锌对虾夷扇贝和刺参幼体的毒性效应

以虾夷扇贝和刺参幼体为材料,采用急性毒性试验和亚急性毒性试验的方法,研究了锌对虾夷扇贝稚贝及幼贝和刺参幼虫的毒性效应。结果显示,锌对虾夷扇贝稚贝的２４ｈＬＣ５０ ６．４０ｍｇ／Ｌ,４８ｈＬＣ５０为３．３１ｍｇ／Ｌ,７２ｈＬＣ５０为１．３９ｍｇ／Ｌ,９６ｈＬＣ５０为０．６１ｍｇ／Ｌ;而对幼贝的２４ｈＬＣ５０为３．３２ｍｇ／Ｌ,４８ｈＬＣ５０为２．６４ｍｇ／Ｌ。７２ｈＬＣ５０为１．７６ｍｇ／Ｌ,９６ｈ     

Study of Triggering Action Between the Mani （Ms7.9） and the West Kunlun Mountains Pass （ Ms 8.1 ） Great Earthquakes and Their Dynamic Background

Based on Coulomb static stress variation, the stress trigging action of the Mani ( Ms7.9, Nov.1997) earthquake on the West Kuulun Mountains Pass (MsS.1, Nov. 2001 ) earthquake is researched. Results of different source mechanism resolutions show that a 10_3 MPa Coulomb stress due to the Mani earthquake was added to the fracture fault of the Kunlun earthquake, and this may shift the broken date to about 10 years earlier, and infer that the stress level in the crust is not low. Comparing the relationship between strong earthquake strength and frequency and earth rotation change, it is shown that the strength‘s decrease and the variation period‘ s shortening of earth rotation are important controlling factors on strong earthquake activity. This great event with Ms = 8.1 took place probably due to a gradual strengthening background of regional stress field within the Qinghai-Xizang block in the period of acceleration of change of day‘s length and stress triggering from the Mani earthquake.     

Investigating the uncertainty and transferability of parameters in SWAT model under climate change

ABSTRACT

There is an implicit assumption in most work that the parameters calibrated based on observations remain valid for future climatic conditions. However, this might not be true due to parameter instability. This paper investigates the uncertainty and transferability of parameters in a hydrological model under climate change. Parameter transferability is investigated with three parameter sets identified for different climatic conditions, which are: wet, intermediate and dry. A parameter set based on the baseline period (1961–1990) is also investigated for comparison. For uncertainty analysis, a k-simulation set approach is proposed instead of employing the traditional optimization method which uses a single best-fit parameter set. The results show that the parameter set from the wet sub-period performs the best when transferred into wet climate condition, while the parameter set from the baseline period is the most appropriate when transferred into dry climate condition. The largest uncertainty of simulated daily high flows for 2011–2040 is from the parameter set trained in the dry sub-period, while that of simulated daily medium and low flows lies in the parameter set from the intermediate calibration sub-period. For annual changes in the future period, the uncertainty with the parameter set from the intermediate sub-period is the largest, followed by the wet sub-period and dry sub-period. Compared with high and medium flows/runoffs, the uncertainty of low flows/runoffs is much smaller for both simulated daily flows and annual runoffs. For seasonal runoffs, the largest uncertainty is from the intermediate sub-period, while the smallest is from the dry sub-period. Apart from that, the largest uncertainty can be observed for spring runoffs and the lowest one for autumn runoffs. Compared with the traditional optimization method, the k-simulation set approach shows many more advantages, particularly being able to provide uncertainty information to decision support for watershed management under climate change.

EDITOR Z.W. Kundzewicz ASSOCIATE EDITOR not assigned     

Research on data consistency in spatial database system

In this paper, two cases of data consistency problems are discussed in Multi-user Geographical Information System. When a user updates some spatial data that have been accessed by other users in database, or executes an UNDO/REDO operation, data consistency will probably be destroyed. To solve the problem caused by the first case, a “Notification-Reread Method” is introduced. As for the second case, there are many problems to be studied.     

The equilibrium configuration of rapid rotating compact stars and some gravitational effects

In this paper, the equilibrium configurations of rapid rotating compact stars and some gravitational effects are studied within the general relativity by use of the Harrison-Wheeler equation of state and by the self-consistent field method. Numerical calculations show that the equilibrium configuration of a rotating star is a spheroid. For large spin velocities, say, ω > 3.0 × 10² sec⁻¹ the eccentricity and mass increase very rapidly as the angular velocity increases, for the critical angular velocity of the rotating star, the eccentricity is about 0.7, the increase in mass is about 10–35%. The difference of the gravitational redshifts at the surface of the star caused by rotation, and the difference of the light bending when the beam moves in the direction of rotation or in the opposite direction are obvious.     

