Spatiotemporal changes of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and response to climate extremes and ecological restoration in the Loess Plateau,China

Theoretical and Applied Climatology - Extreme drought, precipitation, and other extreme climatic events often have impacts on vegetation. Based on meteorological data from 52 stations in the Loess...     

AMSR2辐射率资料同化对台风“山神”分析和预报的影响研究

在WRFDA-3DVar（Weather Research and Forecasting model's 3-dimensional variational data assimilation）的框架下,添加了新的探测器AMSR2（Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer 2）微波辐射率资料的同化模块,实现了AMSR2辐射率资料在中小尺度同化系统中的有效使用。台风"山神"（Son-Tinh）直接同化AMSR2资料的个例试验结果表明,AMSR2资料可以很好的探测出台风的形态,并且与没有同化该资料的控制试验相比,同化AMSR2辐射率资料可以有效提高模式分析场的质量,进一步提高了台风中心气压,最大风速和台风路径的预报。     

Developing the science product algorithm testbed for Chinese next-generation geostationary meteorological satellites: Fengyun-4 series

Fengyun-4A (FY-4A), the first of the Chinese next-generation geostationary meteorological satellites, launched in 2016, offers several advances over the FY-2: more spectral bands, faster imaging, and infrared hyperspectral measurements. To support the major objective of developing the prototypes of FY-4 science algorithms, two science product algorithm testbeds for imagers and sounders have been developed by the scientists in the FY-4 Algorithm Working Group (AWG). Both testbeds, written in FORTRAN and C programming languages for Linux or UNIX systems, have been tested successfully by using Intel/g compilers. Some important FY-4 science products, including cloud mask, cloud properties, and temperature profiles, have been retrieved successfully through using a proxy imager, Himawari-8/Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI), and sounder data, obtained from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder, thus demonstrating their robustness. In addition, in early 2016, the FY-4 AWG was developed based on the imager testbed—a near real-time processing system for Himawari-8/AHI data for use by Chinese weather forecasters. Consequently, robust and flexible science product algorithm testbeds have provided essential and productive tools for popularizing FY-4 data and developing substantial improvements in FY-4 products.     

多步预测的降水时序模型

该文设计了一个能作多步预报的时间序列模型，先生成时间序列及其差分的均生函数，再运用双评分准则对所有均生函数延拓序列作粗选和精选，以期建立一个拟合和预报效果均好的模型。就长江中下游6—8月降水总量的序列进行了计算，证实该模型可用在制作逐年气候预报或分月长期预报中。     

20世纪80～90年代我国气候增暖进程的统计事实

运用统计诊断方法分析了近50年来我国年平均及四季的气温变化特征，重点研究了20世纪90年代和80年代气温变化的主要差异及其增暖进程。结果表明，我国年平均气温是呈上升趋势的，但80年代以前年代际变化并不明显, 升温幅度不大。我国气候增暖始于20世纪80年代后期，90年代增暖加速，急剧增暖的主要原因是长江流域以南地区经历了由偏冷向偏暖的趋势转变。我国四季气温变化趋势在80～90年代增暖的进程中存在明显差异:其中冬季增暖开始时间最早、幅度最大、持续时间最长；90年代我国气候增暖急剧加速，其原因除了冬季气温持续攀升作用外，春、夏、秋季气温上升, 特别是春、夏季增暖幅度的加大增暖区域的显著扩展也起到很重要的作用。     

Real Data Assimilation Using the Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter (LETKF) System for a Global Non-hydrostatic NWP model on the Cubed-sphere

An ensemble data assimilation system using the 4-dimensional Local Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter is implemented to a global non-hydrostatic Numerical Weather Prediction model on the cubed-sphere. The ensemble data assimilation system is coupled to the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems Package for Observation Processing, for real observation data from diverse resources, including satellites. For computational efficiency in a parallel computing environment, we employ some advanced software engineering techniques in the handling of a large number of files. The ensemble data assimilation system is tested in a semi-operational mode, and its performance is verified using the Integrated Forecast System analysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. It is found that the system can be stabilized effectively by additive inflation to account for sampling errors, especially when radiance satellite data are additionally used.     

黑龙江省湿地资源遥感信息解译分析

按黑龙江省湿地分类标准，应用资源卫星遥感技术，建立湿地资源解译标准，判别分析全省湿地资源现状与区域分布。     

钢桁梁桥基于模型修正方法的损伤程度识别研究

在钢桁梁桥模型损伤定位的基础上,采用模型修正方法对其损伤程度进行识别,对其中几个关键问题进行了研究分析,得出了一些有用的结论,可作为实际桥梁健康监测的参考依据。     

初生阶段西南涡发展与消亡的物理机制

采用涡旋运动稳定性方法,结合大尺度环境场和积云对流潜热释放,研究初生西南涡发展与消亡的物理机制。结果表明：（1）在稳定层结和不稳定层结条件下,当大气扰动频率超过对应的临界频率时,初生西南涡均可以维持并向成熟涡转变;当大气扰动频率未超过临界频率时,初生西南涡要么因频散而消亡,要么在维持一段时间的纯涡结构后消亡,不能发展为成熟西南涡。（2）初生阶段,大尺度场的辐合辐散是西南涡发展和消亡的主要因素,辐合才有可能使得初生西南涡发展,辐散只能导致初生西南涡消亡;小尺度的潜热加热则决定着稳定层结下的扰动临界频率,进而影响稳定层结下初生西南涡的发展及向成熟西南涡的转变。