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11.
An intensive approach to Barrow, Alaska’s adaptations to climate change and variability during recent decades suggests reconsideration
of the interconnected roles of science, policy, and decision-making structures. First, profound uncertainties are inherent
in unique interactions among the many natural and human factors affecting Barrow’s vulnerability. Science cannot significantly
reduce these uncertainties through extensive approaches, but intensive approaches can reconstruct and update local trends,
clarify the underlying dynamics, and harvest experience for policy purposes. Second, sound policies to reduce Barrow’s vulnerability
to coastal erosion and flooding must incorporate these profound uncertainties and the multiple values of the community. Minimizing
vulnerability to climate change is only one of the community’s interests, and must compete with other interests for limited
time, attention, funds and other resources. Third, the community itself is in the best position to understand its own context,
to decide on sound policies, and to take responsibility for those decisions. In short, local context matters in science, policy,
and decision-making structures for adaptation to climate change and variability. Overall, cognitive constraints may be the
most important human dimension of climate change. Factoring the global problem into more tractable local problems would make
the most of our cognitive capacity. 相似文献
12.
Russell Cannon Michael Drinkwater Alastair Edge Daniel Eisenstein Robert Nichol Phillip Outram Kevin Pimbblet Roberto De Propris Isaac Roseboom David Wake Paul Allen Joss Bland-Hawthorn Terry Bridges Daniel Carson Kuenley Chiu Matthew Colless Warrick Couch Scott Croom Simon Driver Stephen Fine Paul Hewett Jon Loveday Nicholas Ross Elaine M. Sadler Tom Shanks Robert Sharp J. Allyn Smith Chris Stoughton Peter Weilbacher Robert J. Brunner Avery Meiksin Donald P. Schneider 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,372(1):425-442
13.
A novel scenario for Maunder minimum-like grand minima epochs of reduced solar activity is proposed, based on diffusive coupling
between both solar hemispheres, each susceptible to stochastically-driven intermittent behavior. After introducing cross-hemispheric
coupling into a well-validated reduced model of the solar cycle based on the Babcock–Leighton mechanism for poloidal field
regeneration, simulations are presented demonstrating that even weak coupling can lead to a high degree of synchronicity between
the two hemispheres. This is in qualitative agreement with the similar onset and recovery times of sunspot activity at and
around the Maunder minimum. Moreover, even weak coupling manages to greatly reduce the frequency and duration of quiescent
episodes, again in qualitative agreement with the relative paucity of grand minima in the sunspot and radioisotope records. 相似文献
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In scientific communication, ambiguities in term usage can go unnoticed due not only to the distance between reader and writer but also to the existence of highly specialized scientific subcommunities. This commentary therefore aims at raising awareness about the use of terms that have different meanings within different hydrological subcommunities such as field hydrology, hydrological modelling, or statistical hydrology. To do so, we discuss the use of the following commonly used hydrological terms: sample, runoff, discharge, and streamflow. We performed three types of analyses to provide evidence of term usage and understanding, including both qualitative and quantitative approaches: a drawing exercise, a survey, and a literature corpus analysis. These analyses allow for a comparison of spontaneous definitions and the actual use of these terms in scientific publications. Our various information sources revealed that the dialogue between hydrologists within and across subdisciplines is substantially influenced by personal conceptualizations of terms that are not always shared across conversational partners. The terms discussed and illustrated in this commentary have to be seen as a small sample used to demonstrate the need for a thoughtful use of hydrological terms when communicating research, not only to a general audience but even across subdisciplines within hydrology. 相似文献
17.
Ines Bamberger Brian Oney Dominik Brunner Stephan Henne Markus Leuenberger Nina Buchmann Werner Eugster 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2017,164(1):135-159
Mountain-top observations of greenhouse gas mixing ratios may be an alternative to tall-tower measurements for regional scale source and sink estimation. To investigate the equivalence or limitations of a mountain-top site as compared to a tall-tower site, we used the unique opportunity of comparing in situ measurements of methane (\(\hbox {CH}_{4}\)) and carbon dioxide (\(\hbox {CO}_{2}\)) mixing ratios at a mountain top (986 m above sea level, a.s.l.) with measurements from a nearby (distance 28.4 km) tall tower, sampled at almost the same elevation (1009 m a.s.l.). Special attention was given to, (i) how local wind statistics and greenhouse gas sources and sinks at the mountain top influence the observations, and (ii) whether mountain-top observations can be used as for those from a tall tower for constraining regional greenhouse gas emissions. Wind statistics at the mountain-top site are clearly more influenced by local flow systems than those at the tall-tower site. Differences in temporal patterns of the greenhouse gas mixing ratios observed at the two sites are mostly related to the influence of local sources and sinks at the mountain-top site. Major influences of local sources can be removed by applying a statistical filter (\(5{\mathrm{th}}\) percentile) or a filter that removes periods with unfavourable flow conditions. In the best case, the bias in mixing ratios between the mountain-top and the tall-tower sites after the application of the wind filter was \({-}0.0005\pm 0.0010\) ppm for methane (September, 0000–0400 UTC) and \(0.11\pm 0.18\) ppm for \(\hbox {CO}_{2}\) (February, 1200–1600 UTC). Temporal fluctuations of atmospheric \(\hbox {CH}_{4}\) and \(\hbox {CO}_{2}\) mixing ratios at both stations also showed good agreement (apart from \(\hbox {CO}_{2}\) during summertime) as determined by moving bi-weekly Pearson correlation coefficients (up to 0.96 for \(\hbox {CO}_{2}\) and 0.97 for \(\hbox {CH}_{4}\)). When only comparing mixing ratios minimally influenced by local sources (low bias and high correlation coefficients), our measurements indicate that mountain-top observations are comparable to tall-tower observations. 相似文献
18.
