基于模态逼近的EOF重构算法重建公元1250年以来北半球地表气温空间格局

随着气候场重建数据在揭示气候动力机制以及与数值模式模拟相结合等方面的应用, 它在气候变化研究领域中的实用性和重要性已得到广泛认可。因此, 关于空间格局重建方法的研究也就显得尤为重要。本文提出了一种新的气候场重建方法, 即模态逼近的经验正交函数分解方法。该方法利用代用资料与器测资料不同空间模态之间的协调性, 采用模态逐次逼近, 从而实现对过去无器测资料覆盖的气候场的重建。基于该方法, 本文利用549个树轮序列重建了北半球(22.5°N以北)公元1250年以来的地表气温空间场。为验证该方法的有效性, 设计了多组验证试验, 结果均表明该重建方法能够较好的再现器测数据的年代际尺度变率特征。最终重建结果表明, 与已有研究结果相比, 该方法重建出的北半球小冰期(1400~1700年)平均气候状态的空间格局特征与基于多组气候模式集合平均在该时段的模拟结果更为接近。另外, 为体现重建结果对外强迫的响应特征, 本文比较了在不同强度(强、中等、弱)典型火山年的空间格局差异, 发现高纬度地区对火山外强迫相比于中低纬地区更加敏感, 这与已有的基于数值模式模拟研究的结论基本一致。综合以上讨论, 证明了该方法在气候场重建方面的有效性和应用潜力。     

地震计保温效能分析

为内蒙古自治区大沁塔拉地震台地震计安装保温罩,利用台基噪声计算软件,计算保温前后地震观测数据PSD概率密度函数,分析保温罩对地震计的效能,结果发现,保温罩安装后,地震计温度变化平稳,地震观测数据质量提高。     

高性能计算技术在气象领域的应用

高性能计算通过应用超级计算机与并行处理技术解决复杂的计算问题,是信息技术发展比较迅猛的领域之一。气象应用始终是高性能计算的重要领域,高性能计算技术有效地解决了高分辨率、高精度气象数值预报模式发展限制,在气象预报预测业务中发挥着核心支撑作用。数十年以来,由于数值天气模式研究和业务运行对计算资源的强烈需求,国内外气象领域高性能计算机及应用迅速发展起来。气象领域对高性能计算能力及系统的可靠性需求日益提升。高性能计算技术将与气象预报应用日益融合,相互影响促进,不断创新发展。为满足气象预报预测业务和科研工作需求,中国气象部门将进一步提升高性能计算能力,并致力于优化集约高性能计算系统布局,高效管理计算资源,发挥最大效益。     

内蒙古荒漠草原沙生针茅(Stipa glareosa)、碱韭(Allium polyrhizum)和骆驼蓬(Peganum harmala)叶形态性状对土壤水氮耦合的响应

研究降水和氮沉降对荒漠草原植物叶形态性状的影响,对于预测未来全球变化下荒漠草原植物的生态适应具有重要意义.对增减雨(±50％)和氮添加(10 g·m-2.a-1)及其交互作用对乌拉特荒漠草原区优势植物叶形态性状的影响研究结果表明:(1)沙生针茅(Stipa glareosa)、碱韭(Allium polyrhizum)...     

Human settlement evaluation in mountain areas based on remote sensing, GIS and ecological niche modeling

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau is the world’s highest and largest plateau. Due to increasing demands for environment exploration and tourism, a large transitional area is required for altitude adaptation. Hehuang valley, which locates in the transition zone between the Loess Plateau and the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, has convenient transportation and relatively low elevation. Our question is whether the geographic conditions here are appropriate for adapted stay before going into the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Therefore, in this study, we examined the potential use of ecological niche modeling (ENM) for mapping current and potential distribution patterns of human settlements. We chose the Maximum Entropy Method (Maxent), an ENM which integrates climate, remote sensing and geographical data, to model distributions and assess land suitability for transition areas. After preprocessing and selection, the correlation between variables and spatial autocorrelation input data were removed and 106 occurrence points and 9 environmental layers were determined as the model inputs. The threshold-independent model performance was reasonable according to 10 times model running, with the area under the curve (AUC) values being 0.917 ± 0.01, and 0.923 ± 0.002 for test data. Cohen’s kappa coefficient of model performance was 0.848. Results showed that 82.22% of the study extent was not suitable for human settlement. Of the remaining areas, highly suitable areas accounted for 1.19%, moderately for 5.3% and marginally for 11.28%. These suitable areas totaled 418.79 km², and 86.25% of the sample data was identified in the different gradient of suitable area. The decisive environmental factors were slope and two climate variables: mean diurnal temperature range and temperature seasonality. Our model showed a good performance in mapping and assessing human settlements. This study provides the first predicted potential habitat distribution map for human settlement in Ledu County, which could also help in land use management.     

