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51.
We have analyzed GPS data from 2007–2011 to determine the nature of variation of scintillation index with elevation of the direction of propagation at an observing point Warsaw, Poland, and Hornsund, Svalbard. To compare with the theory, the intensity scintillation index is simulated as a function of elevation angle, azimuth, magnetic field inclination, and shape of irregularities, using the phase screen model of scintillation as formulated by Rino (1979). Data analysis has been done for the seasonal as well as geomagnetic activity dependence of ionospheric scintillation. Scintillation index is a power-law function of the cosecant of the elevation angle. Results show that the power law strongly depends on the form of irregularities, being larger than in isotropic case for irregularities with dimension along the magnetic field direction smaller than those across the magnetic field. The present work also shows the need to use experimentally derived dependence on elevation. 相似文献
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54.
This paper describes implementation of the warm-rain bin microphysics in a LES model based on the EULAG fluid flow solver.
The binmicrophysics EULAG is applied to the case of shallow nonprecipitating tropical convection to investigate the impact
of the secondary activation of cloud droplets above the cloud base. In a previous study applying the EULAG model with the
double-moment bulk warm-rain microphysics scheme, the in-cloud activation was shown to have significant implications for the
mean microphysical and optical characteristics of the cloud field. By contrasting the simulations with and without in-cloud
activation as in the previous study, we show that the in-cloud activation has qualitatively similar but quantitatively smaller
effect. In particular, the concentration of cloud droplets in the bin simulation without in-cloud activation decreases with
height not as strongly as in corresponding simulations applying the double-moment bulk scheme. 相似文献
55.
Earthquake motion is one of the extreme loads acting on large dams. Dam owners and regulators must therefore ensure that dams
are safely operated and present minimal risk to the public in case of extreme loads such as floods and earthquakes. Owners
of many dams or officials in charge of dam safety programs may consider comparative assessment of the seismic risk associated
with their dams and establish priorities for detailed evaluation. South Africa has in excess of 100 large state-owned dams
and the characteristics of these dams have been used to perform a basic seismic hazard assessment and rank the vulnerability
of these dams from the lowest to highest. One of the most decisive factors that contributes to the risk of a dam is the wall
type; with gravity and earthfill dams being the most vulnerable to earthquake motion. Another aspect that needs further investigation
is the downstream hazard potential which, if known to a better degree of accuracy, can provide more reasonable estimates of
the risk factors. 相似文献
56.
A first-order seismotectonic model was created for South Africa. This was done using four logical steps: geoscientific data
collection, characterisation, assimilation and zonation. Through the definition of subunits of concentrations of earthquake
foci and large neotectonic and structural domains, seismotectonic structures, systems and domains were created. Relatively
larger controls of seismicity exist between the Great Escarpment and the coast. In the south, this region is characterised
by large aeromagnetic anomalies and large EW trending faults. In the west, it is characterised by the NW–SE trending Wegener
stress anomaly, radial-trending dykes and earthquake clusters. In the east, it is characterised by a large neotectonic domain
where several large historical earthquakes occurred. In the centre of South Africa, several clusters of earthquake activity
are found, often related to mining activity. Further north, seismicity is related to both mining activity and neotectonic
deformation. This work contributes to the development of a seismotectonic model for South Africa by (1) bringing together,
digitally, several data sets in a common GIS platform (geology, geophysics, stress, seismicity, neotectonics, topography,
crustal and mantle structure and anisotropy), (2) understanding the significance of data sets for seismotectonic zonation
and limitations thereof and (3) obtaining a reasonable regional model for use in seismic hazard assessments. 相似文献
57.
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment for the Makran subduction zone at the northwestern Indian Ocean 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1
A probabilistic tsunami hazard assessment is performed for the Makran subduction zone (MSZ) at the northwestern Indian Ocean
employing a combination of probability evaluation of offshore earthquake occurrence and numerical modeling of resulting tsunamis.
In our method, we extend the Kijko and Sellevoll’s (1992) probabilistic analysis from earthquakes to tsunamis. The results suggest that the southern coasts of Iran and Pakistan,
as well as Muscat, Oman are the most vulnerable areas among those studied. The probability of having tsunami waves exceeding
5 m over a 50-year period in these coasts is estimated as 17.5%. For moderate tsunamis, this probability is estimated as high
as 45%. We recommend the application of this method as a fresh approach for doing probabilistic hazard assessment for tsunamis.
Finally, we emphasize that given the lack of sufficient information on the mechanism of large earthquake generation in the
MSZ, and inadequate data on Makran’s paleo and historical earthquakes, this study can be regarded as the first generation
of PTHA for this region and more studies should be done in the future. 相似文献
58.
