基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统应用

地震应急指挥技术系统的特殊性要求整个系统必须具有高可靠性及稳定性.基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统可实现整个系统的容灾备份,并通过虚拟机特性将原来在多台服务器上部署的系统在一台高性能服务器上实现,节约资源的同时,使异地移植更加灵活.基于虚拟技术的地震应急指挥技术系统,可提升整个系统的稳定性、灵活性、可靠性.     

山东区域地电场观测质量分析

对7个台的观测数据质量进行评价和分析,结果表明:郯城、菏泽、大山和陵阳地震台数据质量较好,精度较高,可为地震研究提供可靠的数据资料.     

海洋地磁参量实时测量野值的在线辨识与改正

地磁参量实时测量野值的在线辨识与改正是影响地磁导航算法定位概率和精度的重要因素.地磁导航定位的研究目前主要集中于匹配定位算法,地磁参量实时测量数据处理的研究较少.本文将多层递阶非平稳时间序列预测模型引入海洋地磁参量实时测量野值在线辨识与改正,利用多层递阶模型对实时测量值进行一步预测,根据迪克松准则进行野值辨识,利用中值滤波和一步预测值对野值进行改正.仿真数据和实测数据的实验室仿真结果表明,本文提出的野值在线辨识与改正算法不仅可以检测全部孤立型野值而且对多数斑点型野值也有较好的辨识效果,对产生野值处信号的复原误差小于5%.     

The effects of dam construction and precipitation variability on hydrologic alteration in the Lancang River Basin of southwest China

This paper presents an evaluation of the spatio-temporal patterns of hydrologic alteration induced by dam construction and precipitation variability in the Lancang River Basin of southwest China from 1957 to 2000. Analyses were conducted using the linear regression method, the Mann–Kendall test, and the Range of Variability Approach. The results indicate that there was considerable variation in the average monthly precipitation between the pre- and post-dam periods in the Lancang River Basin. Second, the magnitude of monthly runoff was strongly related to precipitation, which showed an up-down annual variation, and was significantly altered by dam construction and precipitation variability. In the modified series (hydrologic series with the precipitation impacts removed), runoff deviations between the pre- and post-dam periods became larger. Third, the extreme runoff cycles were influenced by dam construction and precipitation variability downstream from the dam, and the monthly maximum runoff increased from the pre-dam to post-dam period at all hydrologic stations. Fourth, the degree of hydrologic alteration (DHA) indicates that the precipitation variability not only affected the hydrologic regime of unregulated river reach but also modified the negative impacts of dam construction, which could provide a modest mitigation of the hydrologic alterations induced by dam construction, possibly decreasing the level of DHA. Last, the overall degree of hydrologic alteration in the observed series reached 25.2, 25.3, and 29.1 % for the upstream, midstream, and downstream areas, respectively. These results show that the hydrologic regimes of the Lancang River during the 1957–2000 period were affected by damming and precipitation variability, but the hydrologic alteration was relatively low in the upstream areas of the river without a dam.     

气候变暖与海平面上升

本文通过大量实际资料分析认为,现代全球变暖与海平面上升,源于200多年前小冰期冷峰出现后的气候返暖、海平面回升过程演变的结果。近30年的世界海平面上升的速率,有着上世纪80、90年代和本世纪前10年世界平均气温每10年以0．2F°（0．11℃）为梯度的连续抬升为背景。在此以CO。含量为气候指标,划分出了公元200年以来的八个暖段（暖期）。若按冷暖极值距200年或250年计算,则由目前正在发展的暖期,将在公元2050年或2100年前后结束,而后开始降温。作者依据最近30年同一时段国内外验潮资料计算获得的绝对海平面升降速率为＋1．52±0．27mm／a及相对海平面升降速率为＋1．39±0．26mm/a。按照2010年坎昆气候大会决议要求,在对前人有关研究成果进行考量时,对将来的2050和2100年世界海平面预测及我国地面沉降较明显的沿海城市如天津、上海、厦门、海口等相对海平面升降值,进行了测算与评估。     

Ecological effects of co-culturing sea cucumber Apostichopus japonicus (Selenka) with scallop Chlamys farreri in earthen ponds

Monthly changes in sedimentation and sediment properties were studied for three different culture treatments: sea cucumber monoculture (Mc), sea cucumber and scallop polyculture (Ps-c) and scallop monoculture (Ms). Results indicated that the survival rate of sea cucumber was significantly higher in Ps-c cultures than in Mc cultures. Sea cucumber yield was 69.6% higher in Ps-c culture than in Mc culture. No significant differences in body weight and scallop shell length were found between Ps-c and Ms cultures. The mean sedimentation rate of total particulate matter (TPM) was 72.2 g/(m2 d) in Ps-c cultures, with a maximum of 119.7 g/(m2 d), which was markedly higher than that of Mc (mean value). Sedimentation rates of organic matter (OM), total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorus (TP) in Ps-c cultures were also significantly higher than those in Mc cultures. TOC and TN contents of sediment increased rapidly in the first 5 months in Ms cultures and remained at a high level. TOC and TN contents in Mc and Ps-c cultures decreased during sea cucumber feeding seasons and increased during sea cucumber dormancy periods (summer and winter). The study demonstrates that co-culture of sea cucumber and scallop in earthen ponds is an alternative way to alleviate nutrient loads and improve water quality in coastal aquaculture systems. Moreover, it provides the additional benefit of an increased sea cucumber yield.     

全球及中国周边地区资源环境科学数据库构建

 全球及中国周边地区资源环境科学数据是支撑包括全球变化在内的资源环境前沿科学研究,以及我国宏观决策制定重要的基础性支撑数据,对于保障国家安全具有重要意义。针对现阶段尚无一套完整的、标准化的全球及中国周边地区资源环境科学数据库的现状,结合中国科学院 "资源环境科学数据库建设与决策支持研究"实践工作,本文构建了包括3大体系在内的全球及中国周边地区资源环境科学数据库的基本框架,即资源环境科学数据库标准规范体系结构、全球资源环境科学数据库系统、中国周边资源环境科学数据库系统。其中,资源环境科学数据库标准规范体系结构,包括3个大类共计22类标准规范;全球资源环境科学数据库系统包括2大类、13亚类、35个小类的数据库;中国周边地区资源环境科学数据库由东北亚、东南亚、南亚和中亚4个区域共计23小类数据库构成,以期为后续相关大尺度资源环境科学数据库的构建提供探索性的借鉴。今后将进一步完善全球及中国周边地区资源环境科学数据库构建工作的深化与拓展研究。     

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祁连山水源涵养林区降水及温度时空变化研究

研究大气降水及温度的时空变化对建立气候预警系统有重要的意义。利用气象和水文自动监测仪器沿环境梯度和植被类型对祁连山水源涵养林区温度及降水时空变化进行了动态监测。结果表明,祁连山西水林区降水呈单峰曲线型,主要集中在夏季,占全年降水的72%;在环境梯度上差异较大,表现为乔灌交错带处(3 300 m)降水为最大,交错带以下随海拔的升高降水增大,交错带以上由于降水复杂性导致随海拔的升高而减少;在年际上差异更大,2004年以前降水量随年份的增大有下降趋势,2004年以后降水量增幅较大。祁连山西水林区气温从1986年以来逐渐上升,但年均气温大多在0 ℃以下,最低为-1.33 ℃,从2003年以来气温迅速上升,年均温最高为2.5 ℃,通过研究发现24 a以来气温上升了3.83 ℃;由于气温的上升,导致土壤温度上升较快,尤其是表层和深层土壤温度上升更快,该结论与当前的众多结论是相吻合的。