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91.
Junyu?He Alexander?KolovosEmail author 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2018,32(4):859-877
The present paper reviews the conceptual framework and development of the Bayesian Maximum Entropy (BME) approach. BME has been considered as a significant breakthrough and contribution to applied stochastics by introducing an improved, knowledge-based modeling framework for spatial and spatiotemporal information. In this work, one objective is the overview of distinct BME features. By offering a foundation free of restrictive assumptions that limit comparable techniques, an ability to integrate a variety of prior knowledge bases, and rigorous accounting for both exact and uncertain data, the BME approach was coined as introducing modern spatiotemporal geostatistics. A second objective is to illustrate BME applications and adoption within numerous different scientific disciplines. We summarize examples and real-world studies that encompass the perspective of science of the total environment, including atmosphere, lithosphere, hydrosphere, and ecosphere, while also noting applications that extend beyond these fields. The broad-ranging application track suggests BME as an established, valuable tool for predictive spatial and space–time analysis and mapping. This review concludes with the present status of BME, and tentative paths for future methodological research, enhancements, and extensions. 相似文献
92.
Evaluating coastal scenery using fuzzy logic: Application at selected sites in Western Black Sea coastal region of Turkey 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Coastal areas of the world are under treat due to the conflicting requirements of functions such as habitation and/or recreation, which affect the strategic asset of coastal scenery itself. Coastal managers, together with planners, need coastal landscape inventories, where the quality of coastal scenery is a part of the inventory. In order to provide an evidence-based approach for sound coastal management decisions,
[Ergin et al., 2004] and [Ergin et al., 2006] developed a novel technique ‘coastal scenic evaluation’ (CSE), which addresses the evaluation of coastal scenery. The CSE technique utilizes fuzzy logic to derive values obtained from a checklist of 26 physical and human parameters. The methodology enables the calculation of an evaluation index (D), which categorizes the scenic values of coastal sites into five distinct classes. Using this technique, coastal scenic evaluations were carried out at 34 selected sites on the Western Black Sea coast of Turkey. Based on the calculated D values, a five-class differentiation was obtained for the selected sites, to provide baseline information for any envisaged subsequent management plans for these areas. 相似文献
93.
Norihisa?UsuiEmail author Shiro?Ishizaki Yosuke?Fujii Masafumi?Kamachi 《Journal of Oceanography》2011,67(3):253-262
We assess validity of a Gaussian error assumption, the basic assumption in data assimilation theory, and propose two kinds
of constraints regarding non-Gaussian statistics. In the mixed water region (MWR) off the east coast of Japan exhibiting complicated
frontal structures, a probability density function (PDF) of subsurface temperature shows double peaks corresponding to the
Kuroshio and Oyashio waters. The complicated frontal structures characterized by the temperature PDF sometimes cause large
innovations, bringing about a non-Gaussianity of errors. It is also revealed that assimilated results with a standard three-dimensional
variational (3DVAR) scheme have some issues in MWR, arising from the non-Gaussianity of errors. The Oyashio water sometimes
becomes unrealistically cold. The double peaks seen in the observed temperature PDF are too smoothed. To improve the assimilated
field in MWR, we introduce two kinds of constraints, J
c1 and J
c2, which model the observed temperature PDF. The constraint J
c1 prevents the unrealistically cold Oyashio water, and J
c2 intends to reproduce the double peaks. The assimilated fields are significantly improved by using these constraints. The
constraint J
c1 effectively reduces the unrealistically cold Oyashio water. The double peaks in the observed temperature PDF are successfully
reproduced by J
c2. In addition, not only subsurface temperature but also whole level temperature and salinity (T–S) fields are improved by
adopting J
c1 and J
c2 to a multivariate 3DVAR scheme with vertical coupled T–S empirical orthogonal function modes. 相似文献
94.
Cesare Barbieri Stefano Verani Ann Sprague Rosario Cosentino 《Planetary and Space Science》2004,52(13):1169-1175
Analysis of three spectra of the exosphere of Mercury in the Na-D lines are presented. Spectra were secured with the high-resolution spectrograph (SARG) of the 3.5 M Telescopio Nazionale Galileo (TNG, located on the Roque de los Muchachos, Canaries) on the evenings of August 23 and 24, 2002. Spectra have resolution ; the slit length was 26.7”. The Na column abundances range from 4.3 to with the highest abundances being close to the illuminated limb. Our observations at true anomaly angles (TAA) from 171°to 174°show the traces of the emission lines to be strongly peaked at the illuminated limb, supportive of recent modeling that shows thermal desorption to be a strong factor in determining the distribution of Na about the planet. 相似文献
95.
{We investigate the conversion of the 0.5–4 and 1–8 Å soft X-ray flux measurements made by detectors on the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) into temperature and emission measures of coronal plasma using modern spectral models and modern understanding of coronal abundances. In particular, the original analysis by Thomas, Starr and Crannell (1985) is updated to take into account the realization that coronal abundances may be quite different from photospheric abundances. An important result of this analysis is that the derived temperatures and emission measures depend strongly on the assumed abundances even at high temperatures where continuum rather than spectral lines dominates the Sun’s X-ray spectrum. This occurs because the higher coronal abundances mean that most of the continuum is due to free–bound emission processes, not free–free emission, and thus is abundance-dependent. We find significant differences between modern calculations of the temperature response of the flux measurements and the versions currently in use: for a typical flare, emission measures may be up to a factor of 4 smaller than the current software suggests. Derived temperatures are similar for both photospheric and coronal abundances for cool flares (e.g., 15 MK), but for hot flares (e.g., 35 MK) coronal abundances can lead to significantly (~25%) lower temperatures being derived. 相似文献
96.
97.
In understanding the nucleosynthesis of the elements in stars, one of the most important quantities is the reaction rate and
it must be evaluated in terms of the stellar temperature T, and its determination involves the knowledge of the excitation function σ(E) of the specific nuclear reaction leading to the final nucleus. In this paper, the effect of thermonuclear reaction rates
to the pre-main sequence evolution of low mass stars having masses 0.7, 0.8, 0.9 and 1M⊙ are studied by using our modified Stellar Evolutionary Program. 相似文献
98.
XIE Lun PU Zuyin JIAO Weixin & FU suiyan Department of Geophysics Peking University Beijing China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2005,48(12):2123-2130
The main portion of the inner radiation belt en-countered by spacecraft in low-Earth orbits (LEOs) is concentrated over the South Atlantic Anomaly (SAA) where satellites observed the highest particle flux. The anomaly arises from the Earth’s magnetic field being less intense in the region centered near the east of the Atlantic coast of South America. The trapped radiation belt particles therefore have their lowest mirroring altitudes over the center region of the SAA. Drift shells in t… 相似文献
99.
土地持续利用的五维空间分析 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:1
土地资源的持续利用是人类社会发展的基础,文章较为系统地提出了时间,空间,用途,技术和制度是实现土地资源持续利用的五维空间,并对各维度的内涵进行了较为深入的分析。其中,土地持续利用的时间维主要表现为从伦理角度考虑如何在代际间合理分配土地资源,使代际间利益之和最大;空间维则要求实现土地利用在空间上的合理布局;胜任维要求将土地资源合理配置到各种用途上,从而使人们从土地所提供的产品和劳各中获得的总效用最大;技术维选择意味着土地利用的直接或间接技术的选用能够保证土地的永续使用;制度维要求制度建设适应土地利用情况的变化,通过消除不同的土地制度之间存在着的外部利润来实现土地资源的最优配置。 相似文献
100.