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121.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate the global energy production potential of woody biomass from forestry for the year
2050 using a bottom-up analysis of key factors. Woody biomass from forestry was defined as all of the aboveground woody biomass
of trees, including all products made from woody biomass. This includes the harvesting, processing and use of woody biomass.
The projection was performed by comparing the future demand with the future supply of wood, based on existing databases, scenarios,
and outlook studies. Specific attention was paid to the impact of the underlying factors that determine this potential and
to the gaps and uncertainties in our current knowledge. Key variables included the demand for industrial roundwood and woodfuel,
the plantation establishment rates, and the various theoretical, technical, economical, and ecological limitations related
to the supply of wood from forests. Forests, as defined in this study, exclude forest plantations. Key uncertainties were
the supply of wood from trees outside forests, the future rates of deforestation, the consumption of woodfuel, and the theoretical,
technical, economical, or ecological wood production potentials of the forests. Based on a medium demand and medium plantation
scenario, the global theoretical potential of the surplus wood supply (i.e., after the demand for woodfuel and industrial roundwood is met) in 2050 was calculated
to be 6.1 Gm3 (71 EJ) and the technical potential to be 5.5 Gm3 (64 EJ). In practice, economical considerations further reduced the surplus wood supply from forests to 1.3 Gm3 year−1 (15 EJ year−1). When ecological criteria were also included, the demand for woodfuel and industrial roundwood exceeded the supply by 0.7 Gm3 year−1 (8 EJ year−1). The bioenergy potential from logging and processing residues and waste was estimated to be equivalent to 2.4 Gm3 year−1 (28 EJ year−1) wood, based on a medium demand scenario. These results indicate that forests can, in theory, become a major source of bioenergy,
and that the use of this bioenergy can, in theory, be realized without endangering the supply of industrial roundwood and
woodfuel and without further deforestation. Regional shortages in the supply of industrial roundwood and woodfuel can, however,
occur in some regions, e.g., South Asia and the Middle East and North Africa. 相似文献
122.
The scaled-decomposed atmospheric water budget over North America is investigated through the analysis of 25 years of simulation
by the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) driven by the NCEP–NCAR reanalyses for the period 1975–1999. The time average
and time variability of the atmospheric water budget for the winter and summer seasons are decomposed into their large-scale
and small-scale components to identify the added value of the regional model. For the winter season, the intra-seasonal transient-eddy
variance is the main temporal variability. The large- and small-scale terms are of the same order of magnitude, and are large
over both coasts and weak over the continent. For the summer season, the time–mean atmospheric water budget is rather different
to that of winter, with maximum values over the south-eastern part of the continent. The summer intra-seasonal variance is
about twice stronger than in winter and also dominates the variability, but the inter-monthly variance is non-negligible and
can be in part associated to North American Monsoon System. Over the continent, the intra-seasonal climatological variance
is dominated by the variability of the small scales. The small scales, that is those scales that are only resolved in the
regional model but not in the reanalyses, contribute to the added value in a regional climate simulation. In the winter season,
the added value of the CRCM is large and dominated by oceanic forcing, while in summer, it is dominant (larger than the large
scales) and controlled mainly by convective processes. 相似文献
123.
Wolf-Rainer Abraham Alexandre José Macedo Luiz Humberto Gomes Flavio C. A. Tavares 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2007,35(4):339-347
The load of pathogenic bacteria, their fate and their dangerousness in the Tietê River were assessed along 100 km starting from the city of São Paulo, Brazil. The data were compared with those from two German rivers. High loads of pathogens were found in the Tietê River near the city of São Paulo (Escherichia coli O157:H7, Shigella flexneri, and Shigella boydii), which were absent 30 km downstream of São Paulo. The antibiotic resistances observed in the Tietê river were rather low and decreased after the major input in São Paulo to significantly lower levels about 30 km downstream. While the Brazilian isolates were more susceptible for ampicillin than the German ones, the reverse was observed for gentamycin. For optimal control of infections in humans critical areas where these bacteria survived longer and their elimination mechanisms should be identified as well as the extent and the origin of antibiotic resistance should be determined. 相似文献
124.
André F. Lotter H. John B. Birks Wolfgang Hofmann Aldo Marchetto 《Journal of Paleolimnology》1998,19(4):443-463
Surface sediments from 68 small lakes in the Alps and 9 well-dated sediment core samples that cover a gradient of total phosphorus (TP) concentrations of 6 to 520 g TP l-1 were studied for diatom, chrysophyte cyst, cladocera, and chironomid assemblages. Inference models for mean circulation log10 TP were developed for diatoms, chironomids, and benthic cladocera using weighted-averaging partial least squares. After screening for outliers, the final transfer functions have coefficients of determination (r2, as assessed by cross-validation, of 0.79 (diatoms), 0.68 (chironomids), and 0.49 (benthic cladocera). Planktonic cladocera and chrysophytes show very weak relationships to TP and no TP inference models were developed for these biota. Diatoms showed the best relationship with TP, whereas the other biota all have large secondary gradients, suggesting that variables other than TP have a strong influence on their composition and abundance. Comparison with other diatom – TP inference models shows that our model has high predictive power and a low root mean squared error of prediction, as assessed by cross-validation. 相似文献
125.
