The Strandja Massif and the İstanbul Zone were once parts of the same palaeotectonic unit: new data from Triassic detrital zircons

Spatially continuous rock assemblages that share similar environmental evolution or structural features can be classified as a single tectonic unit. This approach enables to link dispersed units or massifs with each other and sometimes can be subjective, depending on the classification criteria. The relationship and the nature of the contact between the Strandja Massif and the ?stanbul Zone have been controversial due to the Cainozoic cover. Amalgamation of these units was claimed as early as the Aptian-Albian.

Lower Triassic sedimentary rocks, which are overlain by the Carboniferous flysch with a N-verging thrust fault are exposed NW of the ?stanbul Zone. This study reveals the spatial relationship between the Strandja Massif and the ?stanbul Zone deduced from the U-Pb dating and Lu-Hf isotopes of the detrital zircons from these Lower Triassic clastics. Our results show that the early Triassic basin was fed from a provenance that included arc-related Upper Carboniferous-Lower Permian magmatic rocks which is much more likely to be the Strandja Massif than the ?stanbul Zone. The second outcome of this study is that a unit that previously assigned to Palaeozoic turned out to be Triassic, which brings the Strandja Massif farther to the east, into the northern ?stanbul Zone.     

大气气溶胶密度观测研究进展

大气气溶胶的气候效应、环境效应、健康效应均与其物理化学性质密切相关,其中,密度是大气气溶胶重要的物理性质之一。密度影响着粒子的输送过程和在人体肺部的沉积过程。密度可以分别将电迁移率粒径和空气动力学粒径,数浓度和质量浓度联系起来。密度的变化可为气溶胶的形成和老化过程提供信息,细粒子分粒径的密度还可为大气过程和化学组分的演化提供参考依据。因此,研究大气气溶胶密度对了解气溶胶化学组分,评估气溶胶形成过程以及探究气溶胶在人体内的沉积效率具有重要的意义。由于国内在该领域研究总体较少,对大气气溶胶密度的定义、研究方法、国内外研究进展以及影响因素和变化特征等进行较为系统的总结,对未来开展大气气溶胶密度的观测和研究十分必要。     

中国高校技术转移网络的时空特征及影响因素——基于高校-城市二模网络视角

高校技术转移效率偏低是当前中国亟待解决的现实问题,在创新驱动战略深入实施背景下,从空间供需视角探究其转移规律,对实现世界科技强国目标具有重要参考价值。基于2001—2018年中国高校专利转让数据构建高校-城市二模网络,利用社会网络分析、GIS空间分析和网络动力学模型,定量分析高校技术转移网络的空间演化规律及影响因子。研究发现：(1)中国高校技术转移网络规模迅速扩张,高校和城市节点的发育均呈现显著差异性,高校技术主要由综合类和理工类“985/211”高校转至直辖市、省会和区域中心城市;(2)高校技术转移以本地为主,边界效应明显,本地技术转移高值区呈现以直辖市和省会城市为核心的散布格局,跨区域技术转移网络呈现以京津、成渝、长三角、珠三角、哈长沈为核心节点的“梯形”架构;(3)高校等级、高校类型、地理距离、空间共位、技术兼容性和城市技术吸收能力综合影响高校技术转移网络的形成与演化。据此,建议因地制宜促进城市尺度的高校技术转移体系建设,并强化核心城市的多尺度高校技术转移网络建设。     

A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared climate policy assumptions

The new scenario framework facilitates the coupling of multiple socioeconomic reference pathways with climate model products using the representative concentration pathways. This will allow for improved assessment of climate impacts, adaptation and mitigation. Assumptions about climate policy play a major role in linking socioeconomic futures with forcing and climate outcomes. The paper presents the concept of shared climate policy assumptions as an important element of the new scenario framework. Shared climate policy assumptions capture key policy attributes such as the goals, instruments and obstacles of mitigation and adaptation measures, and introduce an important additional dimension to the scenario matrix architecture. They can be used to improve the comparability of scenarios in the scenario matrix. Shared climate policy assumptions should be designed to be policy relevant, and as a set to be broad enough to allow a comprehensive exploration of the climate change scenario space.     

