A new economic assessment index for the impact of climate change on grain yield

The impact of climate change on agriculture has received wide attention by the scientific community. This paper studies how to assess the grain yield impact of climate change, according to the climate change over a long time period in the future as predicted by a climate system model. The application of the concept of a traditional ＂yield impact of meteorological factor （YIMF）＂ or ＂yield impact of weather factor＂ to the grain yield assessment of a decadal or even a longer timescale would be suffocated at the outset because the YIMF is for studying the phenomenon on an interannual timescale, and it is difficult to distinguish between the trend caused by climate change and the one resulting from changes in non-climatic factors. Therefore, the concept of the yield impact of climatic change （YICC）, which is defined as the difference in the per unit area yields （PUAY） of a grain crop under a changing and an envisaged invariant climate conditions, is presented in this paper to assess the impact of global climate change on grain yields. The climatic factor has been introduced into the renowned economic Cobb-Douglas model, yielding a quantitative assessment method of YICC using real data. The method has been tested using the historical data of Northeast China, and the results show that it has an encouraging application outlook.     

山东荣成钻孔倾斜观测异常变化调查

荣成地震台钻孔倾斜NS分量2017年5月2日出现趋势下降（南倾）异常变化,至15日持续下降累计幅度达358×10^-3",对观测系统工作状态、观测环境干扰、气象因素及地下水位等进行调查,通过滑动相关性分析和三维点源载荷模拟等方法,结合胶东半岛近期地震活动,分析认为,该异常非干扰造成,可能反映了区域地壳应力的变化,需予以关注。     

洱海沉水植物群落恢复与优化初探

近几十年来,在入湖营养盐增加,水质持续下降,藻类生物量逐年升高及水位大幅波动下,洱海沉水植物群落演替速度加剧.2016年7月调查显示：洱海沉水植被退化严重,物种数量显著低于近期（2011年）历史水平,分布面积较有记录的历史最高水平（1980s）下降超过70%,优势物种由1960s的海菜花（Ottelia acuminata）、蓖齿眼子菜（Stuckenia pectinata）和大茨藻（Najas marina）等转变为微齿眼子菜（Potamogeton maackianus）、金鱼藻（Ceratophyllum demersum）以及苦草（Vallisneria natans）.沉水植物群落在浅水区（0~2.5 m）主要遭受了浮叶植物细果野菱（Trapa maximowiezii）过度生长带来的生境胁迫,在中等水深区（2.5~4 m）面临微齿眼子菜和金鱼藻的过度生长导致的群落结构的单一化影响,而在深水区（>4 m）面临着面积萎缩的风险,这些严重抑制了沉水植物清水稳态效应的发挥.通过对比洱海典型湖湾洱滨村水域沉水植物群落结构在恢复与优化前后的变化,发现洱滨村水域各水深区间沉水植物群落各项多样性指标与恢复物种的丰度均显著提升.因此,我们总结提出了针对洱海典型富营养湖湾沉水植被恢复和管理的建议和对策,以期为后续进一步开展洱海生态系统恢复相关工作提供依据.     

Genesis of Polyhalite in the Halite in Jialingjiang Formation of Triassic,Eastern Sichuan Basin,China

正Polyhalite generally formed in the early diagenetic stage.It is formed by the brine which rich in K+and Mg2+and adverse reaction with the gypsum,anhydrite,glauberite(Pierre,1985;Peryt et al.,2005;Leitner et al.,     

海相低勘探程度地区油气资源评价:以柴达木盆地德令哈坳陷石炭系为例

海相低勘探程度地区油气资源评价的难点是资料少、地质认识程度低、主要参数获取难度大,影响评价结果可信性.以柴达木盆地德令哈坳陷石炭系为例,系统评价德令哈坳陷石炭系生储盖条件,油气资源评价选用盆地模拟法与类比法相结合方法,关键参数的确定采用了地球物理、地球化学与石油地质学等多种方法,利用油气运移聚集模拟和不同运聚单元资源量...     

北极巴伦支海海冰多年变化特征研究

本文采用2003～2016年SSMI海冰密集度和NCEP气温、风场等数据,通过计算海冰覆盖率、增长期长度、冬季负积温和风拖曳力等参数,分析了巴伦支海海冰的变化特征及其与热力、动力影响因素之间的联系。结果显示,因西南部存在常年无冰区,巴伦支海14a平均的海冰覆盖率低于50%;覆盖率总体呈现下降趋势,冰情呈现"重—中等—轻"的变化过程,2012年后甚至出现夏季无冰的情况;增长期长度先增后减,起止时刻均有推迟;冬季负积温是影响巴伦支海冰情轻重的重要因素,与年平均海冰覆盖率距平和最大覆盖率的相关系数分别为-0.90和-0.89;风拖曳力的改变可在短期内引起海冰覆盖率急剧变化,是海冰边缘区产生流冰的主要原因,易对油气资源开发的海洋平台产生危害。     

Maritime safety for fishing boat operations and avoidable hijacking in Taiwan

Taiwanese fishing boats have been hijacked many times this year. Trouble at sea can usually be attributed to communication problems, inappropriate management and an unfair salary system. The majority of boats hijacked are high sea (long-line) fishing boats. Although fishery authorities ask the fishing boats to set up vessel monitoring systems (VMSs), this precaution has not been sufficient. There is a further need for improved management by the fishing boat owner and for an improved employment policy for seamen. The issue of maritime security is not new, but it remains a major concern and continues to be a threat to Taiwan and other countries. To date, there have been many cases of hijacking in the South China Sea. This paper analyzes the reasons for the hijackings and provides potential strategies to prevent future incidents.     

世界主要古代钾盐找矿实践与中国找钾对策

世界钾盐资源/储量为2153.99亿t(K2O),主要钾盐矿床产于古代海相地层。38%的矿床是石油勘探中发现的,19%是在研究基础上发现的,15%是在岩盐矿勘探中发现的,其他占28%。国外钾盐找矿经验显示,很多钾盐矿床,从线索的发现或提出找钾目标,通常需要经历20～30年的研究与勘探,才最终获得突破或查明资源量。我国找钾工作,首先应充分利用石油勘探取得的资料,研究石油钻井岩心矿物学与化学特征,同时,开展大型盐岩矿床的含钾性研究等,重视成钾理论研究与成矿预测分析,就可能获得找钾的新突破。有关部门还应制订长期的钾盐地质研究与找矿勘探计划,同时兼探油气等共生资源,这样可以大大提高找矿效率。     

新疆罗布泊K1孔岩心中有孔虫化石的发现及其意义

笔者在新疆罗布泊Ｋ１孔第四纪沉积物中,首次发现丰富的有孔虫化石（Ａｍｍｏｎｉａ）及与其伴生的介形虫和轮藻化石。Ａｍｍｏｎｉａ是中新世至观在世界上常见属种,属海陆过渡相种群,第四纪罗布泊已距海遥远,不可能发生海侵,根据塔里木盆地新生代浸侵史,认为罗布泊Ｋ１孔第四纪沉积物中有有孔虫来源于残留海。     

巷道围岩稳定性的判据及岩石分类

本文通过套筒致裂法测试巷道围岩应力及力学性质,并以此进行围岩稳定性分析和分类;提出了巷道围岩稳定性判据以及巷道围岩分类的原则;介绍了本稳定性分析方法在若干煤矿巷道围岩及立井井壁应力测试地点的应用。