区域资料四维同化试验

根据国家气象中心有限区分析预报系统的基本方案，设计一个以6小时为周期的间歇区域资料四维同化方案，对我国的两次暴雨过程进行两种不同粗细水平分辨率的资料四维同化和短期模式预报的试验。结果表明，由同化方案初值获得的短期预报明显好于LAFS方案的预报结果，高分辨率同化方案对预报的改进更明显。     

Ecosystem carbon storage under different scenarios of land use change in Qihe catchment,China

Regional land use change is the main cause of the ecosystem carbon storage changes by affecting emission and sink process.However,there has been little research on the influence of land use changes for ecosystem carbon storage at both temporal and spatial scales.For this study,the Qihe catchment in the southern part of the Taihang Mountains was taken as an example;its land use change from 2005 to 2015 was analyzed,the Markov-CLUE-S composite model was used to predict land use patterns in 2025 under natural growth,cultivated land protection and ecological conservation scenario,and the land use data were used to evaluate ecosystem carbon storage under different scenarios for the recent 10-year interval and the future based on the carbon storage module of the In VEST model.The results show the following:(1) the ecosystem carbon storage and average carbon density of Qihe catchment were 3.16×107 t and 141.9 t/ha,respectively,and decreased by 0.07×107 t and 2.89 t/ha in the decade evaluated.(2) During 2005–2015,carbon density mainly decreased in low altitude areas.For high altitude area,regions with increased carbon density comprised a similar percentage to regions with decreased carbon density.The significant increase of the construction areas in the middle and lower reaches of Qihe and the degradation of upper reach woodland were core reasons for carbon density decrease.(3) For 2015–2025,under natural growth scenario,carbon storage and carbon density also significantly decrease,mainly due to the decrease of carbon sequestration capacity in low altitude areas;under cultivated land protection scenario,the decrease of carbon storage and carbon density will slow down,mainly due to the increase of carbon sequestration capacity in low altitude areas;under ecological conservation scenario,carbon storage and carbon density significantly increase and reach 3.19×107 t and 143.26 t/ha,respectively,mainly in regions above 1100 m in altitude.Ecological conservation scenario can enhance carbon sequestration capacity but cannot effectively control the reduction of cultivated land areas.Thus,land use planning of research areas should consider both ecological conservation and cultivated land protection scenarios to increase carbon sink and ensure the cultivated land quality and food safety.     

The Antarctic oscillation-East Asian summer monsoon connections in NCEP-1 and ERA-40

Connections between the spring Antarctic Oscillation(AAO)and the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM)in two reanalysis datasets—NCEP-1(NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis 1)and ERA-40(ECMWF 40- year Reanalysis)—are investigated in this study.Both show significant correlation between AAO and EASM rainfall over the Yangtze River valley,especially after about 1985.Though ERA-40 shows weaker anomalous signals connecting AAO and EASM over southern high latitudes than NCEP-1,both datasets reveal similar connecting patterns between ...     

沉积学研究热点与进展:第32届国际沉积学会议综述*

第32届国际沉积学会议(32nd IAS Meeting of Sedimentology)于2016年5月23—25日在摩洛哥马拉喀什召开, 来自43个国家和地区的360余名学者参加了本次会议。综述研究表明, 会议研究热点为陆相沉积环境、浅水沉积与滨岸潮汐、深水沉积与事件沉积、碳酸盐与化学岩沉积、沉积过程与盆地分析、成岩作用与油气储集层等研究领域。会议主要研究进展表现为: 波浪再悬浮作用(wave resuspension)与异重流(hyperpycnal flows)是陆架边缘斜坡快速进积的主要因素;海啸发生周期为14~35, ka, 后积层理(backset-bedding)为海啸沉积识别标志;海底滑坡多由海底地震、天然气水合物泄露等触发, 其块状搬运沉积物(MTD)包括滑塌头部、滑动底面、滑塌主体以及滑塌后期浊流沉积;玄武岩等基岩的风化作用提供硅与富镁碱性水, 有利于菱沸石与白云石的形成;受构造作用影响, 隆起剥蚀区与沉积区可互为转化;物源性质、供给量及搬运或分散过程控制了沉积面貌(源汇系统);构造活动直接控制可容纳空间变化、地貌变化、源区剥蚀速率、沉积物供应速率等。最后, 本文对比了中外沉积学发展差异, 讨论了中国沉积学发展方向。