Studies of site exploration, data assimilation, or geostatistical inversion measure parameter uncertainty in order to assess
the optimality of a suggested scheme. This study reviews and discusses measures for parameter uncertainty in spatial estimation.
Most measures originate from alphabetic criteria in optimal design and were transferred to geostatistical estimation. Further
rather intuitive measures can be found in the geostatistical literature, and some new measures will be suggested in this study.
It is shown how these measures relate to the optimality alphabet and to relative entropy. Issues of physical and statistical
significance are addressed whenever they arise. Computational feasibility and efficient ways to evaluate the above measures
are discussed in this paper, and an illustrative synthetic case study is provided. A major conclusion is that the mean estimation
variance and the averaged conditional integral scale are a powerful duo for characterizing conditional parameter uncertainty,
with direct correspondence to the well-understood optimality alphabet. This study is based on cokriging generalized to uncertain
mean and trends because it is the most general representative of linear spatial estimation within the Bayesian framework.
Generalization to kriging and quasi-linear schemes is straightforward. Options for application to non-Gaussian and non-linear
problems are discussed. 相似文献
The Baoshan block of the Tethyan Yunnan, southwestern China, is considered as northern part of the Sibumasu microcontinent.
Basement of this block that comprises presumably greenschist-facies Neoproterozoic metamorphic rocks is covered by Paleozoic
to Mesozoic low-grade metamorphic sedimentary rocks. This study presents zircon ages and Nd–Hf isotopic composition of granites
generated from crustal reworking to reveal geochemical feature of the underlying basement. Dating results obtained using the
single zircon U–Pb isotopic dilution method show that granites exposed in the study area formed in early Paleozoic (about
470 Ma; Pingdajie granite) and in late Yanshanian (about 78–61 Ma, Late Cretaceous to Early Tertiary; Huataolin granite).
The early Paleozoic granite contains Archean to Mesoproterozoic inherited zircons and the late Yanshanian granite contains
late Proterozoic to early Paleozoic zircon cores. Both granites have similar geochemical and Nd–Hf isotopic charateristics,
indicating similar magma sources. They have whole-rock TDM(Nd) values of around 2,000 Ma and zircon TDM(Hf) values clustering around 1,900–1,800 and 1,600–1,400 Ma. The Nd–Hf isotopic data imply Paleoproterozoic to Mesoproterozoic
crustal material as the major components of the underlying basement, being consistent with a derivation from Archean and Paleoproterozoic
terrains of India or NW Australia. Both granites formed in two different tectonic events similarly originated from intra-crustal
reworking. Temporally, the late Yanshanian magmatism is probably related to the closure of the Neotethys ocean. The early
Paleozoic magmatism traced in the Baoshan block indicates a comparable history of the basements during early Paleozoic between
the SE Asia and the western Tethyan belt, such as the basement outcrops in the Alpine belt and probably in the European Variscides
that are considered as continental blocks drifting from Gondwana prior to or simultaneously with those of the SE Asia. 相似文献
We present a high-resolution, multiproxy reconstruction of the depositional history of Lake Arreo, northern Spain, for the
last 60 years. We conducted sedimentological, geochemical and diatom analyses in short cores and made a detailed comparison
with regional instrumental climate data (1952–2007), limnological monitoring of the lake (1992–2008) and recent land use changes
that affect the lake catchment. Chronology is based on “floating” discontinuous varve counts and 137Cs and 14C dates. Four periods were identified in the Lake Arreo recent history: (1) prior to 1963, varved facies intercalated with
fine turbidite deposits, and diatom assemblages dominated by Cyclotella taxa indicate predominantly meromictic conditions, (2) from 1964 to 1978, permanent anoxia persisted in bottom waters, as shown
by similar facies and diatom assemblages as before, though detrital layers were coarser, (3) from 1979 to 1994, sediment delivery
to the lake increased and laminated, clastic facies were deposited, and (4) from 1995 to 2008, dominance of massive facies
and an increase in Fragilaria tenera and Achnanthes minutissima reflect relatively lower lake levels, less frequent bottom anoxia with more frequent water column mixing, similar to modern
conditions. The period 1952–1979 was a time of meromixis and varved facies deposition, and was characterized by higher rainfall
and less intense agricultural pressure in the watershed. There were two short humid periods (1992–1993 and 1996–1998) when
monitoring data show more anoxic weeks per year and relatively higher lake levels. Increased cultivation of small landholdings
in 1963, and particularly after 1979, caused a large increase in sediment delivery to the lake. The inferred lake evolution
