福建省夏季高温成因分析

通过对1961－1999年7－9月各高温过程环境背景的统计分析，探讨造成福建省高温天气的主要天气系统及形势特征。结果表明：（1）夏季高温过程分布具有较为明显的空性和时间性；（2）西太平副热带高压是影响福建省高温过程的主要天气系统；（3）热带系统外围西北风场控制下的显著增温现象是影响高温过程的重要天气系统；（4）地形作用一定程度上影响着气温的空间分布。     

金星探测研究进展与未来展望

金星探测是解答太阳系类地行星形成演化,地球宜居性的形成和未来发展,以及外太阳系宜居星球搜索策略的关键。由于金星恶劣的环境条件、对探测技术的多重挑战和相对高昂的探测成本,金星探测和研究程度远不及月球和火星。自20世纪90年代后期,金星探测任务相对匮乏。本文梳理了国际上金星探测研究进展、关键科学问题及技术需求,提出了未来金星的探测目标和探测方式建议。目前,对金星大气和气候研究程度最高,包括大气结构和大气化学,能量平衡和热结构,云层和霾层,大气环流和动力学以及气候演化等。高层大气的物理化学和太阳风与金星的相互作用方面也有重要进展。金星地表和内部的研究则相对滞后,研究涵盖金星表面形貌特征,撞击和重塑历史,火山和构造活动,地表物质组成,地表和大气相互作用等,但受限于数据的空间覆盖率和较低的分辨率和精度,诸多重大问题尚未解答,迫切需要新的探测数据。除探测任务外,金星研究还依赖于地基观测、实验室模拟和数值模拟研究。地面模拟设施对支持金星探测任务研发和金星基础科学研究尤为重要。未来十年是中国开展金星探测的契机和研发相关技术的关键时期。本文可为对金星探测、行星科学、太阳系探测感兴趣的科学家和工程人员提供...     

Human Causes of Aeolian Desertification in Northern China

Aeolian desertification has rapidly developed in the past 50 years in Northern China,covered an area of 0.386 million km2 by 2000,affected nearly 170 million population,and caused the direct and indirect economic loss of about $6.75(U.S.dollar) billion per year.Here we present several lines of evidence to demonstrate that human activities guided by policy shifts have been a major force to drive aeolian desertification via changes in land-use patterns and intensity.It is suggested that the desertification can be curbed or even reversed by adopting prevention and control measures with ecologically sound land-use practices in China.     

2022年2—3月中国大陆地区MS≥4.0地震震源机制解测定

本文利用中国地震台网记录的宽频带波形资料,采用近震全波形反演方法得到2022年2月1日—3月31日发生在中国大陆地区的M_S≥4.0共20次地震的震源机制解。结果显示逆断型5次,走滑型14次,未知型1次。     

浅谈地震剖面的假象识别

假象识别是正确解释地震剖面的前提,也是描述地震成像保真度(精准度)的主要标准之一.本文通过分析反射地震剖面实例,对几种常见的、易被误解的地震成像假象的特征进行了分类阐述,提出基于成因识别地震成像假象的思路.从地震剖面成像过程来看,假象的成因包括信号误判、成像畸变和波速模型误差这三个主要因素.许多不易被识别的假象起源于地震数据处理成像过程中对信号的误判,犹如“张冠李戴”;成像畸变假象的根源包括成像照明度、资料频宽和方法假设等方面的缺陷,造成抹痕等成像结果畸变假象;当地震波速度模型误差较大时,地震成像结果不仅会出现成像位置错误,还可能在波阻抗不连续点出现散射拖尾假象.因此,衡量地震成像精准度的标准应包括成像结果的分辨率、位置准确度和假象识别三个要素.这些要素相互影响,因此应该根据研究目标和实际情况,综合评判地震成像中假象的影响.     

