连结科学与社会-国际气候与社会研究所简介

国际气候与社会研究所(The International ResearchInstitute for Climate and Society,IRI)原名国际气候预测研究所,于1992年开始筹建,早期设在著名的Scripp海洋研究所(在加利福尼亚州的圣地亚哥),后于1996年迁至在纽约的哥伦比亚大学。IRI隶属于哥伦比亚地球研究所,坐落在景色秀丽的Lamont-Doherty地球观象台。IRI的使命是提高社会认识、预测和应对气候变化影响的能力,以改进人居环境,确保生态系统的永续性。     

国土资源信息化进程中的软件项目外包管理研究

本文简要论述了软件项目、软件项目管理及国土资源信息化建设特点,概括分析了国土资源行业的软件项目特点,总结了我国国土资源未来信息化发展趋势,同时结合当今信息化及国土资源行业软件项目特征,提出了在国土资源信息化建设进程中对于外包软件项目管理实施中需要注意的一些问题     

一种新的统计回归模型及其建模方案

根据经典门限自回归模型的基本思想,引入半截多项式变换,导出了一种新的统计回归模型,并提出了相应的一整套建模方案。这种模型和建模方案的特点是:（1）解决了统计回归分析中逐段线性化模型的检验问题;（2）在确定统计回归模型中各待估参数和变量——包括门限变量、门限值、阶数、时滞和回归系数时显得十分方便、快捷。试验结果表明,根据此方案建立的统计回归模型具有较高的拟合和预报精度,同时具有良好的稳定性。     

我国月降水和气温网格点资料的处理和分析

用逐步搜索逼近法的客观分析技术计算出１９５１－１９９２年中国月降水量和月平均气温的格点资料，并利用图象识别原理对格点值和站点观测值进行了比较。     

Research on mining-induced deformation and stress,insights from physical modeling and theoretical analysis

The dynamic change of mining-induced stress is the main reason for large deformation of surrounding rock. To investigate the influence of mining-induced stress and deformation is important for appropriate supportive design. It also helps to raise the safety and productivity of longwall mining operations. In this paper, Weijiagou Coal Mine in Southwest China was selected as the case study. In order to research on the deformation and breakage of overlying strata, physical modeling test was carried out on the self-developed rotatable physical similar test system. By using digital image correlation (DIC) technique, the deformation of strata and development of cracks in the process of coal seam excavation were acquired, meanwhile, mining-induced stress was also monitored by pressure cell and strainmeter. According to the mechanical structure of stope, the height of the destressed zone has a significant influence on stress distribution. In order to minimize the discrepancy between the physical model test and theoretical analysis, the dimension of the plastic zone of roadway was added into the mining panel width, and the gap between the experimental and theoretical results reduced.     

Numerical investigation of the hydrodynamic response of an impermeable sea-wall subjected to artificial submarine landslide-induced tsunamis

Landslides - Landslide-induced tsunamis are common natural hazards that potentially affect the safety and stability of waterfront structures. A numerical tank was constructed using FLOW-3D to...     

Ichthyoplankton recruitment from mainstream of the Changjiang River into the Dongting Lake,the second largest freshwater lake in China

Floodplains are important and distinctive ecosystems around the world, and the recruitment of ichthyoplankton from river to floodplain lakes is crucial to maintain this unique ecosystem. However,this process has not been well documented. In this study, ichthyoplankton were sampled to investigate the details of ichthyoplankton recruitment from the Changjiang(Yangtze) River to the Dongting Lake via a floodway channel, the Songzi River, from May to July in 2013 and 2014. During the study period, 41 species of eggs and larvae were sampled. Among the samples, 16 were river-lake migratory species(RL), representing23.5% of the species in the Dongting Lake. In 2013, an estimated 130 million eggs and 3 180 million larvae drifted through the sampling section, and in 2014, an estimated 1 060 million eggs and 1 040 million larvae drifted through the sampling section. The amount of eggs and larvae of RL reached 3 210 million in 2013 and 1 850 million in 2014, respectively. These results demonstrated the importance of ichthyoplankton recruitment from the river to the lake, as species diversity will decrease sharply without this recruitment.Canonical correspondence analysis(CCA) showed that water temperature and water flow are the two most important factors influencing the spawning activities of fish. To maintain the high fish diversity in the Changjiang floodplain, we suggest to irrigate the channel to increase water discharge and increase the transport of ichthyoplankton from the Changjiang mainstream into the Dongting Lake.