Developed and developing world contributions to climate system change based on carbon dioxide,methane and nitrous oxide emissions

One of the key issues in international climate negotiations is the formulation of targets for emissions reduction for all countries based on the principle of "common but differentiated responsibilities". This formulation depends primarily on the quantitative attribution of the responsibilities of developed and developing countries for historical climate change. Using the Commuity Earth System Model(CESM), we estimate the responsibilities of developed countries and developing countries for climatic change from 1850 to 2005 using their carbon dioxide, methane and nitrous oxide emissions. The results indicate that developed countries contribute approximately 53%–61%, and developing countries approximately 39%–47%, to the increase in global air temperature, upper oceanic warming, sea-ice reduction in the NH, and permafrost degradation. In addition, the spatial heterogeneity of these changes from 1850 to 2005 is primarily attributed to the emissions of greenhouse gases(GHGs)in developed countries. Although uncertainties remain in the climate model and the external forcings used, GHG emissions in developed countries are the major contributor to the observed climate system changes in the 20 th century.     

差分干涉测量黄河三角洲天然湿地水位变化研究

利用合成孔径雷达差分干涉测量技术监测湿地水位变化,对湿地保护、恢复和重建具有非常重要的意义.利用C波段VV极化和L波段HH极化合成孔径雷达影像,结合同步野外测量和调查工作,在各季节不同时间间隔下,研究不同湿地类型的后向散射特性差异和干涉相干性差异;在对影响干涉相干性的因素进行评价的基础上,建立差分干涉测量湿地水位变化监测的函数模型,利用获取的合成孔径雷达影像,分析黄河三角洲的天然湿地水位变化.研究结果表明,利用差分干涉测量技术不仅可以获取湿地水位变化,而且还能提供水位变化的空间细节,这是本技术最突出的特色.     

Physiographic and geological characteristics of shelves in north and west of Taiwan

In north of Taiwan the East China Sea Shelf extends from the coastline of mainland China to the southern Okinawa Trough, showing a shelf-slope-basin bathymetric profile. Sea floor of the East China Sea Shelf is generally smooth and flat. It is wide (230 km) and relatively shallow with an average shelf-break depth of 120 m, reflecting the effect of Quaternary glaciation about 15000 years ago. The Pliocene-Quaternary East China Sea Shelf is underlain by thin sequences of about 1000 m thick shallow marine sediments mainly derived from China, forming an eastward dipping sedimentary wedge due to regional tilting and subsidence and representing the youngest part of the Cenozoic rift margin in southeastern China. The Taiwan Strait Shelf has two phases in development: one is the early phase of the Paleocene-Miocene rift margin and the other is the late stage of the Pliocene-Quaternary foreland sedimentation. It is a foreland shelf and its present morphology results from the combined effects of tectonic subsidence and sedimentation overprinting that of the Late Pleistocene glaciation about 15000 years ago.     

THE SENSITIVITY INFLUENCE OF NUMERICAL MODEL INITIAL VALUES ON FOUR-DIMENSIONAL ASSIMILATION-STUDY BASED ON LORENZ SYSTEM*

Numerical experiments of adjoint variational assimilation have been performed using the known Lorenz system.With the increase of sensitivity of model's initial values,it is more and more difficult to use the adjoint method to get the initial values which are consistent with the dynamics of the forecast model.Under some circumstances the algorithm completely fails.This shows that four-dimensional assimilation is related to the limit of predictability.On the other hand.with the increase of model equation's error,the result of variational assimilation may become worse and worse so that the prediction has no meaning.But if the model parameters are corrected when variational assimilation is made,the forecast results can be greatly improved based on Lorenz model.     

电剖面资料解释方法的探讨

在直流电剖面法的实际工作中,因受各种干扰因素的影响,使之ρ_5曲线复杂化,采用信息理论来处理直流电剖面资料,可以消除一些干扰因素,突出地电异常,为直流电剖面的资料解释提供了新的尝试。     

Fugacity control and dissociation constants of HBr and HI

Two new hydrothermal acid-base buffers have been developed and calibrated. The Ag+AgBr and the Ag+AgI buffers in conjunction with an external hydrogen buffer control the fugacities of HBr and HI respectively at the pressure and temperature of the experiment. Both buffers are much less acid than the Ag+AgCl buffer of Frantz and Eugster (1973). For corresponding conditions, the molalities of HBr and HI are one and three orders of magnitudes smaller respectively than the molality of HC1.Both buffers have been calibrated using quench bromide, iodide and pH measurements. At higher temperatures HBr and HI are apparently not dissociated and the measured molalities agree closely with those calculated from thermochemical data. At lower temperatures the degree of dissociation increases greatly, and dissociation constants for HBr and HI at P and T have been calculated from the data.The Ag+AgBr and Ag+AgI buffers have been tested by measuring constants for the quartz-talc reaction in H-O-Br and H-O-I solutions respectively. These constants in conjunction with available thermochemical data can be used to calculate the free energies of formation for MgBr₂ and MgI₂.The Ag+AgBr and Ag+AgI buffers extend the pH range towards neutral solutions over which acid-base reactions in supercritical fluids can now be measured. This allows the use of less concentrated solutions and of minerals which are not stable in acid solutions.     

Diffusion of hydrogen through platinum membranes at high pressures and temperatures

The diffusion of hydrogen through platinum membranes has been measured at 450, 500, 550 and 600°C at 2000 bar pressure, using the hydrogen sensor technique. Ag + AgCl + 3 M HC1 was the starting solution inside the platinum tube. Hydrogen diffuses out of the platinum tube into a system containing Fe₂O₃ + Fe₃O₄ + H₂O; that is, a solution with a fixed hydrogen fugacity. After quench, the drop in f_H2 inside the platinum tube was calculated from measurements of pH and chloride molality. f_H2 is initially roughly proportional to $\text{t}{}^{\mathrm{<mtext>1</mtext><mtext>2</mtext>}}$. Diffusion constants were calculated from these data by numerical integration, and the results can be expressed by logD (cm²/sec) = ? 5489.6/T, K - 4.648.     

初始场作用的衰减与算子的特性

本文根据描述大气运动的原始方程的算子的性质论证了初始场影响的衰减。对研究某些实际问题来说原始方程必须简化,作者建议,在进行这样那样的简化或离散化时应注意保持算子的性质不变。