Restructuring the export-oriented industrialization in the Pearl River Delta, China: Institutional evolution and emerging tension

The rise of the Pearl River Delta (PRD) as a promising workshop of the “world factory” in China has attributed to the export-oriented industrialization driven by foreign direct investment, particularly Overseas Chinese investment from Hong Kong and Taiwan initiated in the late 1970s. The export-oriented industrialization has embedded in the flexible institutions favourable for foreign investors and local authorities, via the salient entry mode, i.e. processing with supplied materials (lailiaojiagong). Since the mid-2000s, the export-oriented industrialization has undergone dramatic restructuring to cope with the changing business environment at global, national and regional and firm levels. Drawing upon the evolutionary and institutional perspectives in geographical political economy approach, this study argues that the prevailed institutions conducive for the export-oriented processing have evolved into institutional inertia and territorial embeddedness as obstacles for the on-going restructuring, particularly the market reorientation from export to domestic sale. Moreover, difficulties of restructuring through the state-designated relocation have been heightened by the resistance from below and emerging state-firm tension. The institutional evolution of the export-oriented industrialization in the PRD has enriched the literature on industrial restructuring in the context of dynamic global-local interactions, but also provided fundamental implications for formulating well-coordinated restructuring strategies among various institutions and concerned actors.     

20世纪末中国迁移人口空间分布格局——基于城市的视角

基于人口普查资料,对20世纪末中国迁移人口在不同行政级别、不同规模城市的分布格局进行分析,并运用探索性空间数据分析技术进一步对地级及以上城市迁移人口的空间分布特征进行研究。结果表明:地级及以上城市在迁移人口流动中占主要地位,其中百万规模级别以上城市在人口迁移中地位尤为显著;县级市间迁移人口规模差异显著,东部地区县级市平均迁移规模要大于西部和中部;省际迁移中城市空间分布大体呈现3个梯状层次;省内迁移中城市空间分布总体表现出极大的相似性,均以各省会城市作为省内迁移人口的第一流入地;不论是省内迁移还是省际迁移,东部沿海地区的珠三角和长三角地区城市群都是迁移人口的高度集聚地。     

皖南国际旅游文化示范区文化旅游资源整合开发模式

文化旅游是当今世界旅游发展的主流,旅游与文化的关联度渗透性日益增强,如何提升旅游产品的文化内涵,是世界各地旅游业长远发展的关键问题。皖南国际旅游文化示范区包括黄山、池州、宣城、芜湖、马鞍山、铜陵六市及安庆市的潜山县,辖34个县市区,总面积38220km²,总人口1069.6万,是安徽省最具开发潜力的旅游板块,文化旅游资源的品位和富集度都很高,但是在开发过程中存在着开发层次较低、产业链条脆弱、整体旅游形象不明、缺乏王牌产品、整合开发乏力等诸多问题。通过分析示范区文化旅游资源的开发现状及问题,提出了对文化旅游资源开发进行整合的模式,即以空间为依托的地域组合模式、以市场为依托的产品整合模式、以营销为依托的形象整合模式、以产业为依托的文化与旅游互动发展模式等。     

WRF模式模拟的地表短波辐射与实况对比分析

利用中尺度数值模式WRFV3对2009年1、4、8和10月进行了约4个月的逐日（0～36小时）到达地表短波辐射模拟,将输出结果转换成逐小时太阳总辐射,并以武汉站为例,与地表实测逐小时总辐射值进行对比分析。结果表明：（1）模拟结果与观测结果有较好的对应关系,4个月的日间模拟和观测值的相关系数均在0.8以上,均通过了置信度0.01的显著性检验。（2）日间各时刻模拟值与实况相比,平均预报误差早晚小,中午大;平均绝对误差变化趋势与平均预报误差相同,平均绝对百分比误差则一般早晚大,09—15时较小且变化幅度小,可信度高于其他时刻。（3）WRFV3模式对太阳总辐射,在各种气象条件下均有一定预报能力,尤其以晴天表现最佳。距直接使用模式输出的地表短波辐射结果作为光伏发电系统初值用于发电量预报还有一些误差,可以尝试采用误差订正等方法修订,提高数值预报结果的可用性。     

台站迁移对陕西省气温资料均一性的影响及其偏差订正

利用陕西省74个台站1961-2008年气温资料和台站沿革资料,采用二相回归法进行均一性检测和订正。结果发现台站迁移对气温资料的均一性有明显的影响,陕北台站迁移较少,关中和陕南迁站较多,全省74个台站中有24个台站资料的非均一性是因为台站迁移而引起的,对其中的12个台站进行了调整,使得全省气温序列从南至北分布具有较好的‘均一性’。     

基于链表的兔子序列生成

针对兔子序列的生成提出了一种基于链表的实现方法,并采用C语言编程实现.选取不同的起点,该方法可生成大量0—1序列,能较好地应用于数字水印中决策等需求.同时,该方法能更形象地表达兔子序列的生成过程,进一步体现链表的动态存储特性,可作为"数据结构"与"程序设计"等课程的实践案例.     

