全文获取类型
收费全文 | 4365篇 |
免费 | 231篇 |
国内免费 | 21篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 128篇 |
大气科学 | 308篇 |
地球物理 | 1743篇 |
地质学 | 1431篇 |
海洋学 | 219篇 |
天文学 | 584篇 |
综合类 | 24篇 |
自然地理 | 180篇 |
出版年
2022年 | 33篇 |
2021年 | 90篇 |
2020年 | 88篇 |
2019年 | 59篇 |
2018年 | 194篇 |
2017年 | 186篇 |
2016年 | 284篇 |
2015年 | 212篇 |
2014年 | 247篇 |
2013年 | 300篇 |
2012年 | 241篇 |
2011年 | 232篇 |
2010年 | 199篇 |
2009年 | 200篇 |
2008年 | 169篇 |
2007年 | 149篇 |
2006年 | 140篇 |
2005年 | 98篇 |
2004年 | 110篇 |
2003年 | 84篇 |
2002年 | 68篇 |
2001年 | 79篇 |
2000年 | 52篇 |
1999年 | 48篇 |
1998年 | 69篇 |
1997年 | 49篇 |
1996年 | 30篇 |
1995年 | 33篇 |
1994年 | 37篇 |
1993年 | 32篇 |
1992年 | 39篇 |
1991年 | 34篇 |
1990年 | 50篇 |
1989年 | 37篇 |
1988年 | 23篇 |
1987年 | 28篇 |
1986年 | 29篇 |
1984年 | 28篇 |
1983年 | 23篇 |
1982年 | 27篇 |
1981年 | 26篇 |
1980年 | 24篇 |
1979年 | 28篇 |
1978年 | 24篇 |
1977年 | 25篇 |
1976年 | 25篇 |
1975年 | 23篇 |
1974年 | 24篇 |
1973年 | 29篇 |
1971年 | 36篇 |
排序方式: 共有4617条查询结果,搜索用时 890 毫秒
971.
Gustavo?Bastos?Lyra Tamíres?Partelli?Correia José?Francisco?de?Oliveira-Júnior Marcelo?ZeriEmail authorView authors OrcID profile 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2018,134(3-4):955-965
Five deterministic methods of spatial interpolation of monthly rainfall were compared over the state of Rio de Janeiro, southeast Brazil. The methods were the inverse distance weight (IDW), nearest neighbor (NRN), triangulation with linear interpolation (TLI), natural neighbor (NN), and spline tension (SPT). A set of 110 weather stations was used to test the methods. The selection of stations had two criteria: time series longer than 20 years and period of data from 1960 to 2009. The methods were evaluated using cross-validation, linear regression between values observed and interpolated, root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (r 2), coefficient of variation (CV, %), and the Willmott index of agreement (d). The results from different methods are influenced by the meteorological systems and their seasonality, as well as by the interaction with the topography. The methods presented higher precision (r 2) and accuracy (d, RMSE) during the summer and transition to autumn, in comparison with the winter or spring months. The SPT had the highest precision and accuracy in relation to other methods, in addition to having a good representation of the spatial patterns expected for rainfall over the complex terrain of the state and its high spatial variability. 相似文献
972.
When a damaging extreme meteorological event occurs, the question often arises as to whether that event was caused by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. The question is more than academic, since people affected by the event will be interested in recurring damages if they find that someone is at fault. However, since this extreme event could have occurred by chance in an unperturbed climate, we are currently unable to properly respond to this question. A solution lies in recognising the similarity with the cause-effect issue in the epidemiological field. The approach there is to consider the changes in the risk of the event occurring as attributable, as against the occurrence of the event itself. Inherent in this approach is a recognition that knowledge of the change in risk as well as the amplitude of the forcing itself are uncertain. Consequently, the fraction of the risk attributable to the external forcing is a probabilistic quantity. Here we develop and demonstrate this methodology in the context of the climate change problem. 相似文献
973.
