宜昌站1882-2007年径流变化规律分析

以长江流域宜昌站1882-2007年的天然径流序列为基础数据,采用Mann-Kendall检验法和小波分析等统计方法,对径流序列各年代年内变化和年际分配变化进行了分析.结果表明,年内变化中,宜昌站径流分配不均匀,各个年代径流量集中在汛期;不均匀性和集中程度以20世纪20-50年代最明显,21世纪初最不明显,其他年份均介于二者之间,差别不大.在年际变化中,宜昌站多年径流量呈现减少的趋势,但并不显著;1935年左右为径流突变年份,径流量由突变前的14432 m3/s减少到突变后的13471 m3/s,减少了961 m3/s;多年径流量均存在12a和27 a的变化周期.     

闪电数据三维可视化统计分析系统设计与实现

利用虚拟仿真技术,基于GaeaExplorer三维地理信息系统平台,设计开发了闪电数据三维可视化与统计分析系统。建立了闪电空间数据库,搭建了逼真的三维仿真场景,实现了闪电数据三维精细可视化;同时结合地理信息系统的空间分析能力,实现了闪电数据的管理及空间分析功能,为防雷减灾和决策服务提供了科学手段。应用结果表明:研发的闪电数据三维可视化与统计分析系统具有良好的应用体验,为闪电业务及科研工作提供了坚实的基础平台。     

地形暴雨的多普勒天气雷达观测分析

为了进一步揭示地形对暴雨的影响,提高强降水的预报、监测和预警能力,针对三次落区于太行山东部迎风坡的暴雨天气,通过对多普勒天气雷达的观测分析发现:三次暴雨均为积层混合型絮状回波,受太行山地形的影响,无论回波移动方向如何,在偏东风作用下,较强回波均在太行山东侧迎风坡加强(或有新生)、合并、移速减慢,对应降水加强;三次过程径向速度场均为连续的大尺度风场特征,低层均有偏东风"牛眼"出现并伴有风速辐合,"牛眼"的形成、强弱、面积的大小和维持时间的长短以及风向的变化对三次暴雨的形成至关重要。低层偏东风"牛眼"结构急流的存在为太行山迎风坡暴雨形成的判据。     

Roadside, Urban, and Rural comparison of size distribution characteristics of PAHs and carbonaceous components of Beijing, China

Size-segregated aerosol samples were collected with a low-pressure impactor (LPI) at urban, roadside and rural sites in winter in Beijing. The size distribution of Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs), organic carbon (OC) and elemental carbon (EC) were measured and this study focused on their size distributions and relationships of PAH to OC/EC. All PAHs show uni-modal at the accumulation mode (0.1–1.8 μm) and almost all PAHs are associated with fine particles. The absence of PAHs in the nucleus mode contributes to the coagulation under the condition of high concentration of the accumulation mode particles. The absence of PAHs in the coarse mode was probably attributed to the low temperature that restrained the redistribution of PAHs from the accumulation mode to the coarse mode. Flu(fluoranthene) and Pyr(pyrene, 4-ring) were the most abundant particulate PAHs ; however, IcdP(indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene) and BghiP(benzo[ghi]perylene, 6-ring) were rather low. Diagnostic ratios show vehicle and coal burning were the major sources of PAHs in winter. Ratios at rural site are obviously different from those found at roadside and urban sites. Lower value of OC/EC in the rural area than that in the urban area was probably resulted from coal burning prevailed in the rural area. OC1 and OC2 exhibit uni-mode distribution similar to their particle surface area distribution indicating their existence on particles by adsorption. OC3 and OC4 show bi-mode distribution. Grinding of biomass debris can be a probable source of OC3 and OC4 in the coarse mode. EC1 is mostly from the pyrolysis of OC; however, both the natural and anthropogenic emissions contribute to EC2. The correlation between size-segregated PAHs and carbonaceous component is also discussed to identify their sources.     

基于扩展有限元法的碳酸盐岩地热储层岩体裂缝扩展行为

水力压裂作为一种主要的地热能开采手段,其压裂效果除与岩体基本物理力学性质有关外,还与裂隙分布、地应力状态、压裂工程参数等密切相关.为了探究以上因素对水力压裂过程中裂缝扩展行为的影响,以冀中坳陷碳酸盐岩储层岩体为研究对象,基于扩展有限元法,建立裂缝扩展流固耦合模型,分析了水平应力差、射孔方位角、注入液排量和压裂液黏度等参数对裂缝扩展行为的影响.结果表明:单裂缝扩展时,射孔方位角越小、注入量越大、越有利于裂缝扩展;双裂缝扩展时,水平应力差增大,裂缝偏转程度变小;水力裂缝与天然裂缝相交时,较小水平应力差有利于天然裂缝开启.     

