Development of temperatures in the Kingdom of Bahrain from 1947 to 2005

A new look is focused in this study on the analysis of mean temperatures for Bahrain, as observed at its International Airport for the 59 years extending from 1947 to 2005. The temporal trends indicate significant warming of the dry-season temperatures of 0.166°C decade^?1. In particular, the summer months of May to July and October demonstrate statistically significant trends of 0.172 to 0.247°C decade^?1. There is a tendency for the wet season months to show both decreases and increases in their temperatures though the temporal trends are not significant. The decade of 1991-2000 emerged as a period of conspicuous warming as well as increase in the occurrence of unusual mean temperatures and the number of months per year with above-average temperature. No significant trend in intraannual and intraseasonal temperature variabilities is discerned, but the wet season shows predominantly higher within-season variability in temperatures as compared to the dry season. Further analyses have been carried out on the available extreme temperature data for the period 1981-2005 in an attempt to search for a possible source of climatic and/or non-climatic factors, such as intensifying desertification and rapid urbanization. By and large, the rates of diurnal temperature ranges have increased due to significantly higher rates of increasing maximum in comparison to increasing minimum temperatures. The warming rate of the overall dry season during the day is seven times that during night. However, the nocturnal temperature for the overall wet season has warmed significantly at a rate more than three times that of the overall dry season. There is a sufficient evidence that sources of rapid urbanization around the area of records seem to be a major contributor to the observed rates of temperature. Both the urbanization and the effect of the large water body of the Gulf surrounding the Island of Bahrain seem to have offset the effect of desertification on temperature changes.     

Landslide susceptibility mapping of vicinity of Yaka Landslide (Gelendost,Turkey) using conditional probability approach in GIS

On 19 February 2007, a landslide occurred on the Alaard?ç Slope, located 1.6 km south of the town of Yaka (Gelendost, Turkey.) Subsequently, the displaced materials transformed into a mud flow in E?lence Creek and continued 750 m downstream towards the town of Yaka. The mass poised for motion in the Yaka Landslide source area and its vicinity, which would be triggered to a kinetic state by trigger factors such as heavy or sustained rainfall and/or snowmelt, poise a danger in the form of loss of life and property to Yaka with its population of 3,000. This study was undertaken to construct a susceptibility mapping of the vicinity of the Yaka Landslide’s source area and to relate it to movement of the landslide mass with the goal of prevention or mitigation of loss of life and property. The landslide susceptibility map was formulated by designating the relationship of the effecting factors that cause landslides such as lithology, gradient, slope aspect, elevation, topographical moisture index, and stream power index to the landslide map, as determined by analysis of the terrain, through the implementation of the conditional probability method. It was determined that the surface area of the Goksogut formation, which has attained lithological characteristics of clayey limestone with a broken and separated base and where area landslides occur, possesses an elevation of 1,100–1,300 m, a slope gradient of 15 °–35 ° and a slope aspect between 0 °–67.5 ° and 157 °–247 °. Loss of life and property may be avoided by the construction of structures to check the debris mass in E?lence Creek, the cleaning of the canal which passes through Yaka, the broadening of the canal’s base area, elevating the protective edges along the canal and the establishment of a protective zone at least 10-m wide on each side of the canal to deter against damage from probable landslide occurrence and mud flow.     

End bearing capacity comparison of screw pile with straight pipe pile under similar ground conditions

In the present study, the end bearing capacity of screw and straight pipe pile under similar pile tip area and ground conditions were investigated. The effect of increasing overburden pressure was also considered in this research. Pile load tests on close-ended screw and straight pipe piles were conducted in the small scale. Dry Toyoura sand was used to develop the model ground. The sand was compacted at relative density of 70, 80 and 92 %. It was observed that in case of straight pipe pile, load settlement curve plunges downward without increase in load around settlement equals to 10 % of pile tip diameter, whereas in case of screw pile, the load settlement curve plunges around settlement equals to 15 % of pile tip diameter. Moreover, the screw piles having helix-to-shaft diameter ratio 2–4.1 showed 2–12 times higher end bearing capacity than straight pipe piles with similar pile shaft diameter. It was also observed from the test results that the end bearing capacity of single-helix screw pile was in average 16.25 % less than straight pipe pile with similar pile tip area and ground conditions irrespective of the effect of increasing overburden pressure.     