José Luís Argaín Miguel A. C. Teixeira Pedro M. A. Miranda 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2017,165(1):145-160
A method is proposed for estimating the surface-layer depth \((z_s)\) and the friction velocity \((u_*)\) as a function of stability (here quantified by the Obukhov length, L) over the complete range of unstable flow regimes. This method extends that developed previously for stable conditions by Argaín et al. (Boundary-Layer Meteorol 130:15–28, 2009), but uses a qualitatively different approach. The method is specifically used to calculate the fractional speed-up \((\varDelta S)\) in flow over a ridge, although it is suitable for more general boundary-layer applications. The behaviour of \(z_s \left( L\right) \) and \(u_*\left( L\right) \) as a function of L is indirectly assessed via calculation of \(\varDelta S\left( L\right) \) using the linear model of Hunt et al. (Q J R Meteorol Soc 29:16–26, 1988) and its comparison with the field measurements reported in Coppin et al. (Boundary-Layer Meteorol 69:173–199, 1994) and with numerical simulations carried out using a non-linear numerical model, FLEX. The behaviour of \(\varDelta S\) estimated from the linear model is clearly improved when \(u_*\) is calculated using the method proposed here, confirming the importance of accounting for the dependences of \(z_s\left( L \right) \) and \(u_*\left( L \right) \) on L to better represent processes in the unstable boundary layer. 相似文献
974.
Vinícius dos SANTOS Peter MARSHALL FLEMING Luís HENRIQUE MANCINI Stela DALVA SANTOS COTA Graziele Beatriz de LIMA Rafaela RODRIGUES GOMES Roberto Eduardo KIRCHHEIM Ricardo SANCHéZ-MURILLO Didier GASTMANS 《大气科学进展》2022,39(10):1693-1708
Precipitation isotope ratios (O and H) record the history of water phase transitions and fractionation processes during moisture transport and rainfall formation. Here, we evaluated the isotopic composition of precipitation over the central-southeastern region of Brazil at different timescales. Monthly isotopic compositions were associated with classical effects (rainfall amount, seasonality, and continentality), demonstrating the importance of vapor recirculation processes and different regional atmospheric systems (South American Convergence Zone-SACZ and Cold Fronts-CF). While moisture recycling and regional atmospheric processes may also be observed on a daily timescale, classical effects such as the amount effect were not strongly correlated (δ18O-precipitation rate r ≤ –0.37). Daily variability revealed specific climatic features, such as δ18O depleted values (~ –6‰ to –8‰) during the wet season were associated with strong convective activity and large moisture availability. Daily isotopic analysis revealed the role of different moisture sources and transport effects. Isotope ratios combined with d-excess explain how atmospheric recirculation processes interact with convective activity during rainfall formation processes. Our findings provide a new understanding of rainfall sampling timescales and highlight the importance of water isotopes to decipher key hydrometeorological processes in a complex spatial and temporal context in central-southeastern Brazil. 相似文献
975.
强火山喷发作为气候变化重要的外强迫因素,其所造成的气候环境效应一直是气候变化研究热点,而其对于流域水循环影响较少受关注。本文利用采自高亚洲南部河流源区麦吊云杉(Picea brachytyla)树轮样本,研制出一个长达885 a的树木年轮标准宽度年表。基于树轮气候响应分析结果,利用线性回归模型重建研究区自公元1200年上年11月至当年2月平均最低气温变化,重建方程方差解释量47.1%。该气温重建序列显示,研究区自公元1200年经历了8个冷期和9个暖期,包含有10个极冷年和23个极暖年。同时,该气温重建序列验证了自公元1200年来27次强火山喷发(VEI≥5)对于青藏高原东南部河流源区气候的影响,包括1257年Samalas和1815年Tambora等强火山喷发事件。该气温重建序列与相关河流径流数据对比结果表明强火山喷发在引起高亚洲南部河流源区气温出现明显下降的同时,也可能会进一步导致水循环减缓,使得高亚洲南部河流径流量出现减少。
相似文献976.
