新疆东部地区夏季暴雨的分析

利用1961-2000年共40年新疆东部地区6站夏季降雨量资料、NCEP1°×1°的6小时再分析资料和常规探测等资料，对我国新疆东部地区夏季暴雨的天气气候特征、环流形势、影响天气系统及其暴雨形成的机制进行分析研究，并给出典型个例清晰的物理概念模型，提供了有参考意义的前兆依据。     

吉林省产业发展与能源效率研究(英文)

The relationship between economic development and energy consumption is revealed by employing cointegration theory, the index decomposition method, and a log-linear regression approach based on a case study of Jilin Province, China. The results suggest: 1) the economic development and energy consumption are interdetermined, whose relationship is positive and long-term. The economic development is highly depending on the energy in Jilin Province. 2) Under the condition of other unchanged factors, the change of industrial energy efficiency contributes to the energy saving, while that of industrial structure increases the energy consumption. 3) The industrial structure change enhances the energy intensity, but the energy utility efficiency change lowers it. From the view of contribution to the energy consumption, the contribution of industrial structure was more than that of the energy utility efficiency in 2000-2011. 4) In 2000-2011, the comprehensive energy intensity change and hydroelectricity energy intensity change were related to all industrial structures' change, and the influencing factors about structure of oil energy intensity change were more than those of coal energy intensity change; from the impact degree, agricultural proportion decreased exerted an positive and greater effect on lowering the energy intensity of comprehensive energy and hydroelectricity, and industrial one did on coal and natural gas. Some conclusions can be drawn as follows: the major way to promote the coordinated development of the industrial economy and energy consumption is to optimize the industrial structure by increasing the proportion of the tertiary industry and low energy consumption industrial sectors and to enhance the energy utility efficiency.     

森林资源时空数据异步更新与回溯算法研究

针对目前森林资源数据同步更新和更新后时空数据有效回溯的问题,通过改进传统的小班数据表和小班经营活动表,增加小班经营活动历史表,采用十字链表存储变化小班之间的关系,研究给出了森林资源空间数据和属性数据的异步更新和回溯算法,实现了小班数据的异步更新和动态回溯。     

中俄输油管道(漠河-大庆段)主要冻土环境问题探析

中俄输油管道(漠河-大庆段)全长约965 km,其中穿越不连续多年冻土区约 441 km.管道穿越中国东北大兴安岭山地丘陵和松嫩平原的北部.沿线地形复杂,冻土类型及分布情况复杂.该区是中国东北主要的寒温带森林、冻土湿地分布地区,冻土生态环境比较脆弱.管道建设将不可避免的影响到沿线植被、冻土、湿地、水资源和野生动植物等生态要素.分析了管道沿线多年冻土区主要的冻土环境特征,工程地质和环境风险问题,并提出了一些建议.由于冻土区管道在商业运行的初期和后期,发生各类泄漏事故的几率较高.因此,中俄输油管道还需准备应急预案和措施.     

基于ARIMA模型的陆态网络CORS站时间序列分析

陆态网络连续运行基准站(简称CORS站)是中国2000国家大地坐标框架的重要骨架支撑。以陆态网络CORS站观测时间序列为研究对象,采用经典差分自回归移动平均模型对253个CORS站进行时间序列拟合分析。实验结果表明该模型能够较好的拟合绝大部分测站的时间序列,拟合后剩余残差序列明显减小且更加收敛。