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飞机报资料在0506华南致灾暴雨过程模拟中的应用 总被引:5,自引:1,他引:5
利用常规和非常规观测资料,对2005年6月18~24日华南地区的一次致灾暴雨过程进行了分析,并对18~19日的过程进行了模拟研究。由于常规观测资料的分析对于描述暴雨的系统结构等方面尚显不足,因此利用GRAPES模式对此次暴雨过程进行了模拟研究。采用不同资料,利用模式同化系统经过12小时的同化,将得出的不同的同化分析场作为模式的初始场,对此次过程进行24小时的数值模拟做对比模拟试验,来对比分析飞机报同化场对于模式预报的改进作用。试验证明,利用有飞机报加入的同化分析场做初始场的模拟结果不仅能够模拟出主要的降水区域,而且降水强度与实况更加吻合,比未加入飞机报的控制试验结果的准确率提高了。飞机报资料的使用对于提高此次暴雨过程模拟效果是可行的、必要的,而且也为该资料用于华南暴雨的预报奠定了基础。 相似文献
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海基(浮标站、海岛站、平台站)现场观测作为海洋观测的主要来源,对大气和海洋科学的发展起到重要作用。探讨了南海及沿岸海基观测资料同化对华南前汛期暴雨预报的潜在影响。在地面站观测资料同化基础上,增加海基观测资料同化,并进行了连续循环同化试验。试验结果表明,连续循环同化方案显著优于冷启动同化方案的降水预报,通过连续循环同化海基观测资料可以有效改善分析场低层的湿度场和风场,进而改善了华南上游南海区域的水汽输送和动力条件。在降水预报方面,同化海基观测资料对陆地区域的降水预报改善不明显,但对沿岸及海上区域的降水预报改善显著,尤其是18 h和24 h的强降水预报。总体来看,增加海基观测资料同化对华南前汛期南海沿岸及海上区域暴雨预报产生了积极的正贡献,本研究对CMA-MESO模式实现更多海基观测资料业务同化、提高华南前汛期暴雨预报水平和开展南海海洋观测试验提供了重要依据。 相似文献
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2008年,山东省委省政府以日照为核心建设鲁南临海产业区列为全省改革试点,作为加快“一体两翼”鲁南经济带开发开放的重要载体。2009年,山东省实施重点带动战略,将鲁南临海产业区作为重点之一,加大投资力度。日照市国土资源局围绕“扩内需、保增长、调结构”工作大局,主动作为,积极应对,着力破解资源供需瓶颈,构建保障科学发展新机制,保证了省、市经济发展战略的落实,促进了经济平稳较快发展。 相似文献
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为探讨苏鲁造山带南缘临沭县青云镇地区二长花岗岩体的形成时代、岩石类型、源区性质、成岩构造环境及形成机制,对其开展了锆石U-Pb年代学及主微量元素地球化学分析研究。结果表明,LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年测得二长花岗岩成岩年龄为(126.6±3.8)Ma。岩体具高硅、弱过铝质、贫铁镁及富碱高钾的特征,稀土配分模式高度分异,亏损Nb、Ta、Ti、P等HFSE,相对富集Rb、Th、K、La等LILE和Pb元素,具中等弱Eu负异常,δEu主要分布在0.62~0.72。研究认为,该岩体可能主要来源于中等压力下(0.8~1.3 GPa),深度为35~45 km的麻粒岩相下地壳的部分熔融,形成于拉张的构造环境。在成岩过程中可能存在矿物的分离结晶作用。岩石圈的拆沉和地幔岩浆的底侵作用可能是导致下地壳物质部分熔融的主要原因。 相似文献
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The study on 82 surface soil pollen samples from different types of cultivated vegetations in central and southern parts of Hebei Province indicates that the pollen assemblages from farmlands in the plain have not only their own plant types, but also the pollen components from the nearby mountains. Arboreal pollen percentages and concentrations (dominated by Pinus) from farmlands in mountain area are higher than those in the plain, and it reduces gradually with the increasing distance away from the mountains. Taking Pinus pollen in Taihang Mountains as an example, its content is 20%-30%, 10%-20%, 20%-30% and below 16% respectively for the samples from the area of 0-50, 50-100, 100-150 and more than 150 km away from the east Taihang Mountains. The increase of Pinus pollen proportion in the central plain is probably related to the fohn effect. The spatial variation of AP from mountains to the plain in Hebei Province may be similar to the forests clearance by human activities in the early historical period. Shrubby pollen proportion is small both in mountains and in the plain, but their major components are different. Elaeagnaceae, Corylus, Ostryopsis and Oleaceae are common in mountain areas, while there are relatively high contents of Rosaceae and Vitaceae in the plain. Herbs content in the plain (about 60%) is 15% higher than that in mountains, among which the Cereals and Cruciferae pollen percentages are 5% and 2% higher respectively. Artemisia pollen percentage in the plain is lower than that in mountains. Since the human activities are weaker in mountains compared with that in the plain, the general trend is that Chenopodiaceae pollen increases from mountains to the plain gradually, reflecting the raising intensity of human activities. The fern spores of Selaginella sinensis in mountains are higher than that in the plain, but it still reaches to about 7% in the plain. The fern spores of Selaginella sinensis are not prone to be spread by wind, indicating that those in the surface soil of the plain may be carried by river water from mountains during the deposition of the plain. 相似文献