Assessment of future water resources and water scarcity considering the factors of climate change and social–environmental change in Han River basin,Korea

Water resources are influenced by various factors such as weather, topography, geology, and environment. Therefore, there are many difficulties in evaluating and analyzing water resources for the future under climate change. In this paper, we consider climate, land cover and water demand as the most critical factors affecting change in future water resources. We subsequently introduce the procedures and methods employed to quantitatively evaluate the influence of each factor on the change in future water resources. In order to consider the change in land cover, we apply the Multi-Regression approach from the cellular automata-Markov Chain technique using two independent variables, temperature and rainfall. In order to estimate the variation of the future runoff due to climate change, the data of the SRES A2 climate change scenario were entered in the SLURP model to simulate a total of 70 years, 2021–2090, of future runoff in the Han River basin in Korea. However, since a significant amount of uncertainties are involved in predicting the future runoff due to climate change, 50 sets of daily precipitation data from the climate change scenario were generated and used for the SLURP model to forecast 50 sets of future daily runoff. This process was used to minimize the uncertainty that may occur when the prediction process is performed. For future water balance analysis, the future water demand was divided into low demand, medium demand and high demand categories. The three water demand scenarios and the 50 daily runoff scenarios were combined to form 150 sets of input data. The monthly water balance within the Han River basin was then calculated using this data and the Korean version of Water Evaluation and Planning System model. As a result, the future volume of water scarcity of the Han River basin was predicted to increase in the long term. It is mostly due to the monthly shift in the runoff characteristic, rather than the change in runoff volume resulting from climate change.     

A Mathematical View of Water Table Fluctuations in a Shallow Aquifer in Brazil

Detailed monitoring of the groundwater table can provide important data about both short‐ and long‐term aquifer processes, including information useful for estimating recharge and facilitating groundwater modeling and remediation efforts. In this paper, we presents results of 4 years (2002 to 2005) of monitoring groundwater water levels in the Rio Claro Aquifer using observation wells drilled at the Rio Claro campus of São Paulo State University in Brazil. The data were used to follow natural periodic fluctuations in the water table, specifically those resulting from earth tides and seasonal recharge cycles. Statistical analyses included methods of time‐series analysis using Fourier analysis, cross‐correlation, and R/S analysis. Relationships could be established between rainfall and well recovery, as well as the persistence and degree of autocorrelation of the water table variations. We further used numerical solutions of the Richards equation to obtain estimates of the recharge rate and seasonable groundwater fluctuations. Seasonable soil moisture transit times through the vadose zone obtained with the numerical solution were very close to those obtained with the cross‐correlation analysis. We also employed a little‐used deep drainage boundary condition to obtain estimates of seasonable water table fluctuations, which were found to be consistent with observed transient groundwater levels during the period of study.     

重力方法研究越南早新生代基底效果分析(英文)

为了提高用重力方法在越南研究早新生代基底结构特点中的效率,表明作者们提出了一个综合分析地质及地球物理资料的系统方法.获得的研究结果表明:1)一个大的平均密度差是在用重力方法研究越南的早新生代基底时效率的一个基本因素;2)用多维线性相关分析来有效研究和预测越南的早新生代基底岩石的埋藏深度与密度是有可能的;3)通过利用多维线性分析预测密度以及泊松系数使我们能预测早新生代基底岩石.     

冰动力学的拉格郎日离散元模式

本文描述一种应用于河冰和海冰动力学研究的平滑质点流体力学的离散元模式。该离散元方法是一种自由拉格郎日方法,和传统的欧拉网格数值方法相比,它具有较小的数值扩散并且能够更加灵活地处理复杂的冰过程等许多优点。本文首先给出海冰动力学的离散元模式的基本方法,并与欧拉有限差分方法和半拉格郎日的质点一网格方法进行了对比,其次,本文还给出了离散元海冰模式在渤海的一个应用。     

Determining the Concentration of Suspended Sediment in the Lower Đáy River (Northern Vietnam) Using MSI Sentinel 2 High Spatial Resolution Data

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - The concentration of suspended sediment is an important parameter in assessing the quality of surface waters. Many studies have shown that reflectance...     

