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71.
A model is proposed that shows the relation of the block structure of the crust and earthquake sources (Sadovskii, 1979; Rodionov, 1979, 1984, 1994; Bugaev, 1999, 2011, 2014, 2015). The model can formalize how to assess the prediction of seismic regime parameters depending on the elastic limit and conditions and rate of deformation of the Earth’s crust. The spent nuclear fuel repository site in Olkiluoto (Finland) and a site in the area of the Krasnoyarsk Mining and Chemical Combine are considered as examples. It is demonstrated that the parameters of the prediction graphs limit the location of the points of magnitude repeatability graphs calculated for a site based on samples of earthquakes in the area according to different authors. This makes it possible to recommend predictive assessment of seismic regime parameters for stability monitoring of the seismic regime and safety analysis of a geological environment’s insulation properties for waste sites from the results of seismological monitoring and high-precision observations of modern movements of the Earth’s crust. 相似文献
72.
The application of the saddlepoint approximation to reliability analysis of dynamic systems is investigated. The failure event in reliability problems is formulated as the exceedance of a single performance variable over a prescribed threshold level. The saddlepoint approximation technique provides a choice to estimate the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of the performance variable. The failure probability is obtained as the value of the complement CDF at a specif ied threshold. The method requires computing the saddlepoint from a simple algebraic equation that depends on the cumulant generating function (CGF) of the performance variable. A method for calculating the saddlepoint using random samples of the performance variable is presented. The applicable region of the saddlepoint approximation is discussed in detail. A 10-story shear building model with white noise excitation illustrates the accuracy and effi ciency of the proposed methodology. 相似文献
73.
The Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) initiated drilling at Site 1256D in the Guatemala Basin, about 1,000 km off the East Pacific
Rise to penetrate plutonic rocks, anticipated to be relatively shallow in this region, formed at an ultra-fast spreading rate.
IODP Expedition E312 successfully drilled into gabbros at ~1,150 m in basement. Multi-channel seismic traces show weak laterally
coherent sub-basement reflections at borehole depths. Synthetic reflectivity seismograms were computed using a Ricker wavelet
and impedance profiles from borehole sonic logs. These seismograms show significant sub-basement amplitude peaks. A zero-offset
vertical seismic profile, shot on E312, was processed to investigate the authenticity of these reflections and their relationship
to borehole geology. A dual scheme of the median filtering and F–K dip filtering was used. Tests with synthetic seismograms
indicate the approach is effective at reasonable SNR levels. Downgoing energy is clearly identified but negligible upgoing
energy is visible over random noise. These results indicate that lava flows and igneous contacts in upper ocean crust have
significant topography on lateral scales less than the Fresnel Zone (~300 m) due to igneous and tectonic processes. 相似文献
74.
75.
Eugene Yee 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2001,98(3):517-527
A simple analytical model is developed for the meanupcrossing rate of plume concentration fluctuations assuming that thisprocess can be well approximated by a lognormal process. The resultingexpression requires only the specification of the in-plume fluctuationintensity and in-plume Taylor micro-time scale and, hence, does notexplicitly involve the joint probability density function of theconcentration and its derivative. The analytical model provides agood fit to some field measurements of the mean upcrossing rate ina dispersing plume. 相似文献
76.
The processes of formation and distribution of the resources of fresh groundwater and surface water in the territory of Crimea Peninsula are considered. Water availability in the natural–historic and administrative regions of the republic is characterized. The proportions between different categories of groundwater resources are shown with their role in water supply to Crimea taken into account. The presentday development of groundwater resources is analyzed and the possible increase in water consumption meeting geoecological requirements is substantiated. 相似文献
77.
78.
This study analyzed the uncertainty of inversion and the resolution limit in the presence of noise by means of statistical experiments. The exhaustive method is adopted to obtain the global optimal solution in each experiment. We found that even with small level of noise, solutions fluctuate in a large range for the thin bed. The distribution of solutions in the presence of noise is closely related to the spread of the cost function in the absence of noise. As a result, the area of a certain neighborhood around the true solution on the spread of the cost function in the absence of noise is used to evaluate the uncertainty of inversion and the resolution limit in the presence of noise. In the case that the SNR (signal-to-noise ratio) is 5 in this study, solutions focus around the true solution with a very small uncertainty only when the bed thickness is greater than the reciprocal of the double predominant frequency of the convoluting wavelet. 相似文献
79.