GNSS-Based Sea Level Monitoring

This paper attempts to assess the use of Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) as an accurate, reliable, and easy tool for sea level measurement. The GNSS technique was incorporated into a float based tide gauge system. A prototype of such an instrument was developed based on principles of conventional tide gauges, where high frequency noise is reduced mechanically. The ability of the GNSS based tide gauge (GTG) to monitor sea levels was tested in several experiments. The performance of the GTG was compared to that of a traditional tide gauge. The method of data analysis and data comparison between the GPS measurements and the tide gauge data is presented. The results show that the GTG is equal in performance to the traditional float operated tide gauge. It seems that the GTG is capable of delivering the same level of accuracy (1 cm), and its results are as reliable as its competitor, the traditional float tide gauge. The suggested instrument can be easily integrated into the array of permanent GNSS stations and assist in absolute measurements of sea level changes, caused by global warming and the greenhouse effect, for example.     

阿尔泰南缘麦兹盆地康布铁堡组变质酸性火山岩年龄及岩石成因

阿尔泰南缘麦兹盆地康布铁堡组赋存有铁铅锌大、中型矿床,但该组火山岩的形成时代和岩石成因以及构造背景还没有形成一致的认识。本文对该组两个变质流纹岩样品进行了LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb年龄测定,获得其年龄分别为410.5±1.3 Ma和400.4±2.1 Ma。岩石地球化学分析结果表明:所有酸性火山岩具有高硅(72.15% ～81.26%),低铝(10.56% ～14.87%)和钛(0.16% ～0.27%),极低的MgO(0.04% ～0.14%)、CaO(0.04% ～2.42%)和TFeO(0.11% ～1.64%)含量; 在原始地幔标准化图上显示出Ti、P、Sr、Ba、Nb和Ta明显负异常,Th、U、Pb、Zr和Hf的正异常,LREE 相对HREE略富集的特征,除个别样品外,大多数样品显示明显的Eu负异常(δEu=0.48～0.91)。结合其区域地质特征,认为本区变质酸性火山岩形成于活动大陆边缘环境,是玄武质岩浆底侵作用使下地壳发生了部分熔融后演化的产物。     

一种基于变权重组合的光谱相似性测度

光谱相似性测度是高光谱遥感影像信息提取的关键。在欧氏距离和光谱角余弦的基础之上提出一种变权重组合的光谱相似性测度,即光谱变化权重相似性测度。这种光谱相似性测度可根据不同地物类别自动对欧氏距离和光谱角余弦测度指标配比权重。选用标准光谱库和机载OMIS高光谱影像对SCWM进行测试,并引入误分率和混淆矩阵对分类结果进行评价。结果表明,相对于仅采用一种或两种光谱相似性测度的分类方法,光谱变化权重相似性测度具有更精细的光谱识别能力。     

东海风暴潮与天文潮的非线性相互作用

中国东海的风暴潮具有明显的周期性波动。凤暴潮除了决定于风应力和长波效应外,还受到天文潮与风暴潮相互作用的影响。本文利用一个二维数值模式对天文潮与风暴潮相互作用的水位进行了模拟。我们选取了8114号台风加以计算。计算结果与实测资料基本相符,由此说明水位曲线中的潮周期波动主要是由于天文潮与风暴潮之间的非线性相互作用所致。数值实验还表明,如果考虑到天文潮与风暴潮的相互作用可以显著改善水位的预报精度。     

Long-term trend of oceanic surface carbon in the Northwest Pacific from 1958 to 2017

Contrasting decrease and increase trends of sea surface temperature（SST） have been documented in the western Subarctic（WSA） and the rest of the Northwest Pacific（NWP） from 1958 to 2017, respectively. Consequently, more（less） total carbon dioxide（TCO₂） due to ocean cooling（warming） is transported to the surface, which leads to increase（decrease） of oceanic surface partial pressure of carbon dioxide（pCO₂）. With the combined influence of the rising atmospheric carbon dioxide（C...