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The effects of the solar major flares indicated by the intensive radio bursts, high velocity streams or shock waves, coronal and ionospheric disturbances on the geomagnetic and coronal activities are investigated during the near the maximum phase of 21st solar cycle, in detail. The significant and the weak increases in the level of the geomagnetic and coronal activities indices were observed, respectively, after the occurrence of these events.  相似文献   
105.
Özgür Kişi 《水文研究》2008,22(20):4142-4152
This paper proposes the application of a neuro‐wavelet technique for modelling monthly stream flows. The neuro‐wavelet model is improved by combining two methods, discrete wavelet transform and multi‐layer perceptron, for one‐month‐ahead stream flow forecasting and results are compared with those of the single multi‐layer perceptron (MLP), multi‐linear regression (MLR) and auto‐regressive (AR) models. Monthly flow data from two stations, Gerdelli Station on Canakdere River and Isakoy Station on Goksudere River, in the Eastern Black Sea region of Turkey are used in the study. The comparison results revealed that the suggested model could increase the forecast accuracy and perform better than the MLP, MLR and AR models. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
106.
Oguz  Emir Ahmet  Depina  Ivan  Thakur  Vikas 《Landslides》2022,19(1):67-83

Uncertainties in parameters of landslide susceptibility models often hinder them from providing accurate spatial and temporal predictions of landslide occurrences. Substantial contribution to the uncertainties in landslide assessment originates from spatially variable geotechnical and hydrological parameters. These input parameters may often vary significantly through space, even within the same geological deposit, and there is a need to quantify the effects of the uncertainties in these parameters. This study addresses this issue with a new three-dimensional probabilistic landslide susceptibility model. The spatial variability of the model parameters is modeled with the random field approach and coupled with the Monte Carlo method to propagate uncertainties from the model parameters to landslide predictions (i.e., factor of safety). The resulting uncertainties in landslide predictions allow the effects of spatial variability in the input parameters to be quantified. The performance of the proposed model in capturing the effect of spatial variability and predicting landslide occurrence has been compared with a conventional physical-based landslide susceptibility model that does not account for three-dimensional effects on slope stability. The results indicate that the proposed model has better performance in landslide prediction with higher accuracy and precision than the conventional model. The novelty of this study is illustrating the effects of the soil heterogeneity on the susceptibility of shallow landslides, which was made possible by the development of a three-dimensional slope stability model that was coupled with random field model and the Monte Carlo method.

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107.
Gem quality andradite-rich garnet (IUC-1), obtained from the Miocene trachyte dome near Ankara city (Turkey), has been identified as a potential natural secondary reference material for U-Pb dating. In this study, U-Pb dating was performed in five different laboratories using isotope dilution TIMS and laser ablation ICP-MS to determine the homogeneity of euhedral garnet crystals. The U-Pb ID-TIMS data for IUC-1 yielded 207Pb/235U and 206Pb/238U ages of 20.9 ± 0.4 and 20.6 ± 0.8 Ma respectively, and these values are consistent with U-Pb LA-ICP-MS analyses, in which different garnet crystals yielded ages of 20.8 ± 0.1, 20.7 ± 0.1, 20.7 ± 0.2 and 20.2 ± 0.1 Ma. An andradite (IUC-2) from the Serçeören wollastonite skarn (Turkey) can be used as a secondary reference material provided detailed imaging of the crystals is undertaken. ID-TIMS data yielded 207Pb/235U and 206Pb/238U ages of 20.4 ± 0.4 and 20.9 ± 1.0 Ma respectively, and yielded U-Pb ages on different grains of 20.5 ± 0.1, 20.7 ± 1.0, 20.8 ± 1.7 and 20.9 ± 1.6 Ma. The assigned weighted mean age of IUC-1 (20.4 ± 0.5 Ma, 2s) is proposed as a 2023 reference value. IUC-1 garnet is expected to contribute significantly to rapidly developing garnet geochronology in the near future.  相似文献   
108.
Yurdakul  Özgür  Duran  Burak  Tunaboyu  Onur  Avşar  Özgür 《Natural Hazards》2021,105(1):859-887
Natural Hazards - A moderate earthquake with a magnitude Mw of 6.8 occurred in the Sivrice district of Elaz?? Province in Eastern Turkey on January 24th, 2020. The mainshock and long-term...  相似文献   
109.
Natural Hazards - The Northern Branch of the North Anatolian Fault System controls and deforms the Izmit Basin and the Sapanca Lake Basin in the study area. Unlike the Sapanca Lake Basin, the...  相似文献   
110.
Laboratory batch sorption and column transport experiments were performed on heterogeneous alluvial soils with a wide range of physical characteristics from wells that are located in the region between Mogan Lake and Eymir Lake, Gölba??, Ankara. The mean values for the K d of Cu were found to be highest in clay (32550.350 L/kg) and lowest in loamy sand (18170.76 L/kg). The minimum and maximum sorption capacity values (mean values) for Zn were found to be in clay (10985.148 mg/kg) and in silty loam (8597.14 mg/kg) units, respectively. Similarly, the minimum and maximum values for Mn were found in loamy sand (4908.695 mg/kg) and clay (7587.391 mg/kg) units. The non-linear least-squares optimization code “CXTFIT” was used to determine transport parameter values by curve-fitting. The results of the column experiments demonstrate dispersivity values within the range of 0.024–1.13 cm for soil samples.  相似文献   
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