐标测试手段存在局限性的问题,该文提出基于时延估计的声源定位算法,给出影响该算法定位精度的几个因素和传感器阵列的几种布站方式,并对各种布站方式的定位误差进行了仿真计算,通过仿真分析了在不同的布站方式下声波的传播速度误差和时间差测量误差对定位精度的影响。结果表明:采用声波定位技术测量落点坐标精度可满足指标要求;合理布设传感器阵列能够提高定位精度。     

铬同位素在高温岩浆过程中的研究进展

铬(Cr)属于氧化还原敏感元素,在岩浆过程中是一种中度相容和轻度亲铁元素。Cr在硅酸盐地球中主要有三种价态:Cr²⁺、Cr³⁺和Cr⁶⁺。Cr存在于不同来源的矿物和岩石中,其氧化还原状态和同位素组成可以为其成因、氧化还原条件和相关成矿历史提供有价值的信息。近年来,铬同位素越来越多地应用到现代环境、古环境、行星的演化以及高温地质过程等领域中,而高温地质过程中储库的铬同位素及其分馏机理研究是其他工作的基础。尤其是随着质谱技术的发展,Cr同位素在高温环境中的分馏机制及行为也引起了更多的关注。本文主要介绍不同储库的Cr同位素组成及高温岩浆过程中Cr同位素研究的最新进展。     

信息扩散技术在重大雷灾预测中的应用

对重大雷灾的研究和预测能够为防灾减灾及政府相关部门的决策提供科学依据。由于历年重大雷灾样本数过少,应用统计方法得出的预测结果会产生很大的误差。以福建省为例,分析了2000～2006年全省的雷灾变化趋势,并尝试利用信息扩散技术对全省重大雷灾进行预测。结果表明:雷灾总数呈现逐年递增趋势,而重大雷灾事故的发生次数没有明显变化;福建省每年重大雷灾的出现次数集中在27～40次之间,其累积概率约为70%,重大雷灾年累计次数小于20次或大于45次的可能性几乎为0;重大雷灾次数大于34次的发生概率约为2年一遇,大于42次的发生概率大约为10年一遇。