Simulation of the extreme waves generated by typhoon Bolaven (1215) in the East China Sea and Yellow Sea

Record-breaking high waves occurred during the passage of the typhoon Bolaven (1215) (TYB) in the East China Sea (ECS) and Yellow Sea (YS) although its intensity did not reach the level of a super typhoon. Winds and directional wave measurements were made using a range of in-situ instruments mounted on an ocean tower and buoys. In order to understand how such high waves with long duration occurred, analyses have been made through measurement and numerical simulations. TYB winds were generated using the TC96 typhoon wind model with the best track data calibrated with the measurements. And then the wind fields were blended with the reanalyzed synoptic-scale wind fields for a wave model. Wave fields were simulated using WAM4.5 with adjustment of C_d for gust of winds and bottom friction for the study area. Thus the accuracy of simulations is considerably enhanced, and the computed results are also in better agreement with measured data than before. It is found that the extremely high waves evolved as a result of the superposition of distant large swells and high wind seas generated by strong winds from the front/right quadrant of the typhoon track. As the typhoon moved at a speed a little slower than the dominant wave group velocity in a consistent direction for two days, the wave growth was significantly enhanced by strong wind input in an extended fetch and non-linear interaction.     

利用PS-InSAR研究合肥地区活动构造变形

合肥地区位于我国大陆中部,其内展布有多条活动断裂,包括著名的郯庐断裂带.由于该地区大部分断裂是隐伏的,其分布位置、活动特性及构造仍存在争议.本文利用PS-InSAR技术处理了合肥地区2017年10月至2019年8月共52景Sentinel-1A卫星升轨SAR数据,获取了该区域的平均形变速率图.我们发现池河—太湖断裂、桥头集—东关断裂和肥中断裂构成的三角形块体内存在与断层活动相关的地壳InSAR形变.利用贝叶斯方法,本文分别对三条断裂附近区域的形变进行了反演.结果 显示:池河—太湖断裂的走向为北北东,倾向南东,运动特性以右旋走滑为主兼具少许拉张分量;桥头集—东关断裂的走向为北西,倾向北东,活动特性以右旋走滑为主兼具部分逆冲分量;肥中断裂为一条走向近东西、倾向向南的左旋走滑兼具逆冲运动的断裂.综合三条断裂的运动特征,我们推断该三角形块体受到郯庐断裂的活动和北西方向挤压作用的综合影响,整体有轻微旋转趋势.这可能是该地区小震聚集的原因,应引起足够的重视.     

云南烤烟低温冷害风险区划

用云南93个烤烟种植县气象站1961—2010年4—9月逐日平均气温、逐日最低气温,逐月平均气温,平均最低气温资料结合各类型烤烟低温冷害指标,基于概率和强度结合权重指数,计算了各烤烟种植县的春季、夏季、秋初和全生育期综合低温冷害风险指数。使用低温冷害风险指数与海拔、纬度因子建立的空间推算回归模型,在ArcGIS 9.3平台下实现了低温冷害风险指数的空间精细化推算、订正及区划,进一步将其分类为5个风险等级,且对区划结果进行了分析。区划结果可为烤烟生产相关单位提供低温冷害防御的决策依据。     

基于SWOT分析的南海区海洋牧场发展路径

海洋牧场作为修复海洋生态系统和实现渔业资源增殖的现代渔业模式,是促进海洋经济绿色发展、推动传统渔业转型升级和构筑海洋命运共同体中的重要一环。然而,在实际建设中存在多种制约现代海洋牧场高质量发展的因素。合理规划海洋牧场,充分发挥其生态、社会、经济效益,对海洋牧场持续发展至关重要。文章对南海区海洋牧场的建设、技术发展及政策管理现状进行了总结,并利用SWOT分析法对南海区海洋牧场的发展情况进行了综合分析,阐释了南海区海洋牧场发展存在的优势、劣势、机遇和挑战,并结合国内外海洋牧场建设的经验及发展趋势,提出了南海区海洋牧场产业发展的路径,以期为我国海洋牧场高质量发展提供借鉴。     

乌兰布和沙漠东南缘白沙蒿(Artemisia sphaerocphala)灌丛沙堆形态特征与固沙能力

白沙蒿(Artemisia sphaerocphala)灌丛沙堆是乌兰布和沙漠最为广泛分布的典型荒漠灌丛沙堆之一。本研究对白沙蒿灌丛的灌丛形态参数、沙堆形态参数进行了野外测定,探讨沙堆形态发育及固沙能力与白沙蒿灌丛形态的关系。结果表明:白沙蒿灌丛高度随着灌丛半径的增加而呈对数曲线增加,在灌丛较小时灌丛高度增长较快,随后渐趋于稳定,其水平方向发育速度大于垂直方向;白沙蒿灌丛沙堆半径及高度随灌丛半径和高度增加而增加,二者呈显著线性关系,沙堆水平方向发育受到灌丛冠幅的影响,沙堆垂直方向的发育水平取决于灌丛高度;随白沙蒿地上部分鲜重的增加,灌丛沙堆底面积、高度、沙堆体积和固沙效率均呈极显著线性增加(p0.01);白沙蒿灌丛越大其固积沙堆也越大,固沙率越高,不同大小灌丛白沙蒿间的固沙效率差异显著(p0.05);白沙蒿灌丛背风侧的积沙宽度(y)与积沙距离(x)显著相关(R2=0.9917),其线性回归方程为y=-19.654x+122.41,在距离灌丛背风面6~7倍高度的地方,积沙接近消失。     