Harmonization vs. fragmentation: overview of climate policy scenarios in EMF27

This paper synthesizes results of the multi-model Energy Modeling Forum 27 (EMF27) with a focus on climate policy scenarios. The study included two harmonized long-term climate targets of 450 ppm CO₂-e (enforced in 2100) and 550 pm CO₂-e (not-to-exceed) as well as two more fragmented policies based on national and regional emissions targets. Stabilizing atmospheric GHG concentrations at 450 and 550 ppm CO₂-e requires a dramatic reduction of carbon emissions compared to baseline levels. Mitigation pathways for the 450 CO₂-e target are largely overlapping with the 550 CO₂-e pathways in the first half of the century, and the lower level is achieved through rapid reductions in atmospheric concentrations in the second half of the century aided by negative anthropogenic carbon flows. A fragmented scenario designed to extrapolate current levels of ambition into the future falls short of the emissions reductions required under the harmonized targets. In a more aggressive scenario intended to capture a break from observed levels of stringency, emissions are still somewhat higher in the second half due to unabated emissions from non-participating countries, emphasizing that a phase-out of global emissions in the long term can only be reached with full global participation. A key finding is that a large range of energy-related CO₂ emissions can be compatible with a given long-term target, depending on assumptions about carbon cycle response, non-CO₂ and land use CO₂ emissions abatement, partly explaining the spread in mitigation costs.     

Economic impacts of alternative greenhouse gas emission metrics: a model-based assessment

In this paper we study the impact of alternative metrics on short- and long-term multi-gas emission reduction strategies and the associated global and regional economic costs and emissions budgets. We compare global warming potentials with three different time horizons (20, 100, 500 years), global temperature change potential and global cost potentials with and without temperature overshoot. We find that the choice of metric has a relatively small impact on the CO₂ budget compatible with the 2° target and therefore on global costs. However it substantially influences mid-term emission levels of CH₄, which may either rise or decline in the next decades as compared to today’s levels. Though CO₂ budgets are not affected much, we find changes in CO₂ prices which substantially affect regional costs. Lower CO₂ prices lead to more fossil fuel use and therefore higher resource prices on the global market. This increases profits of fossil-fuel exporters. Due to the different weights of non-CO₂ emissions associated with different metrics, there are large differences in nominal CO₂ equivalent budgets, which do not necessarily imply large differences in the budgets of the single gases. This may induce large shifts in emission permit trade, especially in regions where agriculture with its high associated CH₄ emissions plays an important role. Furthermore it makes it important to determine CO₂ equivalence budgets with respect to the chosen metric. Our results suggest that for limiting warming to 2 °C in 2100, the currently used GWP100 performs well in terms of global mitigation costs despite its conceptual simplicity.     

热带太平洋要素场与ENSO的非线性相关特征分析

为进一步揭示热带太平洋海气系统要素场之间的非线性相关特征,基于Hadley提供的海温场资料和美国国家环境预报中心(NCEP)和美国国家大气研究中心(NCAR)提供的海面风场和海面气压场资料,采用经验正交(EOF)分解和非线性典型相关分析法(NLCCA),分析了海温、海面风场和海面气压场三要素场之间的非线性相关性。结果表明,西太平洋暖池的异常暖状态和热带太平洋的西风异常与ENSO的非线性之间存在着密切关联。进一步引入奇异值分解方法(SVD),将其与NLCCA方法相结合,分析了热带太平洋海温场与海面风场、海面气压场耦合变化的关键影响区及其异性相关的分布特征。分析表明,热带太平洋西风异常和西太副高与ENSO循环之间存在较好的相关性。具体表现在:海温在中东太平洋地区出现异常增暖时,有助于加强东南亚地区的对流发展,促使东南亚地区季风的提前爆发;而东北太平洋副热带高压强度变化对北太平洋中部Nam ias海区海温距平的东西向振荡具有重要作用。研究为ENSO循环的非线性特性提供了有力的证明,也为ENSO的预测研究奠定了相关基础。     