Recent pore-scale observations and geomechanical investigations suggest the lack of true cohesion in methane hydrate-bearing sediments (MHBSs) and propose that their mechanical behavior is governed by kinematic constrictions at pore-scale. This paper presents a constitutive model for MHBS, which does not rely on physical bonding between hydrate crystals and sediment grains but on the densification effect that pore invasion with hydrate has on the sediment mechanical properties. The Hydrate-CASM extends the critical state model Clay and Sand Model (CASM) by implementing the subloading surface model and introducing the densification mechanism. The model suggests that the decrease of the sediment available void volume during hydrate formation stiffens its structure and has a similar mechanical effect as the increase of sediment density. In particular, the model attributes stress-strain changes observed in MHBS to the variations in sediment available void volume with hydrate saturation and its consequent effect on isotropic yield stress and swelling line slope. The model performance is examined against published experimental data from drained triaxial tests performed at different confining stress and with distinct hydrate saturation and morphology. Overall, the simulations capture the influence of hydrate saturation in both the magnitude and trend of the stiffness, shear strength, and volumetric response of synthetic MHBS. The results are validated against those obtained from previous mechanical models for MHBS that examine the same experimental data. The Hydrate-CASM performs similarly to previous models, but its formulation only requires one hydrate-related empirical parameter to express changes in the sediment elastic stiffness with hydrate saturation. 相似文献
977.
Gurri Francisco D. Ruiz-García Wilma Molina-Rosales Dolores O. Vallejo-Nieto Mirna I. 《Natural Hazards》2019,96(1):149-171
Natural Hazards - We built an easy-to-interpret individual vulnerability index to floods that is amenable for empirical testing and may be adapted to any perceived hazard or ecological setting. An... 相似文献
978.
Donaldo Mauricio Bran Jorge Gabriel Lozano Dario Civile Emanuele Lodolo María E. Cerredo Alejandro Tassone Luca Baradello Maurizio Grossi Juan Vilas 《第四纪科学杂志》2020,35(3):396-409
Lago Roca/Acigami is a “fjord-type” lake located in the southernmost part of South America, in the proximity of the Beagle Channel. A high-resolution seismic survey was carried out to analyse the seismic stratigraphy of the lake and to shed some light on the post-Last Glacial Maximum history of the area. Six seismic units were recognised, and their nature and depositional context were interpreted using seismic stratigraphy and acoustic facies analysis. A buried large ridge was identified within the glacial unit (SU1), interpreted as a frontal moraine that indicates a stabilisation phase. After retreat of the glacier from the basin, the trough was flooded by meltwater and a lake developed (SU2). The seismic facies, from bottom to top, depict a transition from ice-contact (SU2; SU3) to ice-distal proglacial conditions (SU4). A thick draping unit (SU5) marks a marine transgressive event and the instauration of a fjord environment in the basin. The marine transgression was a rapid event preceded by a fall in the lake level that caused an erosional unconformity. During the fjord phase the sedimentation remained controlled by meltwater discharge. Sea level fall, and subsequent disconnection from the Beagle Channel was accompanied by a progradation of the glaciofluvial deltaic sediments and the occurrence of several mass-wasting deposits (SU6). © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
979.
N. Ya. Kotsarenko R. Pérez Enríquez S. V. Koshevaya 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1996,246(2):211-217
The transformation of atmospheric acoustic waves into plasma waves in the ionosphere is investigated. The transformation mechanism is based on plasma wave exitation by growing acoustic waves, when a frequency/wavelength matching situation is reached. The interaction of acoustic and plasma waves occurs through collisions of neutral particles with ions. For the case of ion-sound waves, oscillations on ion cyclotron frequency and Alfvén waves is considered. A peculiarity of Alfvén waves is the wide frequency band which may be stimulated through wave-wave interaction. 相似文献
980.
J. A. López Ortí A. López García R. López Machí 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》1992,53(4):311-322
The equilibrium configurations of close binary systems are analyzed. The autogravitational, centrifugal and tidal potentials are expanded in Clairaut's coordinates. From the set of the total potential angular terms an integral equations system is derived. The reduction of them to ordinary differential equations and the determination of the boundary conditions allow a formulation of the problem in terms of a single variable. 相似文献