Biogeochemical responses to the removal of maricultural structures from an eutrophic lagoon (Tapong Bay) in Taiwan

The biogeochemistry of Tapong Bay, one of the major lagoons in southern Taiwan, was studied from 1999 to 2004, encompassing a period in 2003 in which aquaculture activities were terminated and the associated structures removed. Removal of the maricultural structures resulted in the reduction of the mean time for water exchange time in Tapong Bay from about 10+/-2d to 6+/-2d. The annual mean concentration of measured nutrients (DIN, DIP and DSi) also decreased significantly, likely due to improved water exchange, ceased feeding and increased biological utilization. An overall high primary production was maintained and likely to be constrained by temperature, light availability and turbidity rather than by abundant nutrients throughout the study period. The change in stoichiometric ratios among inorganic and organic nutrients (C/N, Si/N, N/P) may be attributed to the shift of plankton community between the two periods. The annual mean of Delta POC/Delta PON was 8.1, a little bit larger than that (7.3) before removal, also possibly resulting from the shift of planktonic community (from diatom-dominated to flagellate-dominated and increase of total phytoplankton and zooplankton) and removal of periphyton and oysters. The Tapong Bay shows a 37% increase (from 5.6 to 7.7 mol C m(-2)yr(-1)) in net ecosystem production (NEP) after structure removal, although the increase was not statistically significant. The change in environmental conditions has therefore influenced profoundly the carbon and nutrient biogeochemical processes and budgets in the semi-enclosed ecosystem.     

乌梁素海湖泊冰生长过程中总氮的迁移规律

为研究湖泊冰封期总氮的污染特征,测定了冰厚分别为0 cm、2.5 cm、9.5 cm、21 cm、31 cm、41 cm、50 cm和 59 cm时总氮在冰体和水体中的垂向分布,阐明湖泊冰生长过程中总氮在冰-水-沉积物体系的迁移规律。结果表明:冰生长过程中总氮由冰体向冰下水体迁移,水体的总氮含量随着冰厚的增加而升高,冰厚为59 cm时其含量为冰体的2.85倍,冰生长速率决定总氮在冰-水界面处的迁移通量;总氮在冰层内的迁移主要发生在冰体形成初期(0~21 cm),之后几乎不再迁移而与冰内气泡融合并转化为独立于冰体的稳定氮胞;冰下水体总氮的实测值小于其计算值,表明冰生长过程中总氮由水体向沉积物迁移。     

Stand structure,floristic composition and species diversity along altitudinal gradients of a Bornean mountain range 30 years after selective logging

The mountain ecosystem is a hotspot of biodiversity and provides a significant contribution to the humans' livelihoods. However, there is still a lack of information regarding floral diversity and how it has been affected due to a logging operation in Sarawak. A study was conducted to determine vegetation recovery at the Heart of Borneo conservation area at different elevations: 750–1200 m(S1), 1200–1500 m(S2) and 1500 m(S3). A total of 891 trees were enumerated. The trees comprised 55 families, 98 genera and 203 species. The lowest elevation site, S1, contained the highest number of species(117) and families(42), while the highest elevation site, S3, contained the lowest diversity(25 families and 59 species). A similar forest structure was recorded, whereby diameter at breast height(dbh), basal area and height decreased as elevation increased. The most speciose families in S1 were Dipterocarpaceae(11 species) and Lauraceae(10 species), while Lauraceae and Fagaceae were the dominant tree families at S2 and S3. Secondary tree species are still abundantly found in the logged plots, especially at S2(45.5%), indicating that after 30 years, these stands are still in the recovery stages. The logged plots retained typical secondary forest appearances with lower canopy diameters and heights and dbh than the unlogged forest. Although the species richness approached that of the unlogged plots, especially at S1(90.9%) and S3(94.9%), there were still major differences in the floristic compositions between logged and unlogged plots(35.4%, 21.5% and 44.7% for S1, S2 and S3, respectively). Although potential seed sources were in close proximity, succession at S2 has proceeded much slower than at S1 and S3. Lower concentrations of soil nutrients, especially N, may be the main reason for the slow recovery. In conclusion, the results suggested that the selectively logged forest at the Payeh Maga Highland required more than three decades to recover and achieve a climate forest stage.     

Application of Hilbert-Huang transform to characterize soil liquefaction and quay wall seismic responses modeled in centrifuge shaking-table tests

In this paper, a Hilbert-Huang Transform data-processing technique is successfully used to characterize the seismic responses of soil–quay wall systems using measured data in a series of geotechnical centrifuge shaking-table tests. The predominant frequency of a liquefied deposit shifts down to a low frequency level; however, “de-liquefaction” leads to frequent, local higher-frequency spikes in the time histories of predominant instantaneous frequency (PIF). A lower amount of seaward displacement was found if the combined translation and rotation modes resulted in lower excess-pore-water pressure when the wall accelerated seaward. Cyclic changes in the PIF of the wall during shaking are directly related to the stiffness of the soil in which the wall is embedded. Thus, PIF at any given instant provides a superior indicator for characterizing the occurrence of liquefaction and the time-varying soil dynamic property. This advantage assists in evaluating the degradation of soil dynamic properties at any given instant based on the acceleration time histories measured in model tests or even in the field.