AbstractThe Upper Prealpine nappe of the Swiss and French Prealps consists of a composite stack of various tectonic slivers (Gets, Simme, Dranse and Sarine sub-nappes, from top to bottom). The structural superposition and stratigraphic content of the individual sub-nappes suggests a successive stacking at the South Penninic/Adriatic transition zone during the Late Cretaceous and Early Paleogene. The present paper deals with two aspects. (1) new data obtained from the Complexe de base Series of the Dranse sub-nappe which underlies the Helminthoid Sandstone Formation, and (2) the development of a geodynamic accretionary model for the Upper Prealpine nappe stacking.The Complexe de base Series reveals a succession of black shales at the base, grading upward into variegated red/green and red shales which were deposited in an abyssal plain environment starved of clastic input. It is overlain by the Helminthoid Sandstone Formation. The combined analysis of planktic and agglutinated benthic foraminifera and comparisons with other Tethyan series suggest an Albian to Campanian age of the Complexe de base succession. Tectonic transport of the abyssal plain segment into a trench environment allowed for the stratigraphic superposition by the Helminthoid sandstone sequence. The present findings combine well with the general scheme of the Upper Prealpine nappe stack and several single results on parts of the nappe stack. We take that opportunity to present a comprehensive model for the tectono-sedimentary evolution of the Upper Prealpine nappe.We suggest that Late Jurassic-Early Cretaceous asymmetric (?) extension at the South Penninic-Adriatic margin created an extensional alloehthon. Later during the mid-Cretaceous, the start of convergence drove the obduction of oceanic crust on the northern margin of the extensional allochthon. The resulting ophiolitic/continental source supplied clasts to the trench basin in front (Manche turbidite series), and the backarc basin (Mocausa Formation) and abyssal plain (Perrières turbidite series) to the South. During Middle to Late Coniacian the main Adriatic margin was thrusted over the obductionrelated mixed belt and established an incipient accretionary prism containing the former trench, backarc and abyssal plain basin fill series. During this stage the Gueyraz (melange) Complex formed, which separates the trench series from the retroarc and abyssal plain formations. On top of the incipient accretionary prism a forearc basin developed hosting the Hundsrück Formation. The frontal abyssal plain formation (Complexe de base) still received few turbiditic intercalations. From Campanian time on, the forearc basin was bypassed and deposition of the Helminthoid Sandstone Formation occurred on the Complexe de base succession. During the Maastrichtian the abyssal plain and trench fill succession (Dranse nappe) was accreted to the incipient wedge, and in front of a newly active buttress, the Gurnigel trench basin was established. Another accretionary event during latest Paleocene/earliest Eocene added parts of that trench series to the base of the wedge (Sarine nappe). During the Late Eocene the accretionary wedge and remaining trench fill series (Gurnigel nappe) were thrusted en-bloc over the Middle Penninic limestone nappes and partly overtook the latter. Continued shortening of the resulting nappe pile and out-of-sequence thrusting accomplished the overriding of the Middle Penninic units over the former South Penninic Gurnigel trench series (inversion of palaeogeographic domains). 相似文献
59.
Andrzej W. Wernik Mariusz Pożoga Marcin Grzesiak Andrzej Rokicki Marek Morawski 《Acta Geophysica》2008,56(4):1129-1146
As a partial contribution to the International Polar Year, the Space Research Centre of the Polish Academy of Sciences has
installed on the Polish Polar Station, located in the region of the Hornsund Bay in southern Spitsbergen, the equipment intended
to monitor ionospheric scintillation and total electron content. We describe the equipment setup and the aims of the experiment.
As an illustration of data analysis, we present the reconstruction of irregular structure of the ionosphere from the complex
amplitude data, and the estimate of the form and drift of diffraction pattern based on the spaced receiver measurements. 相似文献
60.
Pawel Wielgosz Andrzej Krankowski Rafal Sieradzki Dorota A. Grejner-Brzezinska 《Acta Geophysica》2008,56(4):1147-1161
Real Time Kinematic (RTK) GPS positioning over longer distances requires a support of atmospheric (ionospheric and tropospheric) corrections, since the atmospheric errors decorrelate with the growing distances and cannot be completely eliminated by double differencing of the satellite observations. Currently, the most commonly used approach is to derive the atmospheric corrections at the reference station network and provide them in real time to the roving receiver. Another solution, proposed here, is to use predictive atmospheric models in order to derive the atmospheric corrections. This paper presents the test results of the performance assessment of the predictive ionosphere model (UWM-IPM) application to medium-range RTK positioning. The rover data collected within 25 to 67 km from the closest reference station were processed in the kinematic mode with the support of the ionospheric corrections derived from the UWM-IPM model. The RTK solution was derived in both single-and multi-baseline modes, and compared to the two reference solutions obtained without the ionospheric corrections. All numerical tests were carried out using the MPGPS software developed in cooperation with The Ohio State University; a recent extension to the software, developed at the University of Warmia and Mazury in Olsztyn, introduces the predictive ionosphere model to the RTK solution. The test results are very promising, and indicate that predicted ionosphere corrections can effectively support medium-range RTK positioning, and allow for fast ambiguity resolution over distances of several tens of kilometers under moderate ionospheric conditions. 相似文献