Three finite element codes, namely TELEMAC, ADCIRC and QUODDY, are used to compute the spatial distributions of the M2, M4 and M6 components of the tide in the sea region off the west coast of Britain. This region is chosen because there is an accurate
topographic dataset in the area and detailed open boundary M2 tidal forcing for driving the model. In addition, accurate solutions (based upon comparisons with extensive observations)
using uniform grid finite difference models forced with these open boundary data exist for comparison purposes. By using boundary
forcing, bottom topography and bottom drag coefficients identical to those used in an earlier finite difference model, there
is no danger of comparing finite element solutions for “untuned unoptimised solutions” with those from a “tuned optimised
solution”. In addition, by placing the open boundary in all finite element calculations at the same location as that used
in a previous finite difference model and using the same M2 tidal boundary forcing and water depths, a like with like comparison of solutions derived with the various finite element
models was possible. In addition, this open boundary was well removed from the shallow water region, namely the eastern Irish
Sea where the higher harmonics were generated. Since these are not included in the open boundary, forcing their generation
was determined by physical processes within the models. Consequently, an inter-comparison of these higher harmonics generated
by the various finite element codes gives some indication of the degree of variability in the solution particularly in coastal
regions from one finite element model to another. Initial calculations using high-resolution near-shore topography in the
eastern Irish Sea and including “wetting and drying” showed that M2 tidal amplitudes and phases in the region computed with TELEMAC were in good agreement with observations. The ADCIRC code
gave amplitudes about 30 cm lower and phases about 8° higher. For the M4 tide, in the eastern Irish Sea amplitudes computed with TELEMAC were about 4 cm higher than ADCIRC on average, with phase
differences of order 5°. For the M6 component, amplitudes and phases showed significant small-scale variability in the eastern Irish Sea, and no clear bias between
the models could be found. Although setting a minimum water depth of 5 m in the near-shore region, hence removing wetting
and drying, reduced the small-scale variability in the models, the differences in M2 and M4 tide between models remained. For M6, a significant reduction in variability occurred in the eastern Irish Sea when a minimum 5-m water depth was specified. In
this case, TELEMAC gave amplitudes that were 1 cm higher and phases 30° lower than ADCIRC on average. For QUODDY in the eastern
Irish Sea, average M2 tidal amplitudes were about 10 cm higher and phase 8° higher than those computed with TELEMAC. For M4, amplitudes were approximately 2 cm higher with phases of order 15° higher in the northern part of the region and 15° lower
in the southern part. For M6 in the north of the region, amplitudes were 2 cm higher and about 2 cm lower in the south. Very rapid M6 tidal-phase changes occurred in the near-shore regions. The lessons learned from this model inter-comparison study are summarised
in the final section of the paper. In addition, the problems of performing a detailed model–model inter-comparison are discussed,
as are the enormous difficulties of conducting a true model skill assessment that would require detailed measurements of tidal
boundary forcing, near-shore topography and precise knowledge of bed types and bed forms. Such data are at present not available. 相似文献
80.
The West Kunlun orogenic belt is located at the conjunction of the paleo-Asian tectonic system and the Tethys tectonic system.
Petrological and mineralogical studies of the Early Cambrian metamorphic surface crust in this region have shown that in case
the metamorphism reached low-temperature granulate facies, the typical mineral assemblage is biotite-garnet-silimanite-K feldspar-plagioclase-quartz.
The peak metamorphic temperatures are within the range of 720–740°C and the pressure is 0.6 GPa ±. Three types of metamorphic
zircon have been detected in the metamorphic rocks: the complex inclusion-bearing type ; the early relic zircon inclusion-bearing
type; and the inclusion-free type. SHRIMP age determination of these three types of metamorphic zircon have revealed that
these zircons were formed principally during 400–460 Ma, indicating that pre-Cambrian metamorphic surface crust rocks underwent
low-temperature granulite facies metamorphism during the Caledonian. In combination with the geological characteristics of
this region, it is considered that when the oceanic basin was closed, there occurred intense intracontinental subduction (type
A), bringing part of the Early Cambrian metamorphic basement in this region downwards to the lower crust. Meanwhile, there
were accompanied with tectonic deformation at deep levels and medium- to high-grade metamorphism. This study provided important
chronological and mineralogical evidence for the exploration of the evolutionary mechanism and process of the West Kunlun
Early Paleozoic.
Part of the results from the research project “ Research on the West Kunlun pre-Cambrian tectonic events” under the program
“ Research on the important geological problems of China’ s pre-Cambrian” (No. 200113900070) sponsored by the China National
Geological Surveying Bureau. 相似文献