A multi-model decision support system (MM-DSS) for avalanche hazard prediction over North-West Himalaya

Natural Hazards - Avalanche forecasting is carried out using physical as well as statistical models. All these models have certain limitations associated with their mathematical formulation that...     

Development of a Speckle Interferometer and the Measurement of Fried's Parameter (ro) at the Telescope Site

A new optical speckle interferometer for use at the 2.34 meter Vainu Bappu Telescope (VBT), at Vainu Bappu Observatory (VBO), Kavalur, India, has been designed and developed. Provisions have been made for observation both at the prime focus (f/3,25), as well as at the Cassegrain focus (f/13) of the said telescope. The technical details of this sensitive instrument and the design features are described. An interface between the telescope and the afore-mentioned interferometer is made based on a concept of eliminating the formation of eddies due to the hot air entrapment. The performances of this instrument has been tested both at the laboratory, as well as at the Cassegrain end of the telescope. It is being used routinely to observe the speckle-grams of close-binary (separation < 1 arc second) stars. The size of the Fried's parameter, r_o, is also measured.     

Excitation equilibrium for low lying levels in Cii,Niii, Oiv,Nevi, Mgviii,Six, and Siii

The populations of the excited state ² P _3/2 relative to the ground state ² P _1/2 have been investigated in C ii, N iii, O iv, Ne vi, Mg viii, Si x, and Si ii by considering all the radiative and collisional processes including the collisional transitions to the higher states which cascade to the upper level. The relative populations are used for the calculation of the line emissivities. The intensities of 76 320, 30 258 and 14 302 lines of Nevi, Mgviii, and Six ions respectively in the chromosphere-corona transition region are also calculated.     

FOOD CONSUMPTION AND NUTRITION IN RURAL AREAS OF MADHYA PRADESH, INDIA (WITH SPECIAL REFERENCE TO SAGAR DIVISION)

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A decadal historical satellite data analysis for flood hazard evaluation: A case study of Bihar (North India)

Flood is one of the major recurrent natural disasters faced by the state of Bihar in north India. In the present study the authors assess the severity of flood hazard in Bihar, using 128 decadal historical satellite datasets acquired during different flood magnitudes during 1998 to 2010. The satellite‐based observations have been analysed in conjunction with the hydrological data, for assessing the frequency of inundation, severity of flood hazard and cropped land under flood hazard. This study assesses the spatial distribution of flooding and creation of systematic flood hazard database, which can be analysed from a spatial dimension in GIS. It is observed that about 24.56 lakh ha of the state's area and about 15.85 lakh ha of the cropped area are vulnerable to flood hazard. North Bihar is more vulnerable to flooding; 8 of the 10 areas identified as worst flood‐affected districts lie in this region.     

Stability of L4 for radiated rigid primaries in resonant cases

The non-linear stability of the triangular libration point L₄ of the restricted three-body problem is studied under the presence of third- and fourth-order resonances, when the more massive primary is a triaxial rigid body and source of radiation. In this study, Markeev's theorems are applied with the help of Moser's theorem. It is found that the stability of the triangular libration point is unstable in the third-order resonance case and in the fourth-order resonance case, this is stable or unstable depending on A₁ and A₂, and a source of radiation parameter α, where A₁, A₂ depend upon the lengths of the semi-axes of the triaxial rigid body.     

Simulation of Air Quality using an ISCST3 Dispersion Model

Urban air quality is an issue of major concern across many cities in India. In particular, high levels of particulate matter (both SPM and RSPM) are responsible for noncompliance to air quality standards. Air quality modeling is an effective tool to simulate the air quality of a region and to predict air quality concentrations under different scenarios. Kanpur city which is a top‐ten urban conglomerate in India (based on population) is chosen for the application of the ISCST3 model and simulation of air quality. Sectored emission loads are estimated for transport, industrial, power, and domestic sectors, which provide an estimate of the major contributors to air pollution with specific reference to particulate matter, which is a major pollutant of concern. A detailed scenario analysis is carried out to estimate the changes in emissions that would take place due to various interventions. Dispersion modeling is carried out using the ISCST3 model, to estimate the concentrations of SPM all over the city under different scenarios. Emission inventory and meteorological data served as input to the model, and the air quality is predicted for various seasons and intervention scenarios. The modeled values for the scenario without intervention results in an underestimation of 48%, which is due to unaccountable or unidentified sources, trans‐boundary movement of SPM, and model calibration errors. To overcome the error, the model is calibrated with the observed values and results are obtained for other scenarios using the calibration factor. The paper demonstrates only the research direction currently used to simulate air quality in Indian cities. However, further refinement and research is required before it could be used for more accurate predictions.     

Equilibrium constants of the molecular ion H 3 +

Thd H ₃ ⁺ molecular ion plays an important role in the chemistry of astronomical objects as it protonates the neutral species. The authors have recently calculated the partition functions of H ₃ ⁺ which may be used to compute the equilibrium constants for the chemical reaction H₂+H₂ ⁺H ₃ ⁺ +H. In this short communication we have calculated the equilibrium constants for the temperature range from 500 to 8000 K. The results are also presented in the polynomial form.