北半球平流层月平均环流的若干基本事实

本文用北半球平流层20年月平均的高度资料分析了北半球平流层30、50和100hPa各层平均高度的时、空分布、年变程、月变程以及平均环流的演变特征。分析指出北半球平流层大气环流由冬到夏表现为:由极地涡旋完全转变为极地高压,高层(30 hPa在4月中完成)比低层(100hPa在6月完成)早一个月以上;由夏到冬反之,由极地高压完全转变成极地涡旋,高层(50hPa在8月中完成)比低层(100hPa在10月完成)也提前一个月以上。把这些基本事实与对流层的环流年变相结合,将有助于长期天气预报。     

利用双线偏振雷达分析人工防雹作业效果

以北京市平谷区2011年6月11日防雹作业为例,利用双线偏振雷达资料,选取与作业区条件十分接近的云块为对比区,根据回波移动方向和速度,跟踪分析在不同高度上防雹作业前后云体宏观结构特征和粒子相态等微物理变化过程。作业后云体所呈现特征为:1作业区的云顶高度、强回波中心高度迅速下降,对比区变化不明显;2作业区水平反射率Zh减小,差分反射率Zdr、零相关系数ρhv增大,单位差分传播相移Kdp小范围内波动,对比区Zh、Zdr、Kdp变化不明显;ρhv增大;3作业区对流减弱,高层较大冰雹粒子、大雨滴下沉明显,最终以霰粒子为主;而对比区域则对流仍然旺盛,冰雹粒子有增多趋势。以上特征表明防雹作业可有效抑制冰雹胚胎成长为冰雹的过程,通过偏振雷达观测参量可对防雹作业效果进行较好的验证。     

星际分子正—NH3和He的超精细跃迁碰撞截面和速率系数的理论计算

本文采用Ｒ矩阵传播方法，通过求解ＣＳ近似下的耦合方程，计算了星际分子云条件下正－ＮＨ３分子和Ｈｅ碰撞的超精细跃迁碰撞截面和速率系数，为研究天体的信息提供需用的基础数据。     

Validity of the Fossil Fuel Production Outlooks in the IPCC Emission Scenarios

Anthropogenic global warming caused by CO₂ emissions is strongly and fundamentally linked to future energy production. The Special Report on Emission Scenarios (SRES) from 2000 contains 40 scenarios for future fossil fuel production and is used by the IPCC to assess future climate change. Previous scenarios were withdrawn after exaggerating one or several trends. This study investigates underlying assumptions on resource availability and future production expectations to determine whether exaggerations can be found in the present set of emission scenarios as well. It is found that the SRES unnecessarily takes an overoptimistic stance and that future production expectations are leaning toward spectacular increases from present output levels. In summary, we can only encourage the IPCC to involve more resource experts and natural science in future emission scenarios. The current set, SRES, is biased toward exaggerated resource availability and unrealistic expectations on future production outputs from fossil fuels.     

An analytical method to compute comet cloud formation efficiency and its application

A quick analytical method is presented for calculating comet cloud formation efficiency in the case of a single planet or multiple-planet system for planets that are not too eccentric (e _p ≲ 0.3). A method to calculate the fraction of comets that stay under the control of each planet is also presented, as well as a way to determine the efficiency in different star cluster environments. The location of the planet(s) in mass-semi-major axis space to form a comet cloud is constrained based on the conditions developed by Tremaine (1993) together with estimates of the likelyhood of passing comets between planets; and, in the case of a single, eccentric planet, the additional constraint that it is, by itself, able to accelerate material to relative encounter velocity U ~ 0.4 within the age of the stellar system without sweeping up the majority of the material beforehand. For a single planet, it turns out the efficiency is mainly a function of planetary mass and semi-major axis of the planet and density of the stellar environment. The theory has been applied to some extrasolar systems and compared to numerical simulations for both these systems and the Solar System, as well as a diffusion scheme based on the energy kick distribution of Everhart (Astron J 73:1039–1052, 1968). The analytic results are in good agreement with the simulations.     

Comparison of daily and sub-daily SWAT models for daily streamflow simulation in the Upper Huai River Basin of China

Despite the significant role of precipitation in the hydrological cycle, few studies have been conducted to evaluate the impacts of the temporal resolution of rainfall inputs on the performance of SWAT (soil and water assessment tool) models in large-sized river basins. In this study, both daily and hourly rainfall observations at 28 rainfall stations were used as inputs to SWAT for daily streamflow simulation in the Upper Huai River Basin. Study results have demonstrated that the SWAT model with hourly rainfall inputs performed better than the model with daily rainfall inputs in daily streamflow simulation, primarily due to its better capability of simulating peak flows during the flood season. The sub-daily SWAT model estimated that 58 % of streamflow was contributed by baseflow compared to 34 % estimated by the daily model. Using the future daily and 3-h precipitation projections under the RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) 4.5 scenario as inputs, the sub-daily SWAT model predicted a larger amount of monthly maximum daily flow during the wet years than the daily model. The differences between the daily and sub-daily SWAT model simulation results indicated that temporal rainfall resolution could have much impact on the simulation of hydrological process, streamflow, and consequently pollutant transport by SWAT models. There is an imperative need for more studies to examine the effects of temporal rainfall resolution on the simulation of hydrological and water pollutant transport processes by SWAT in river basins of different environmental conditions.     

水下运动物体及海底地形的SAR探测的初步研究(一)水下运动物体的SAR仿真影像分析

当物体在水中运动时,它所引起的流场变化会调制海水表面的小尺度波动,从而可以被合成孔径雷达（ＳＡＲ）所探测。本文建立了一个三维半隐式格式,对水下运动物体的绕流问题进行了数值计算。在袁业立有关海波高谱形式及ＳＡＲ影像原理的理论分析基础上,本文进一步计算了水下运动物体ＳＡＲ影像的Ｇ值分布图,并讨论了物体深度、海水水深、海表面主波方向对水下运动物体ＳＡＲ影像的影响。     

潜水员水下用电安全技术规范的编制与认识

本文介绍了国家标准《潜水员水下用电安全技术规范》的研究、编制过程，以及编者对该标准性质、适用范围、总体结构、电气安全数值取舍等的基本认识，并就该标准制定实施后的经济、社会效益进行了初步预测。     

海筒螅中3种化学成分的分离鉴定

海筒螅（Tubuaria marina)的94%乙醇提取物，在水中混悬后，用石油醚萃取，石油醚相中的提取物经反复硅胶柱色谱分离和SephadexLH-20凝胶柱色谱分离，得到三个纯净的化合物。经^1HNMR,^13CNMR和DEPT谱鉴定，分别确定为二十一碳一烯，胆甾-5-烯-3β-醇和1-壬基-甘油醚。