Early solar system aqueous activity: K isotope evidence from Allende

The alkali element K is moderately volatile and fluid mobile; thus, it can be influenced by both primary processes (evaporation and recondensation) in the solar nebula and secondary processes (thermal and aqueous alteration) in the parent body. Since these primary and secondary processes would induce different isotopic fractionations, K isotopes could become a potential tracer to distinguish them. Using recently developed methods with improved precision (0.05‰, 95% confidence interval), we systematically measured the K isotopic compositions and major/trace elemental compositions of chondritic components (18 chondrules, 3 CAIs, 2 matrices, and 5 bulks) in the carbonaceous chondrite fall Allende. Among all the components analyzed in this study, CAIs, which formed initially under high‐temperature conditions in the solar nebula and were dominated by nominally K‐free refractory minerals, have the highest K₂O content (average 0.53 wt%) and have K isotope compositions most enriched in heavy isotopes (δ⁴¹K: ?0.30 to ?0.25‰). Such an observation is consistent with previous petrologic studies that show CAIs in Allende have undergone alkali enrichment during metasomatism. In contrast, chondrules contain lower K₂O content (0.003–0.17 wt%) and generally lighter K isotope compositions (δ⁴¹K: ?0.87‰ to ?0.24‰). The matrix and bulks are nearly identical in K₂O content and K isotope compositions (0.02–0.05 wt%; δ⁴¹K: ?0.62 to ? 0.46‰), which are, as expected, right in the middle of CAIs and chondrules. This strongly indicates that most of the chondritic components of Allende suffered aqueous alteration and their K isotopic compositions are the ramification of Allende parent‐body processing instead of primary nebular signatures. Nevertheless, we propose the small K isotope fractionations observed (< 1‰) among Allende components are likely similar to the overall range of K isotopic fractionation that occurred in nebular environment. Furthermore, the K isotope compositions seen in the components of Allende in this study are consistent with MC‐ICP‐MS analyses of the components in ordinary chondrites, which also show an absence of large (10‰) isotope fractionations. This is not expected as evaporation experiments in nebular conditions suggest there should be large K isotopic fractionations. Nevertheless, possible nebular processes such as chondrules back exchanging with ambient gas when they formed could explain this lack of large K isotopic variation.     

福州市地表干湿分布特征及其与农业干旱的关系

利用常规资料、NCEP再分析等资料,对0604号强热带风暴碧利斯造成华南持续特强暴雨的特点及成因进行了综合分析.结果表明:虽然碧利斯最强时只达强热带风暴强度,但在其登陆后与强西南季风持续地相互作用,在台风南侧形成强盛的水汽输送和辐合上升机制,且辐合上升运动、高层辐散及水汽辐合中心强度异常强盛,为近年台风少有,且大暴雨区与强水汽辐合上升中心十分吻合;华南持续5天强暴雨与台风低压与西南季风持续结合及副高断裂有密切关系;碧利斯对促使西南季风明显增幅北抬也起了重要作用.     

海南雷暴气候特征及大气环流背景分析

利用1966～2005年海南地区18个市、县逐日雷暴观测资料及NECP再分析资料和EOF分析方法,分析了海南地区雷暴天气的气候特征及其气候变化的可能影响因素.结果表明:海南雷暴的年际变化呈较明显的下降趋势;空间分布丰要旱现北部内陆地区多、南部沿海地区少的特点;全省雷暴集中发牛在4～10月,盛发期在5～9月;雷暴异常年5～9月平均大气环流与同期500 hPa大气环流特征的关系表现在雷暴频繁年低纬地区的位势高度距平场出现大范围的负距平.当年夏季西太平洋副热带高压较弱,位置偏东,雷暴偏少年则副高较强,脊线偏西.不稳定凶子K指数和TT指数对海南的雷暴有一定预报能力.     

相似台风“泰利”和“桑美”的数值模拟和对比分析

结合客观分析、常规探空和地面观测资料、中尺度自动站资料以及数值模拟资料,探讨两个相似台风"泰利"和"桑美"的风雨差异的成因."泰利"北上时与西风槽结合,形成稳定的"北槽南涡"的天气形势;"桑美"北上时其北侧存在高压坝,并且强度增强,不利于环流云系的发散."泰利"过程有弱冷空气从边界层向南渗透;"桑美"过程中低层没有冷空气活动.地面风场上,"泰利"在杭州湾以北太湖以南存在东风和东北风的辐合线;"桑美"则存在东风和东南风的辐散."泰利"过程中,浙北处在能量锋区南侧的高能区内,存在中尺度锋生,处于弱不稳定状态,有利于能量的积累和强对流的促发;"桑美"过程中.浙北处在能量锋区北侧的低能带内,并且层结非常稳定.相似台风造成的风雨影响可能差别很大,需根据具体的天气形势、边界层内冷空气活动情况、地面风场辐合线,以及能量锋区和稳定度等方面做进一步判断.     

