2013年芦山MS7.0地震的地震地质 灾害和发震断裂探讨

在对2013年4月20日芦山M_S7.0地震灾区大量地震地质灾害实地考察及调查的基础上, 总结了滑坡、 崩塌、 砂土液化、 地裂缝、 地表变形等地震地质灾害的分布及发育特点, 探讨了地震地质灾害与发震断裂之间的关系. 极震区和重灾区的崩塌和滑坡特别严重, 是地震巨大破坏作用的外在表现形式; 砂土液化点较少, 分布范围和规模有限; 地裂缝和地表变形并非真正意义上的地震地表破裂带. 根据极震区和重灾区地震地质灾害的分布和发育特点, 认为芦山地震最有可能的发震断裂为龙门山前山断裂的双石—大川断裂, 也有可能是龙门山山前隐伏断裂的大邑断裂, 还有可能是双石—大川断裂与大邑断裂两者共同触发的结果.      

万福井田水文地质特征及矿井涌水量预测

在分析井田水文地质特征的基础上,对矿井的充水因素进行了论述,认为山西组砂岩、太原组第三层灰岩属煤层开采的直接充水含水层,对煤层开采有直接影响。采用了地下水动力学中的"大井法"对矿井的涌水量进行了预测,得到正常涌水量为286 m3/h,最大涌水量为405 m3/h的结果,为万福井田及其它煤矿的安全生产提供了重要的依据和借鉴的价值。     

基于证据加权模型的青海拉陵灶火地区矿产靶区预测及效果评价研究

当代矿产资源评价是复杂高维非线性系统的建模与评价过程,建立能够描述综合信息间复杂关系的多元非线性统计模型并预测矿产靶区,对矿产勘查具有重要指导意义。本文基于GIS软件平台,将证据加权模型应用于青海拉陵灶火地区矿产靶区预测,提取研究区成矿地质背景信息,遥感地质信息,地球化学异常信息等17种致矿综合信息,建立研究区矿产靶区预测模型,绘制成矿后验概率分布图,并利用ROC曲线分析方法对预测结果进行效果评价,根据ROC曲线的TP率和FP率计算圈定矿产靶区概率阈值,对研究区矿产靶区进行了圈定,结果表明证据加权和ROC曲线分析相结合圈定的成矿靶区与已知矿点分布较为吻合,该方法用于矿产靶区预测具有一定的可行性。     

Design and Test of 1/5th Scale Horizontal Axis Tidal Current Turbine

Tidal current energy is prominent and renewable. Great progress has been made in the exploitation technology of tidal current energy all over the world in recent years, and the large scale device has become the trend of tidal current turbine (TCT) for its economies. Instead of the similarity to the wind turbine, the tidal turbine has the characteristics of high hydrodynamic efficiency, big thrust, reliable sealing system, tight power transmission structure, etc. In this paper, a 1/5th scale horizontal axis tidal current turbine has been designed, manufactured and tested before the full scale device design. Firstly, the three-blade horizontal axis rotor was designed based on traditional blade element momentum theory and its hydrodynamic performance was predicted in numerical model. Then the power train system and stand-alone electrical control unit of tidal current turbine, whose performances were accessed through the bench test carried out in workshop, were designed and presented. Finally, offshore tests were carried out and the power performance of the rotor was obtained and compared with the published literatures, and the results showed that the power coefficient was satisfactory, which agrees with the theoretical predictions.     

地面核磁共振方法在阳台滑坡中的应用

根据核磁共振找水原理,选择一个典型滑坡——安徽阳台滑坡,利用核磁共振直接找水仪测试结果,划分该滑坡的地下水含水层,确定滑动面,并运用钻探资料进行验证,证明了该方法在滑坡探测中的有效性和实用性。     