面向应用的高校GIS教学探索与实践

高校GIS教学是近年来国内探讨的热点教学问题之一,涉及到GIS专业课程体系设置、教学内容设置、实践环节设置、教学体制改革等多个方面;但这些探讨主要是针对GIS专业学士学位与硕士学位教学而引发的,较少关注非GIS专业学位的GIS教学问题.本文通过分析清华大学GIS教学发展与现状,结合作者在GIS教学中的探索与实践,从教学平台、教学内容、授课形式、考试方式、教学效果等几个方面,讨论如何开展针对非GIS专业、面向应用的高校GIS教学模式,与全国高校GIS教育工作者共勉.     

一例苏皖中尺度对流复合体模拟结果的诊断分析

利用2010年7月22日苏皖中尺度对流复合体（MCC）数值模拟输出结果,考察了模式对MCC的模拟能力,并对模拟结果做了动力和热力诊断分析,以揭示盛夏江淮下游MCC的特征。结果表明：1） 三重嵌套网格距为3.3 km的区域WRF模式的模拟效果较佳,结果与实况一致,并可利用模拟降水的范围及强度来确定MCC的位置及演变。2） 此MCC维持约10 h,其南北不对称,并随西太平洋副热带高压西伸北抬而随之北抬。MCC核心区对流层低层有水汽丰沛的入流,并有强辐合区,呈对流不稳定层结;中层有深厚的强上升运动,并因凝结潜热大量释放呈中性层结;高层则有出流;MCC核心区对流降水非常强。3） 在垂直剖面上,该核心区散度存在中低层辐合、高层辐散的柱状结构,此配置有利于强对流维持和加强,中低层以上有深厚的强上升气流柱,这些都是MCC核心区存在强对流的标志。该MCC的螺旋结构表明其中的强对流高度有组织。     

Gas accumulation from oil cracking in the eastern Tarim Basin: A case study of the YN2 gas field

Oil and gas exploration in eastern Tarim Basin, NW China has been successful in recent years, with several commercial gas accumulations being discovered in a thermally mature to over-mature region. The Yingnan2 (YN2) gas field, situated in the Yingnan structure of the Yingjisu Depression, produces gases that are relatively enriched in nitrogen and C₂₊ alkanes. The δ¹³C₁ (−38.6‰ to −36.2‰) and δ¹³C₂ values (−30.9‰ to −34.7‰) of these gases are characteristic of marine sourced gases with relatively high maturity levels. The distributions of biomarkers in the associated condensates suggest close affinities with the Cambrian–Lower Ordovician source rocks which, in the Yingjisu Sag, are currently over-mature (with 3–4%Ro). Burial and thermal maturity modeling results indicate that paleo-temperatures of the Cambrian–Lower Ordovician source rocks had increased from 90 to 210 °C during the late Caledonian orogeny (458–438 Ma), due to rapid subsidence and sediment loading. By the end of Ordovician, hydrocarbon potential in these source rocks had been largely exhausted. The homogenization temperatures of hydrocarbon fluid inclusions identified from the Jurassic reservoirs of the YN2 gas field suggest a hydrocarbon emplacement time as recent as about 10 Ma, when the maturity levels of Middle–Lower Jurassic source rocks in the study area were too low (<0.7%Ro) to form a large quantity of oil and gas. The presence of abundant diamondoid hydrocarbons in the associated condensates and the relatively heavy isotopic values of the oils indicate that the gases were derived from thermal cracking of early-formed oils. Estimation from the stable carbon isotope ratios of gaseous alkanes suggests that the gases may have been formed at temperatures well above 190 °C. Thus, the oil and gas accumulation history in the study area can be reconstructed as follows: (1) during the late Caledonian orogeny, the Cambrian–Lower Ordovician marine source rocks had gone through the peak oil, wet gas and dry gas generation stages, with the generated oil and gas migrating upwards along faults and fractures to form early oil and gas accumulations in the Middle–Upper Ordovician and Silurian sandstone reservoirs; (2) since the late Yanshanian orogeny, the early oil accumulations have been buried deeper and oil has undergone thermal cracking to form gas; (3) during the late Himalayan orogeny, the seals for the deep reservoirs were breached; and the gas and condensates migrated upward and eventually accumulating in the relatively shallow Jurassic reservoirs.     

震旦纪陡山沱期凝源类Tianzhushania属研究进展

大型具刺疑源类TianZhushania的属名源于湖北长阳天柱山地区,模式标本最早发现于震旦系统陡山沱组的燧石结核中（岩石薄片）。本文综合了20多年来国内外有关该属的报道和研究,并结合最近笔者对贵州瓮安地区震旦系陡山沱组硅化保存的Tianzhushania tuberifera Yin,Gan and Xing2001与磷酸盐化保存的球状实体化石Megasphaera ornata Xiao and Knoll2000之间关系的最新研究结果,对大型具刺疑源类Tianzhushania属的形态特征,巳定种的地理分布,地层意义和可能的亲缘关系等问题进行探讨。