Landslide susceptibility modeling based on ANFIS with teaching-learning-based optimization and Satin bowerbird optimizer

As threats of landslide hazards have become gradually more severe in recent decades,studies on landslide prevention and mitigation have attracted widespread attention in relevant domains.A hot research topic has been the ability to predict landslide susceptibility,which can be used to design schemes of land exploitation and urban development in mountainous areas.In this study,the teaching-learning-based optimization(TLBO)and satin bowerbird optimizer(SBO)algorithms were applied to optimize the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system(ANFIS)model for landslide susceptibility mapping.In the study area,152 landslides were identified and randomly divided into two groups as training(70%)and validation(30%)dataset.Additionally,a total of fifteen landslide influencing factors were selected.The relative importance and weights of various influencing factors were determined using the step-wise weight assessment ratio analysis(SWARA)method.Finally,the comprehensive performance of the two models was validated and compared using various indexes,such as the root mean square error(RMSE),processing time,convergence,and area under receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROC).The results demonstrated that the AUROC values of the ANFIS,ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS-SBO models with the training data were 0.808,0.785 and 0.755,respectively.In terms of the validation dataset,the ANFISSBO model exhibited a higher AUROC value of 0.781,while the AUROC value of the ANFIS-TLBO and ANFIS models were 0.749 and 0.681,respectively.Moreover,the ANFIS-SBO model showed lower RMSE values for the validation dataset,indicating that the SBO algorithm had a better optimization capability.Meanwhile,the processing time and convergence of the ANFIS-SBO model were far superior to those of the ANFIS-TLBO model.Therefore,both the ensemble models proposed in this paper can generate adequate results,and the ANFIS-SBO model is recommended as the more suitable model for landslide susceptibility assessment in the study area considered due to its excellent accuracy and efficiency.     

气象装备保障效能评估技术

随着气象部门装备保障业务重要性的不断提高,开展装备保障评估方法的研究,对保障质量进行科学评价成为一个新的课题。就监控、维护和维修3个装备保障子业务分别建立了各自的评估体系,还利用监控、维护和维修业务的独立性,提出了根据业务单位职责的组成,使用监控率、故障率和维修率三者的加权平均值评估装备保障综合效能的方法,对建立装备保障业务的考核体系有一定的参考借鉴意义。     

冬小麦蒸腾速率在不同土壤水分条件下的修正

为找到不同土壤含水量对蒸腾速率的影响程度,通过对L1-6200便携式作物生理测定仪在不同土壤水分处理下的蒸腾速率观测值与气象条件计算得出的理论值进行比较,确定不同土壤水分条件下的蒸腾速率修正系数.分析发现:①在不同的土壤含水量下,未考虑修正系数的情况时,土壤含水量越小,理论计算误差越大;土壤含水量越大,理论计算误差越小.②土壤含水量小时蒸腾速率计算值的修正系数大,而土壤含水量偏大时修正系数小.③考虑修正系数后,计算误差显著减小,除了土壤含水量为14.89％稍有偏差外,其它土壤含水量状态下的理论计算值非常接近实际观测值.同时验证了不同土壤水分下的修正系数足显著的.     

藏南拉康温泉地质特征及雄曲河谷两岸地热分布不均成因分析

西藏山南地区洛扎县雄曲河拉康段在600 m距离内出露温泉4处,仅1处位于河谷右岸;平硐勘查显示两岸岩性、产状、构造一致,地热异常却仅在左岸平硐内部显著,右岸平硐地热异常不明显.本次研究以此异常为出发点,通过片麻状花岗岩不同切面导热实验、片麻状花岗岩与板岩相同切面导热实验,温泉水δ2H,δ18O同位素测试分析等方法,探究...     

江汉平原古生界构造结构特征及油气勘探方向

江汉平原古生界具有北西—南东向分为三块、北东—南西向分为三带及纵向上多层楼的构造结构特征。三个区块为当阳—京山构造区、荆州—仙桃构造区及鄂城—大冶构造区,每个区块均可划分出三个次级构造带,并在全区形成三个构造变形分带。这三个分带在变形强度、构造样式等方面具有特征性差异:北东侧的构造分带受东秦岭—大别山造山运动产生的挤压应力的直接作用,显示以逆冲推覆结构为主要特征;南西侧的构造分带在三个构造区有差别,在当阳—京山构造区形成斜坡稳定带,在另两个构造区则以推覆叠瓦构造为特征;中部构造分带一般显示前缘断褶或复合叠加构造。当阳—京山构造区东部和鄂城—大冶构造区应以逆冲推覆体为勘探对象;荆州—仙桃构造区的仙桃地区应以上古生界油气藏为勘探目标;当阳—京山构造区西部宜昌稳定带和荆州—仙桃构造区的珂理—簰洲地区则应以下古生界油气藏为勘探目标。