Simulation of normal distributed smooth fields by Karhunen-Loéve expansion in combination with kriging

Simulation of multigaussian stochastic fields can be made after a Karhunen-Loéve expansion of a given covariance function. This method is also called simulation by Empirical Orthogonal Functions. The simulations are made by drawing stochastic coefficients from a random generator. These numbers are multiplied with eigenfunctions and eigenvalues derived from the predefined covariance model. The number of eigenfunctions necessary to reproduce the stochastic process within a predefined variance error, turns out to be a cardinal question. Some ordinary analytical covariance functions are used to evaluate how quickly the series of eigenfunctions can be truncated. This analysis demonstrates extremely quick convergence to 99.5% of total variance for the 2nd order exponential (‘gaussian’) covariance function, while the opposite is true for the 1st order exponential covariance function. Due to these convergence characteristics, the Karhunen-Loéve method is most suitable for simulating smooth fields with ‘gaussian’ shaped covariance functions. Practical applications of Karhunen-Loéve simulations can be improved by spatial interpolation of the eigenfunctions. In this paper, we suggest interpolation by kriging and limits for reproduction of the predefined covariance functions are evaluated.     

陕西关中晚更新世黄土—古土壤序列特征及其记录的古环境变迁

陕西关中盆地的泾阳南塬和西安东郊席王晚更新世黄土剖面底部的Ｓ１古生境是由４层古土壤及与其相间的两层古土壤构成。这是目前发现的黄土高原晚更新世黄土，古土壤序列保存较好的剖面。两剖面的地层结构，磁化率曲线和地球化学组分反映出了１２个温湿，冷干气候变化阶段可以归纳为６个气候变化旋回。     

第二松花江干流区地下水信息管理数据库系统开发与研制

介绍了第二松花江干流区地下水信息管理数据库系统的开发环境及总体设计。在分析与地下水有关的数据信息的基础上,提出了较为合理的地下水信息管理数据库系统的结构。将该系统按其功能分为5个子系统基础子系统、数据信息管理子系统、区域信息管理子系统、动态绘图子系统、水资源评价子系统,并对5个子系统的功能进行了详细阐述。     

Influence of the zone of weakness on dip angle and shear heating of subducted slabs

We study the importance of the zones of weakness and the pattern of downgoing flow in steady-state models of subducting lithosphere, which interacts mechanically and thermally with the ambient mantle. The non-linear system of governing equations consists of (i) the momentum equation in stream function formulation and (ii) the steady-state heat transfer equation including conduction and advection of heat and dissipation. A finite element method has been applied to this system. We consider the viscosity to be a non-linear function of both the temperature and the stream function. In steady-state two-dimensional (2D) flow, the stream function isolines follow material trajectories. They are used to follow the top of the subducting slab, which because of its possible increase in water content, is assumed to have a lower viscosity. The zone of weakness has been thus obtained in the self-consistent fashion since the stream function as well as the temperature are the output from our modeling and no a priori assumptions about the shape of the bending lithosphere are taken into account. It was shown that several orders decrease of viscosity in the zone of weakness is required to obtain the dip angle of about 45°. If the decrease of viscosity is not sufficient enough, the subducted slab either sinks almost vertically or does not exhibit a plate-like behavior. We have also demonstrated that shear heating can unrealistically increase at the zone of weakness for fast subductions if decrease of viscosity is underestimated.     

临汾"8.26"区域性大暴雨过程分析

利用micaps业务平台常规资料、数值预报产品、卫星云图，对临汾市2003年8月26日区域性暴雨和大暴雨的环流背景、影响系统、热带低压登陆副热带高压东退以及物理量条件进行了诊断分析，探讨了副热带高压进退及台风登陆位置在这次大暴雨过程中起到了非常重要的作用。分析结果在暴雨预报业务及暴雨研究中有一定的指示意义。     

晋中市人工防雹减灾系统研究

利用雷达探测信息、地面气象观测资料和高空探测资料 ,通过计算机分析处理 ,对冰雹天气的发生、发展进行分析预报 ,并计算多单体任意雹云核心部位的覆盖面积 ,对不同地理位置的各炮点 ,经过极坐标和三维直角坐标系的变换 ,确定雹云相对于不同空间位置的各炮点的准确位置 ,并对各炮点不同弹型的弹道方程进行连续模拟和分析计算 ,最终确定在炮控范围内的雹云体内弹着点的准确位置 ,并通过计算云中含水量、零度层高度、云体体积 ,准确得出各个炮点的射击诸元 (射击仰角、方位、扇面和射击剂量等 ) ,通过通讯网络 ,通知各有关炮点实施作业     

水位下降卸荷诱发库岸边坡快速失稳机理分析

本文以某工程现场岩质边坡为例，采用与传统裂隙水压力分布不同的水压力分布方式和边坡裂隙中可能发生的水锤效应相耦合，分析研究了岩质边坡发生滑动的机理及稳定性。研究表明，本文所采用的水压力分布方式较为符合边坡中的水压力分布实际情况，可以给出一个较为合理的稳定系数。当考虑水锤效应时，岩质边坡的稳定系数大大降低，说明水锤效应加剧了边坡破坏失稳的过程。本文所采用的水压力分布方式与边坡裂隙中的水锤效应相耦合的计算方法，在边坡稳定性分析中具有参考意义。     

西风带研究动态

本文较为详细地介绍了影响我国气候的重要因子——西风带的一些国内外最新研究动态,这些研究动态和研究成果将对山西省的气候研究起到积极作用。     

陕西省信用联社市县级计算机网络防雷工程设计分析

“山西省卫星农网”依托其省、市、县三级专门服务于农业的信息交流平台,能够及时地让农户了解国家和地方的农业政策及办事程序等,成为农户和政府间的信息桥梁,为广大农村提供准确的各类气象信息,有效地指导了农业生产,大大地减小了天气灾害损失。山西卫星农网作为山西省规模较大的农业专业网站,其影响和作用正逐步地发挥出来。