渤黄海海域悬浮体季节性分布及主要运移路径

依据国家自然科学基金委公共航次2010年和2012年4个航次在渤黄海海域获得的现场悬浮体浓度数据及CTD海洋水文观测数据,结合MODIS L1B数据第4波段反射率值,建立了悬浮体浓度(SSC)与反射率强度的反演模型,反演了渤黄海海域表层悬浮体的月均分布。综合现场实测数据和遥感反演结果,研究渤黄海海域悬浮体的季节性变化特征。利用HYCOM数值模拟得到的各个层位流速数据,分析渤黄海海域主要断面的悬浮体扩散通量。结果表明,渤黄海海域表层悬浮体浓度高值区主要分布在黄河口莱州湾及渤海湾附近沿岸海域、山东半岛沿岸、苏北浅滩至长江口一带、罗洲群岛附近海域以及沿岸其他小河流入海口。渤黄海海域水体结构具有季节性变化特征。夏季,水体上下温差大、层化较强、水动力条件较弱,海域悬浮体浓度相对较低。而在冬季,海域气温较低,水体上下温差小,同时,渤黄海海域强劲的东北风盛行,水体混合强烈,海域悬浮体浓度较高。同时,黄海暖流和山东半岛沿岸流等流系加强,携带悬浮体的能力和效率均大大提高,冬季成为海域悬浮体输运的主要季节。在冬季,黄河三角洲沿岸、山东半岛沿岸以及苏北海岸等区域在强动力作用下的再悬浮成为海域的悬浮体主要来源。黄河三角洲沿岸再悬浮的沉积物通过渤海海峡的南端输入北黄海,在沿岸流的作用下悬浮体输送通量沿程增大,经过成山头海域后转向南输送,输送通量沿程减少,沉积物在黄海中部泥质沉积区汇聚。沉积动力的分析结果显示,冬春季节在山东半岛区域形成的混合锋面对悬浮体的输运路径有重要的影响。     

Study of the flood control scheduling scheme for the Three Gorges Reservoir in a catastrophic flood

The Three Gorges Project is the world's largest water conservancy project. According to the design standards for the 1,000‐year flood, flood diversion areas in the Jingjiang reach of the Yangtze River must be utilized to ensure the safety of the Jingjiang area and the city of Wuhan. However, once these areas are used, the economic and life loss in these areas may be very great. Therefore, it is vital to reduce this loss by developing a scheme that reduces the use of the flood diversion areas through flood regulation by the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR), under the premise of ensuring the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. For a 1,000‐year flood on the basis of a highly destructive flood in 1954, this paper evaluates scheduling schemes in which flood diversion areas are or are not used. The schemes are simulated based on 2.5‐m resolution reservoir topography and an optimized model of dynamic capacity flood regulation. The simulation results show the following. (a) In accord with the normal flood‐control regulation discharge, the maximum water level above the dam should be not more than 175 m, which ensures the safety of the dam and reservoir area. However, it is necessary to utilize the flood diversion areas within the Jingjiang area, and flood discharge can reach 2.81 billion m³. (b) In the case of relying on the TGR to impound floodwaters independently rather than using the flood diversion areas, the maximum water level above the dam reaches 177.35 m, which is less than the flood check level of 180.4 m to ensure the safety of the Three Gorges Dam. The average increase of the TGR water level in the Chongqing area is not more than 0.11 m, which indicates no significant effect on the upstream reservoir area. Comparing the various scheduling schemes, when the flood diversion areas are not used, it is believed that the TGR can execute safe flood control for a 1,000‐year flood, thereby greatly reducing flood damage.     

重叠回线装置下有限导电薄板瞬变电磁响应的一种简化模型

在吸收前人提出的导电薄板等效电流回路模型概念的基础上,应用普通电磁学理论对其瞬变电磁法的过程作了完整的论述,并得到清晰明确的数学表达式,同时指出一次场关断时间与观测异常幅值的关系.在重叠回线装置下,模型解可进一步被简化.通过实例的具体数值计算过程,证明该简化模型为重叠回线装置下有限薄板类地质体瞬变电磁的定量分析提供了一个简捷有效的途径.     

基于高光谱遥感反射比的太湖水体叶绿素a含量估算模型

旨在寻找叶绿素a的高光谱遥感敏感波段并建立其定量估算模型。通过对太湖水体的连续监测，获得了从2004年6月到8月3个月的太湖水体高光谱数据和水质化学分析数据。利用实测的高光谱数据分析计算太湖水体的离水辐亮度和遥感反射比；然后，通过相关分析寻找反演叶绿素a浓度的高光谱敏感波段，进而建立反演太湖水体叶绿素a浓度的高光谱遥感定量估算模型，并用相关数据对模型进行精度分析。研究发现，水体的遥感反射比光谱在719nm和725nm存在两个峰，其中719nm处的峰更明显且稳定。通过模型的对比分析，发现用这两个峰值处的遥感反射比参与建模可以提高叶绿素a的估算精度；并且认为由反射比比值变量R719／R670所建立的线性模型对叶绿素a浓度的估算精度最理想。