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971.
Vera van Zoest Frank B. Osei Gerard Hoek Alfred Stein 《International journal of geographical information science》2020,34(5):851-865
ABSTRACT Recently developed urban air quality sensor networks are used to monitor air pollutant concentrations at a fine spatial and temporal resolution. The measurements are however limited to point support. To obtain areal coverage in space and time, interpolation is required. A spatio-temporal regression kriging approach was applied to predict nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations at unobserved space-time locations in the city of Eindhoven, the Netherlands. Prediction maps were created at 25 m spatial resolution and hourly temporal resolution. In regression kriging, the trend is separately modelled from autocorrelation in the residuals. The trend part of the model, consisting of a set of spatial and temporal covariates, was able to explain 49.2% of the spatio-temporal variability in NO2 concentrations in Eindhoven in November 2016. Spatio-temporal autocorrelation in the residuals was modelled by fitting a sum-metric spatio-temporal variogram model, adding smoothness to the prediction maps. The accuracy of the predictions was assessed using leave-one-out cross-validation, resulting in a Root Mean Square Error of 9.91 μg m?3, a Mean Error of ?0.03 μg m?3 and a Mean Absolute Error of 7.29 μg m?3. The method allows for easy prediction and visualization of air pollutant concentrations and can be extended to a near real-time procedure. 相似文献
972.
Double funnelling in a mature coastal British Columbia forest: spatial patterns of stemflow after infiltration
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Many studies have focused on the amount of stemflow in different forests and for different rainfall events, but few studies have focused on how stemflow intensity varies during events or the infiltration of stemflow into the soil. Stemflow may lead to higher water delivery rates at the base of the tree compared with throughfall over the same area and fast and deeper infiltration of this water along roots and other preferential flow pathways. In this study, stemflow amounts and intensities were measured and blue dye experiments were conducted in a mature coniferous forest in coastal British Columbia to examine double funnelling of stemflow. Stemflow accounted for only 1% of precipitation and increased linearly with event total precipitation. Funnelling ratios ranged from less than 1 to almost 20; smaller trees had larger funnelling ratios. Stemflow intensity generally was highest for periods with high‐intensity rainfall later in the event. The maximum stemflow intensities were higher than the maximum precipitation intensities. Dye tracer experiments showed that stemflow infiltrated primarily along roots and was found more frequently at depth than near the soil surface. Lateral flow of stemflow was observed above a dense clay layer for both the throughfall and stemflow experiments. Stemflow appeared to infiltrate deeper (122 cm) than throughfall (85 cm), but this difference was in part a result of site‐specific differences in maximum soil depth. However, the observed high stemflow intensities combined with preferential flow of stemflow may lead to enhanced subsurface stormflow. This suggests that even though stemflow is only a very minor component of the water balance, it may still significantly affect soil moisture, recharge, and runoff generation. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
973.
AbstractKey physical variables for the Northwest Atlantic (NWA) are examined in the “historical” and two future Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) simulations of six Earth System Models (ESMs) available through Phase 5 of the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). The variables are air temperature, sea-ice concentration, surface and subsurface ocean temperature and salinity, and ocean mixed-layer depth. Comparison of the historical simulations with observations indicates that the models provide a good qualitative and approximate quantitative representation of many of the large-scale climatological features in the NWA (e.g., annual cycles and spatial patterns). However, the models represent the detailed structure of some important NWA ocean and ice features poorly, such that caution is needed in the use of their projected future changes. Monthly “climate change” fields between the bidecades 1986–2005 and 2046–2065 are described, using ensemble statistics of the changes across the six ESMs. The results point to warmer air temperatures everywhere, warmer surface ocean temperatures in most areas, reduced sea-ice extent and, in most areas, reduced surface salinities and mixed-layer depths. However, the magnitudes of the inter-model differences in the projected changes are comparable to those of the ensemble-mean changes in many cases, such that robust quantitative projections are generally not possible for the NWA. 相似文献
974.
Christiaan P. A. van Buchem Yamila Miguel Mantas Zilinskas Wim van Westrenen 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2023,58(8):1149-1161
To date, over 500 short-period rocky planets with equilibrium temperatures above 1500 K have been discovered. Such planets are expected to support magma oceans, providing a direct interface between the interior and the atmosphere. This provides a unique opportunity to gain insight into their interior compositions through atmospheric observations. A key process in doing such work is the vapor outgassing from the lava surface. LavAtmos is an open-source code that calculates the equilibrium chemical composition of vapor above a dry melt for a given composition and temperature. Results show that the produced output is in good agreement with the partial pressures obtained from experimental laboratory data as well as with other similar codes from literature. LavAtmos allows for the modeling of vaporization of a wide range of different mantle compositions of hot rocky exoplanets. In combination with atmospheric chemistry codes, this enables the characterization of interior compositions through atmospheric signatures. 相似文献
975.