Determining optimum number of geotechnical testing samples using Monte Carlo simulations

Knowing how many samples to test to adequately characterize soil and rock units is always challenging. A large number of tests decrease the uncertainty and increase the confidence in the resulting values of design parameters. Unfortunately, this large value also adds to project costs. This paper presents a method to determine the number of samples as a function of the coefficient of variation. If, as in the case of a reliability-based design, the resistance factors are a function of the coefficient of variation of the measurements, then lowering the coefficient of variation (COV) can result in lowering of the resistance factor resulting in a less conservative design. In this study, laboratory samples were isolated by specific unified soil classification system soil type and general site location. A distribution was fitted for each of the geotechnical parameters measured. For each scenario, groups of 2, 3, 4, 5, 10, 15, 20, 30, 50, and 100 random samples were generated by using Monte Carlo simulations from the fitted distributions. For each group, the variability was calculated in terms of the COV. In all cases, the COV decreased as the sample size increased. However, the rate of decrease for the COV was the greatest at a low number of samples; it becomes increasingly smaller at a higher number of samples.     

Assessment and geospatial distribution mapping of fluoride concentrations in the groundwater of Al-Howban Basin,Taiz-Yemen

Groundwater is one of the most important natural resources of drinking water on the earth planet. In rural areas of Yemen, groundwater is the main resource for drinking as well as for domestic purposes. According to the World Health Organization, one of the most important elements that has to be found in drinking water is fluorine (fluoride) but within the range of concentration of 0.5 up to 1.5 mg/l. Otherwise, any concentration of fluoride out of that range may cause serious diseases in human’s body such as fluorosis, kidney chronic disease, and/or nephrotoxicity. Taiz City, the third important and largest city in Yemen, has been suffering from dental fluorosis for a few decades. The main resource for drinking water in this city and adjacent areas is Al-Howban Basin (the study area) from where 33 groundwater samples were collected from 33 stations. These samples were preserved and then chemically analyzed according to the American Public Health Association Standards. The results reflected high levels of fluoride concentrations up to 3.6 mg/l in groundwater of many stations. GIS mapping was used to produce a geospatial distribution map of fluoride concentrations using ArcGIS-inverse distance weighted (IDW) tool. As a result, three zones of risks were identified in the study area: mild risk zone which covers the major part of the study area, moderate risk zone, and zone of no risk (optimum level zone). The last two zones occupy small portions of the study area. Consequently, dental and skeletal fluorosis, kidney, and/or nephrotoxic diseases are highly expected to be detected in the study area. Groundwater treatment measurements and health precautions are strongly recommended to be taken by local authorities in the near future.     

A methodology for dynamic analysis of linear structure-foundation systems with local non-linearities

An efficient computational technique is presented for the dynamic analysis of large linear structural systems with local non-linearities. The earthquake response evaluation for many practical structures belongs to this class of problems. The technique provides a rational approach to the earthquake-resistant design of structure-foundation systems with predetermined non-linearities occurring along the structure-foundation interface. Various possibilities for base isolation systems are naturally fitted within the proposed framework. In particular, we address uplifting of the structure as a natural base isolation concept. We use the dynamic substructuring technique and an efficient numerical algorithm which accommodates non-proportional damping as a consistent way to reduce significantly the computational effort, which is in sharp contrast to the vast majority of ad-hoc simplified models used for the same purpose. A numerical example which demonstrates the vibration isolation effect when the uplifting of the concrete gravity dam occurs is also presented.     

Earthquake-resistant design according to the most unfavourable seismic direction under combined internal forces

In this study it has been shown that, in the case of linear theory, the combined internal forces corresponding to each seismic direction lie on an ellipsoid having internal forces chosen as the set of axes. A method is proposed to obtain the most unfavourable results easily, in the neighbourhood of the several unfavourable points without actually determining the ellipsoid. The design can be carried out using linear, as well as non-linear, theory. Two examples are given to illustrate the application of the proposed method.