Investigation of a Tertiary maar structure using three-dimensional resistivity imaging 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Ingolf Brunner Sven Friedel Franz Jacobs & Erik Danckwardt 《Geophysical Journal International》1999,136(3):771-780
This paper presents the application of the electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) method to the investigation of the Tertiary maar structure of Baruth (Germany) known from previous gravimetric surveys. ERT was applied to support the optimum location for a palaeoclimatological drill hole.
Special modifications of data acquisition, signal processing and inversion are introduced to adapt the method of ERT to the special requirements for the 3-D investigation of structures with horizontal extensions of 1 km or more. More than 5000 dipole–dipole combinations were recorded at three concentric circular electrode arrangements using stand-alone transient data acquisition systems (RefTek).
We present a fast approximate imaging technique based on the simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique (SIRT). As the complete calculation of the inverse Frechét matrix is avoided, the algorithm is especially suitable for large data and model spaces, where complete inversion is beyond the limits of available computing hardware. The single-step method is applicable to arbitrary irregular electrode layouts. Synthetic tests show that the imaging procedure reconstructs the main features of the subsurface.
A low-resistivity body could be interpreted as limnic sediments filling the interior of the Tertiary maar crater. Considering the horizontal resistivity gradient, estimates for the lateral and depth extents of the structure were made. An optimum position for a palaeoclimatological borehole was found, and was in good agreement with the gravimetric minimum. 相似文献
Special modifications of data acquisition, signal processing and inversion are introduced to adapt the method of ERT to the special requirements for the 3-D investigation of structures with horizontal extensions of 1 km or more. More than 5000 dipole–dipole combinations were recorded at three concentric circular electrode arrangements using stand-alone transient data acquisition systems (RefTek).
We present a fast approximate imaging technique based on the simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique (SIRT). As the complete calculation of the inverse Frechét matrix is avoided, the algorithm is especially suitable for large data and model spaces, where complete inversion is beyond the limits of available computing hardware. The single-step method is applicable to arbitrary irregular electrode layouts. Synthetic tests show that the imaging procedure reconstructs the main features of the subsurface.
A low-resistivity body could be interpreted as limnic sediments filling the interior of the Tertiary maar crater. Considering the horizontal resistivity gradient, estimates for the lateral and depth extents of the structure were made. An optimum position for a palaeoclimatological borehole was found, and was in good agreement with the gravimetric minimum. 相似文献
19.
20.
J.-U. Fischer G. Hasinger A. D. Schwope H. Brunner T. Boller J. Trümper W. Voges S. Neizvestny 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1998,319(6):347-368
The ROSAT Bright Survey (RBS) aims to completely optically identify the more than 2000 brightest sources detected in the ROSAT all-sky survey at galactic latitudes |b| > 30° (excluding LMC, SMC, Virgo cluster). This paper presents a subsample of 66 bright point-like ROSAT survey sources with almost hard PSPC spectra, the hardness ratio HR1 is > 0.5 for most of the sources. Teh subsample could be nearly completely identified by low-resolution optical spectroscopy with the following breakdown into object classes: 31 Seyfert galaxies, 22 BL Lac candidates, 5 clusters of galaxies, 1 cataclysmic variable, and 5 bright stars. Only one object remained unidentified and one X-ray source was a spurious detection. The redshift distrbution peaks around 0.06 for the Seyferts and around 0.13 for the BL Lac candidates. Observations with medium spectral resolution were obtained for most of the new Seyfert galaxies. A large fraction (20 objects) are type 1 Seyfert galaxies, the other fraction includes Seyfert galaxies of type 1.5 – 1.8 (5 objects), two LINERs, and 4 possible narrow-line Seyfert 1 galaxies (NLS1). About one third of the new Seyfert's have nearby companion galaxies displaying either emission or absorption lines at the same redshift. Among them are a couple of systems showing direct morphological evidence for interaction. The large fraction of interacting galaxies among our sample suggests a scenario where interaction is the main trigger of AGN activity. 相似文献