126.
Dabrio Cristino J. Zazo Cari Lario Javier Goy José Luis Sierro Francisco J. Borja Francisco González José Ángel Flores José Abel 《Geologie en Mijnbouw》1998,77(3-4):263-281
This first sedimentary interpretation of two incised-valley fills in the Gulf of Cádiz (southern Spain), which accumulated during the last fourth-order eustatic cycle in response to fluvial incision, changes of sea level, and correlative deposition, relates the filling of the estuarine basins and their barriers with four regional progradation phases, H1 to H4. The cases studied are the wave-dominated Guadalete, and the mixed, tide and wave-dominated Odiel-Tinto estuaries. The sequence boundary is a type-1 surface produced during the lowstand of the Last Glacial period ca. 18 000 14C yr BP. No fluvial lowstand deposits were found in the area. Due to rapid transgression the valley fills consist of transgressive and highstand sediments. The maximum landward advance of the estuarine barriers occurred ca. 6500–6000 14C yr BP during the maximum of the Flandrian transgression, but there is no evidence of sea level rising appreciably above the present. A large part of the estuaries was filled during H1 (ca. 6500–4400 14C yr BP) but ravinement by shifting tidal inlets destroyed most of the coeval barriers. During the H2 phase (ca. 4200–2550 14C yr BP) sedimentation was favoured by arid conditions and concentrated in the axial estuarine zones and the barriers. Between H2 and H3 prevailing winds changed from W to WSW, increasing spit growth to the east and south-east. Progradation of bay-head deltas and flood-plains during H3 (ca. 2300–800 14C yr BP) and H4 (500 yr ago to the present) further reduced the accommodation space in the largely-filled valleys, and sediment by-passed the estuaries and accumulated in the estuarine barriers as fast-growing spits. Arid conditions and increasing human activity have caused rapid coastal modifications. 相似文献
127.
René V. Cormier 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1975,9(3):315-324
This research provides a study of the behavior of vertically integrated boundary-layer winds (IBLWs). This information should be helpful for both theoretical and practical applications, e.g., boundary-layer parameterization in general circulation models, air pollution models, and low-level parachuting operations. The study concerned itself with winds integrated up to a height of 300 m in the United States. The only data suitable for studying the behavior of IBLWs for such heights were measurements taken on tall towers. An extensive search indicated that data were readily available from only four towers instrumented to or above 300 m. These were located in rural locations in Texas, Oklahoma, Nevada, and South Carolina. At each location, means and coefficients of variation of IBLWs were computed, plotted as a function of time since sunrise/sunset, and compared. The research shows that IBLWs may differ appreciably in magnitude at different locations; may have considerable universality in behavior, and may also be ‘regionally’ dependent; and that IBLWs have a pronounced diurnal variation linked to sunrise/sunset time. 相似文献
128.
129.
130.
Audouin Dollfus André Cailleux Bernard Cervelle Chon Trung Hua Jean-Claude Mandeville 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1980,44(9):1293-1310
Extension of remote sensing of planetary bodies to the ultraviolet is now feasiable up to 2000 Å from earth-orbiting telescopes and spacecraft. The benefits of this extension is analysed on the basis of laboratory spectra taken on a large variety of terrestrial, lunar and meteoritic samples. Knowledge of the albedo for two wavelengths at 2300 and 6500 Å permits classification of a surface into one of the following types: lunar, carbonaceous chondrites, ordinary chondrites, achondrites or acidic rocks, basaltic rocks, irons. For lunar-type surfaces, a simple albedo measurement at 6500 Å can be converted into quantitative abundance determinations of silicate, aluminium oxide and iron; a large amount of telescopic lunar photometry data is available for mapping these abundances. Extension of the photometry to 2300 Å permits quantitative measurement of TiO2 abundances. For asteroids and non-icy satellites, rock-type classification and constraints in chemical abundances of Si, Al, Fe and Ti can be derived from photometry at 2300 and 6500 Å. The IUE telescope already orbiting the earth, the Space Telescope to come, the lunar polar orbiter and other spacecraft under prospect are potentially available to provide the photometric observations at 6500 and 2300 Å required. 相似文献