This article performs actor-network theory (ANT) to examine the development of gorilla tourism at Bwindi Impenetrable National Park, Uganda. We depict a number of translations in which gorillas were designated and enrolled as coexisting with local livelihood practices, as “trophies” in the hunting network, “man's closest neighbor” in the scientific network, “endangered species” in the conservation network, and finally, through habituation processes, became part of the tourism network. These five versions of the “gorilla” network show how gorillas are shaped in and by the relations in which they reside. By examining Bwindi in terms of ANT's notions of ordering, materiality, and multiplicity, we not only show how gorilla tourism has gained permanence and popularity, but also draw attention to new ways of thinking about actors and agency in tourism, conservation, and development. 相似文献
976.
977.
GPS-derived orbits for the GOCE satellite 总被引:5,自引:4,他引:1
Heike Bock Adrian Jäggi Ulrich Meyer Pieter Visser Jose van den IJssel Tom van Helleputte Markus Heinze Urs Hugentobler 《Journal of Geodesy》2011,85(11):807-818
The first ESA (European Space Agency) Earth explorer core mission GOCE (Gravity field and steady-state Ocean Circulation Explorer)
was launched on 17 March 2009 into a sun-synchronous dusk–dawn orbit with an exceptionally low initial altitude of about 280 km.
The onboard 12-channel dual-frequency GPS (Global Positioning System) receiver delivers 1 Hz data, which provides the basis
for precise orbit determination (POD) for such a very low orbiting satellite. As part of the European GOCE Gravity Consortium
the Astronomical Institute of the University of Bern and the Department of Earth Observation and Space Systems are responsible
for the orbit determination of the GOCE satellite within the GOCE High-level Processing Facility. Both quick-look (rapid)
and very precise orbit solutions are produced with typical latencies of 1 day and 2 weeks, respectively. This article summarizes
the special characteristics of the GOCE GPS data, presents POD results for about 2 months of data, and shows that both latency
and accuracy requirements are met. Satellite Laser Ranging validation shows that an accuracy of 4 and 7 cm is achieved for
the reduced-dynamic and kinematic Rapid Science Orbit solutions, respectively. The validation of the reduced-dynamic and kinematic
Precise Science Orbit solutions is at a level of about 2 cm. 相似文献
978.
A statistical characterization is presented of Global Positioning System (GPS) user range error as a normally distributed
random variable with non-zero mean over the length of the aircraft precision approach operation, correlated from one GPS measurement
epoch to another and from one satellite to another. This leads directly to modeling GPS error in the position domain as multivariate
normal with non-zero mean. Based on this model, a vertical composite protection level VPLc and a horizontal composite protection level HPLc are each calculated as scalar values from a univariate normal distribution displaced from the origin by the worst-case position
domain bias combination possible, given the maximum possible individual satellite bias magnitudes and the satellite geometry.
A method is then presented by which exact values—that is, values accurate to a user-defined error tolerance and consistent
with statistical assumptions—of VPLc and HPLc are obtained, and by which computationally efficient approximations may be evaluated. A statistical quadratic form under
the multivariate normal distribution is used to derive a new class of protection levels based on the probability enclosed
within a radius defined in two or more dimensions. A central Chi-square representation of this quadratic form is also presented
and is incorporated into a six-step computational procedure for the two-dimensional composite radial protection level RPLc. This procedure is extended to the spherical protection level (SPLc) and the ellipsoidal protection level (EPLc). 相似文献
979.
Malte Meinshausen S. J. Smith K. Calvin J. S. Daniel M. L. T. Kainuma J-F. Lamarque K. Matsumoto S. A. Montzka S. C. B. Raper K. Riahi A. Thomson G. J. M. Velders D.P. P. van Vuuren 《Climatic change》2011,109(1-2):213-241
We present the greenhouse gas concentrations for the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) and their extensions beyond 2100, the Extended Concentration Pathways (ECPs). These projections include all major anthropogenic greenhouse gases and are a result of a multi-year effort to produce new scenarios for climate change research. We combine a suite of atmospheric concentration observations and emissions estimates for greenhouse gases (GHGs) through the historical period (1750?C2005) with harmonized emissions projected by four different Integrated Assessment Models for 2005?C2100. As concentrations are somewhat dependent on the future climate itself (due to climate feedbacks in the carbon and other gas cycles), we emulate median response characteristics of models assessed in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report using the reduced-complexity carbon cycle climate model MAGICC6. Projected ??best-estimate?? global-mean surface temperature increases (using inter alia a climate sensitivity of 3°C) range from 1.5°C by 2100 for the lowest of the four RCPs, called both RCP3-PD and RCP2.6, to 4.5°C for the highest one, RCP8.5, relative to pre-industrial levels. Beyond 2100, we present the ECPs that are simple extensions of the RCPs, based on the assumption of either smoothly stabilizing concentrations or constant emissions: For example, the lower RCP2.6 pathway represents a strong mitigation scenario and is extended by assuming constant emissions after 2100 (including net negative CO2 emissions), leading to CO2 concentrations returning to 360 ppm by 2300. We also present the GHG concentrations for one supplementary extension, which illustrates the stringent emissions implications of attempting to go back to ECP4.5 concentration levels by 2250 after emissions during the 21st century followed the higher RCP6 scenario. Corresponding radiative forcing values are presented for the RCP and ECPs. 相似文献
980.
A special issue on the RCPs 总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1