A two-mechanism soil–structure interface model for three-dimensional cyclic loading

A three-dimensional (3D) soil–structure interface model is proposed within the two-mechanism constitutive theory and bounding surface theory originally established for soils. The proposed model has two main characteristics: first, the model is formulated based on two different and superposed deformation mechanisms. The first mechanism is due to the stress ratio increment, and the second is due to the normal stress increment. Each mechanism induces a shear strain component and a normal strain component. The proposed model can be reduced to the conventional single-mechanism interface model. Second, the plastic modulus and stress dilatancy are defined using the bounding surface theory. The plastic flow rule under cyclic loading is modified and assumed to be dependent on both the stress state of the mapping point and the stress reversal loading direction. The proposed model was validated against the available 3D interface tests and was found to satisfactorily reflect the salient features of the interfaces under monotonic and cyclic loading paths with different normal boundaries. The problem in which the elastic normal stiffness in conventional single-mechanism interface models is often underestimated to enhance the simulation performance under varying normal stress conditions is solved by incorporating the second mechanism. And the effect of the second mechanism on the modeling behavior is discussed. The modified plastic flow direction accurately simulates the 3D cyclic shear response, and the difference between the model simulation and test result increases with the number of cycles by use of the plastic flow direction defined in conventional bounding surface theory.     

Response of circular tunnel with imperfect interface bonding in layered ground subjected to obliquely incident plane P or SV wave

A semianalytical procedure is proposed for evaluating the internal forces of circular tunnel with imperfect interface bonding in layered ground subjected to an obliquely incident plane P or SV wave. In this study, the hoop bending moment and hoop axial force are related to the free‐field responses of the ground. A one‐dimensional numerical approach is firstly presented to obtain the free‐field responses of a layered half‐space with an obliquely incident plane P or SV wave propagation. Then, the free‐field stress state is transformed and decomposed in the polar coordinate system. The internal forces of tunnel caused by the isotropic stress state and the pure shear state are calculated and then summed up to obtain the overall analytical solutions. Finally, the validity of the proposed semianalytical procedure is demonstrated by numerical examples.     

大地电磁资料偏移成像

在研究Zhdanov的二维电磁场偏移成像的基础上, 针对它在某些方面的不足, 研究并提出了改进算法. 首先, 用一维反演结果确定初始背景电阻率, 然后在延拓计算过程中, 利用迭代算法进行逐层修正、 延拓计算, 从而获得较准确的电阻率; 第二, 研究了有限差分方程的改进算法, 根据大地电磁场变化的特点, 设计了纵向以等比级数变网格的迭代算法. 通过以上两方面技术的改进, 经理论模型和实际资料试算验证, 取得了较好的结果.      

湘西北2008年初持续冰雪灾害及对椪柑影响分析

2008年初湘西北出现了自1956年有气象记录以来低温持续时间最长、冰冻范围最大、强度最强的一次低温雨雪冰冻天气过程,罕见的特大冰冻灾害给当地支柱产业之一的椪柑生产带来严重影响.本文从天气学和农业气象学角度出发,对低温雨雪造成的椪柑冻害及椪柑成果的贮藏、销售影响进行了详细评估,旨在为湘西北椪柑生产恢复与制定防灾减灾措施提出科学依据.     

近56年我国暖冬气候事件变化

对冬季平均气温序列采用三分位方法确定单站暖冬阈值, 并将单站暖冬分为弱和强两个等级。以此为基础, 确定区域暖冬和全国暖冬的界定方法和等级划分标准。区域暖冬采用站点相对比例确定, 全国暖冬采用暖冬面积相对比例界定。对我国1952— 2007年的暖冬事件变化特征的分析结果表明:南方暖冬频率高于北方, 强暖冬多发区出现在我国中西部地区; 北方单站暖冬指数上升幅度大于南方, 表明北方暖冬事件上升趋势更加明显; 以1986年为界, 前期 (1952— 1985年) 南、北方各区域均很少出现暖冬, 南方各区暖冬频率略高于北方各区, 后期 (1986—2007年) 各区暖冬年大为增加, 北方各区增加最明显且超过了南方; 56年中, 全国性暖冬共发生15次 (年), 其中强暖冬共有5次 (年); 全国暖冬指数呈显著上升趋势, 在有效面积不变的情况下, 暖冬面积每10年增加10%。