is in agreement with monitoring data that suggest a transition from dominantly meromictic conditions prior to 1993–1994 to
a predominantly monomictic pattern of circulation since then, particularly after 2000. The synergistic effects of intensive
water extraction for irrigation and lower rainfall since 1979, and particularly since 1994, brought the long period of meromictic
conditions in Lake Arreo to an end. Water balance and sediment delivery to the lake are dominant factors that control the
limnological and mixing conditions in Lake Arreo and they must be considered in management and restoration plans. 相似文献
The optical anomalies, and surface and lamellar textures of a birefringent grossular garnet crystal from the Eden Mills, Belvidere Mountain, Vermont, USA, have been investigated by optical polarizing microscope, electron-probe micro-analyzer, back-scattered electron imaging, infrared spectroscopy, and single-crystal X-ray diffractometer from the standpoint of crystal growth. This grossular shows one-to-one correlation between natural surface features and its internal textures under crossed polarizers. Electron-probe micro-analyzer (EPMA) gave average chemical composition in (110) thin section, of bright lamella {Ca2.97Mn0.06}∑3.03 [Al1.59Fe0.37Ti0.01]∑1.97(Si3.00)∑3.00 (Gros79.5And18.9Sps1.6) and of dark host {Ca2.99Mn 0.06}∑3.05 [Al1.73Fe0.26 Ti0.01]∑2.00(Si2.97OH0.03)∑3.00 (Gros85.4And13Sps1.6). The correspondence of surface features and the internal textures with spiral or pyramidal growth mechanism suggest that the internal textures of the Eden Mills grossular are formed during growth process. The optical vibrational orientations and the growth steps inclination along [001] and \( \left[\overset{-}{1}10\right] \) directions predict monoclinic symmetry. With X-ray diffractometer (XRD) method, pseudocubic parameters are a = 11.839(2) Å, b = 11.855(1) Å, and c = 11.868(2) Å with interaxial angles α = 90.00(1)°, β = 89.99(1)°, and γ = 90.02(2)° that show orthorhombic symmetry of this crystal. Lamellar texture of Al3+-rich host with Fe3+-rich lamella infers cation ordering at octahedral site of the garnet structure. IR data favors the non-cubic orientation of [(OH) 4] at tetrahedral position in this grossular structure. 相似文献
The focus of this paper is the design and station keeping of repeat-groundtrack orbits for Sun-synchronous satellites. A method to compute the semimajor axis of the orbit is presented together with a station-keeping strategy to compensate for the perturbation due to the atmospheric drag. The results show that the nodal period converges gradually with the increase of the order used in the zonal perturbations up to \(J_{15}\). A differential correction algorithm is performed to obtain the nominal semimajor axis of the reference orbit from the inputs of the desired nodal period, eccentricity, inclination and argument of perigee. To keep the satellite in the proximity of the repeat-groundtrack condition, a practical orbit maintenance strategy is proposed in the presence of errors in the orbital measurements and control, as well as in the estimation of the semimajor axis decay rate. The performance of the maintenance strategy is assessed via the Monte Carlo simulation and the validation in a high fidelity model. Numerical simulations substantiate the validity of proposed mean-elements-based orbit maintenance strategy for repeat-groundtrack orbits. 相似文献
Coal-seam gas production requires groundwater extraction from coal-bearing formations to reduce the hydraulic pressure and improve gas recovery. In layered sedimentary basins, the coalbeds are often separated from freshwater aquifers by low-permeability aquitards. However, hydraulic connection between the coalbed and aquifers is possible due to the heterogeneity in the aquitard such as the existence of conductive faults or sandy channel deposits. For coal-seam gas extraction operations, it is desirable to identify areas in a basin where the probability of hydraulic connection between the coalbed and aquifers is low in order to avoid unnecessary loss of groundwater from aquifers and gas production problems. A connection indicator, the groundwater age indictor (GAI), is proposed, to quantify the degree of hydraulic connection. The spatial distribution of GAI can indicate the optimum positions for gas/water extraction in the coalbed. Depressurizing the coalbed at locations with a low GAI would result in little or no interaction with the aquifer when compared to the other positions. The concept of GAI is validated on synthetic cases and is then applied to the north Galilee Basin, Australia, to assess the degree of hydraulic connection between the Aramac Coal Measure and the water-bearing formations in the Great Artesian Basin, which are separated by an aquitard, the Betts Creek Beds. It is found that the GAI is higher in the western part of the basin, indicating a higher risk to depressurization of the coalbed in this region due to the strong hydraulic connection between the coalbed and the overlying aquifer. 相似文献