夜间稳定边界层中间歇性湍流热通量的 提取及其谱特征

在夜间稳定边界层中, 湍流热通量往往具有间歇性特征。在一阵阵出现的强度较大的湍流热通量之间, 混杂着弱噪声或其他微弱的难以辨识的高频脉动信号。为了研究间歇性湍流热通量的特征, 必须将这些无关信 号剔除, 以提取出干净的湍流热通量。本文提出了一种新的提取间歇性湍流热通量的方法, 该方法通过分析 湍流热通量的概率密度函数, 并与稳定分布进行比较, 湍流热通量的概率密度函数开始偏离稳定分布的位置, 即是间歇性湍流热通量开始出现的阈值。本文通过夜间稳定边界层外场试验数据的验证, 发现利用稳定分布确定 的阈值可有效地提取出间歇性湍流热通量。在此基础之上, 本文对比了提取前后湍流热通量的功率谱, 发现 提取后低频信号的方差所占比重下降, 而高频信号略有上升。此外, 间歇性湍流热通量在高频区的功率谱满足“-7/6”律。     

江苏省连阴雨过程时空分布特征分析

通过综合各地连阴雨指标因子, 确定了江苏省连阴雨过程的标准, 根据指标体系, 对其时空分布特征进行了分析, 得出江苏省年均连阴雨次数为12.3次, 连阴雨的空间分布存在着明显的北少南多的特征, 可见沿江苏南地区为连阴雨的频发地区。其中从对农作物危害程度来看, 主要是春季连阴雨(3—5月)和秋季连阴雨(9—11月)影响较大, 这两个时段连阴雨过程发生次数较多, 分别为年均3.1和2.7次, 其中春季3月和秋季9月的连阴雨出现次数最多。为了进一步定量评估连阴雨的强度, 我们设计了连阴雨强度指数模型, 对强度指数M_LYY进行了分级, 实施了对连阴雨强度的进一步把握, 更好地为决策部门提供了服务。     

异常气温作用于水稻一维能量模型的数值分析

应用动力学方程建立四川内江市水稻的生长模型,通过FORCAL和MATLAB对方程参数拟合,并进行数值分析和定性分析,为水稻产量预报和气温对水稻生物量的影响评估提供科学依据。在传统的一维能量模型基础上,将水稻对外界能量的摄取能力与水稻生长季中的气温变化规律联系起来,得到水稻的生长曲线x（t）,并通过相平面轨迹得到x—T曲线,定性分析水稻的临界气温和最快生长率出现时间。通过低温对水稻分蘖期和高温对生殖生长期影响的比较,得出如下结论：水稻后期受高温影响比前期受低温影响严重。     

Model Analysis of the Anthropogenic Aerosol Effect on Clouds over East Asia

A coupled meteorology and aerosol/chemistry model WRF-Chem(Weather Research and Forecast model coupled with Chemistry) was used to conduct a pair of simulations with present-day(PD) and preindustrial(PI) emissions over East Asia to examine the aerosol indirect effect on clouds.As a result of an increase in aerosols in January,the cloud droplet number increased by 650 cm-3 over the ocean and East China,400 cm-3 over Central and Southwest China,and less than 200 cm-3 over North China.The cloud liquid water path(LWP) increased by 40-60 g m-2 over the ocean and Southeast China and 30 g m-2 over Central China;the LWP increased less than 5 g m-2 or decreased by 5 g m-2 over North China.The effective radius(Re) decreased by more than 4 μm over Southwest,Central,and Southeast China and 2μm over North China.In July,variations in cloud properties were more uniform;the cloud droplet number increased by approximately 250-400 cm-3,the LWP increased by approximately 30-50 g m-2,and Re decreased by approximately 3 ?m over most regions of China.In response to cloud property changes from PI to PD,shortwave(SW) cloud radiative forcing strengthened by 30 W m-2 over the ocean and 10 W m-2 over Southeast China,and it weakened slightly by approximately 2-10 W m-2 over Central and Southwest China in January.In July,SW cloud radiative forcing strengthened by 15 W m-2 over Southeast and North China and weakened by 10 W m-2 over Central China.The different responses of SW cloud radiative forcing in different regions was related to cloud feedbacks and natural variability.