基于孢粉数据的珠江三角洲QZK6孔全新世气候定量重建

依据珠江三角洲QZK6钻孔孢粉组合特征及AMS14C测年结果,基于CONISS软件对剖面孢粉组合进行分带分析,其结果分为A、B、C和D四个孢粉带。根据10981a cal BP以来的孢粉组合特点,结合东亚孢粉数据库中位于广东的122个天然植被下的表层土壤样点的孢粉组成特征,利用软件Polygon 1.5定量重建了QZK6孔的全新世古气候参数。结果显示,全新世气候基本以暖湿为主,总体趋势为凉干—热湿—温凉;D带(10981~8500a cal BP)年均温度为21.7~22.1°C,年降水量1778~1888mm,年均温度和年降水量均比较高;C带(8500~8105a cal BP)年均温度为21.9~22.3°C,年降水量为1845~1929mm,达到各带中最高值;B带(8105~4343a cal BP)年均温度和年降水量开始降低,年均温度为20.8~21.7°C,年降水量为1595~1806mm。人类活动从B带开始增强(在A带达到最强);A带(4343a cal BP至今)年均温度为20.3~21.5°C,年降水量为1587~1765 mm,为各带中年均温度最低、年降水量最少的阶段。     

基于ARIMA模型的陆态网络CORS站时间序列分析

陆态网络连续运行基准站(简称CORS站)是中国2000国家大地坐标框架的重要骨架支撑。以陆态网络CORS站观测时间序列为研究对象,采用经典差分自回归移动平均模型对253个CORS站进行时间序列拟合分析。实验结果表明该模型能够较好的拟合绝大部分测站的时间序列,拟合后剩余残差序列明显减小且更加收敛。     

Transportation of floating structures by using newly built heavy lifting semi vessel HYSY278

Transportation of floating structures for long distance has always been associated with the use of heavy semi transport vessel. The requirements of this type of vessel are always special, and its availability is limited. To prepare for the future development of the South China Sea deepwater projects, COOEC has recently built a heavy lift transport vessel — Hai Yang Shi You 278 (HYSY278). This semi-submersible vessel has displacement capacity of 50k DWT, and a breath of 42 m. Understanding the vessel’s applicability and preparing its use for future deepwater projects are becoming imminent need. This paper reviews the critical issues associated with the floating structure transportation and performs detailed analysis of two designed floating structures during transportation. The newly built COOEC transportation vessel HYSY278 will be used to dry transport the floating structures from COOEC fabrication yard in Qingdao to the oil field in the South China Sea. The entire process will start with load-out/float-off the floating structures from the construction sites, offload the platform from the vessel if needed, dry transport floating structures through a long distance, and finally offload the platform. Both hydrodynamic and structural analyses are performed to evaluate transport vessel and floating structures. Critical issues associated with the transportation and offloading of platform from the vessel will be studied in detail. Detailed study is performed to evaluate the response of the system during this phase and additional work needed to make the vessel feasible for use of this purpose. The results demonstrate that with proper modifications, HYSY278 can effectively be used for transporting structures with proper arrangement and well-prepared operation. The procedure and details are presented on the basis of study results. Special attentions associated with future use will also be discussed based on the results from analysis.     

鄂尔多斯盆地晚三叠世延长组湖盆演化及石油聚集规律

延长组湖岸线、深湖线及湖盆底形恢复显示,延长组湖盆具有向西南部迁移,再向东北部迁移的演化特点。长6期湖盆底形具有"南陡北缓、西陡东缓"的特点,盆地中心位于庙湾以北、正宁以东、甘泉以南地带,造成盆地东北部为缓坡型三角洲体系,而西南部为陡坡型辫状河三角洲,前缘末端发育浊积扇。延长组划分为5个三级层序,控制了4套生储盖的分布。延长组湖盆演化与石油的聚集关系密切,湖岸线附近的三角洲前缘是油气的主要富集区,深湖区的浊积砂体也具有一定的储集性能和良好的成藏条件。东北部、西南部主要成藏组合及深湖浊积岩的特征表明,可以进一步向盆地腹地扩大勘探。     

"8·16"暴雨过程的湿位涡诊断分析

本文利用实况资料和T213输出资料,对发生在2005年8月16日～17日的华北暴雨过程进行了湿位涡数值诊断分析,结果表明,强降水落在湿相对位涡的负值中心附近,且湿相对位涡场的特征主要取决于其正压项的贡献。在暴雨出现前期,湿对称不稳定主要在高层,湿位涡的下传可能是产生暴雨的重要原因之一。湿位涡的负值中心与中低层涡度的增大及暴雨的增强存在密切的关系。