北祁连拉硐超基性岩体铬尖晶石特征研究及找矿意义

拉硐超基性岩体位于青海省祁连县城东北约15km处,面积约7.6km2,岩性主要由蛇纹石化橄榄岩、蛇纹石化辉榄岩、蛇纹岩及纯橄岩组成,共发现157个铬铁矿小矿体,铬铁矿体成群出现,依据野外铬铁矿体分布范围,自西向东划分为10个矿带,通过对其中铬尖晶石取样分析研究,并与区内其他含矿岩体中铬尖晶石样品化验分析结果对比,确定该类岩体不同岩性组合带的找矿方向。     

水平地震力作用下岩体破坏机理探究

基于摩尔库伦强度准则和波动理论对地震作用下岩体的破坏机理进行研究。结果表明:当埋深在一定范围内,水平地震作用下岩体的内聚力c和正应力σn与振动速度和埋深呈线性关系。当埋深一定时,振动速度越大c值越小;在振动速度增大的过程中岩体的应力状态由压应力逐渐转变为拉应力,且拉应力随振动速度的增大而增大;当振动速度一定时,岩体埋深越大c值越小;埋深越浅,拉应力越大,当埋深达到一定值时岩体就只在其弹性极限内振动而不产生破坏。     

Complex deposits in the Lo Gam structure,northeastern Vietnam: mineralogy,geochemistry, and formation conditions

The Pb–Zn deposits in the Lo Gam structure, northeastern Vietnam, account for>80% of all the Pb and Zn resources of Vietnam. All the deposits make up four isolated ore districts (Thai Nguyen, Cho Don, Cho Dien, Na Son), which can be combined in one metallogenic zone extending for >100 km from southeast to northwest. The Pb–Zn deposits in all the ore districts show some similarity to stratiform (Mississippi-type) deposits: confinement to Devonian carbonate sediments; localization at the intersection of faults of different orientations; vein and stockwork (pocket-vein-disseminated) morphology of the mineralized zones; evidence for hydrothermal-metasomatic formation (carbonate-rock marbleization, quartz–carbonate veins, etc.); and low and moderate mineralization temperatures (<250 °C). On the other hand, some differences from stratiform deposits are observed: widespread occurrence of Permo-Triassic igneous rocks in the above ore districts; absent tabular orebodies, which are typical of stratiform deposits; large set of trace elements (In, Bi, Sb, Au, Ag, Cu, Cd) not typical of stratiform deposits; and an endogenic primary source, as evidenced by the isotope composition of sulfur (δS³⁴= 2.68‰), which is close to meteoritic, and the set of trace elements, which are mainly of deep genesis. All this indicates that the above Pb–Zn deposits within the carbonate units are low-and moderate-temperature hydrothermal-metasomatic products associated with active magmatism which took place in this region in the Permo-Triassic.The differences in the mineral composition of the deposits, as well as in the trace-element set and contents at different deposits, clearly indicate an intricate ore formation process and the relation of the deposits with magmatism of different compositions. The simple mineral composition and the limited set of trace elements (Cd, Ag, Sb, As) at the Lang Hich deposit are closer to the characteristics of stratiform deposits. Also, manifestations of magmatism are almost absent here. On the contrary, unusually high (ppm) In (75.8), Sn (307.5), Cu (1080), Ag (157.7), Bi (99), and As (13,650) contents were observed at the deposits of the Cho Don and Cho Dien districts, with widespread granitoid magmatism in the Phia Bioc complex. Rare-earth mineralization (orthite) and high Mo, Re, and Rb contents at the deposits of the Na Son district are probably due to the widespread occurrence of stratified alkaline volcanics and their subvolcanic analogs, which belong to the Pla Ma complex (ξγPZ₂ pm).