北太行山—燕山区中生代金属矿床成矿系统

太行山北段—燕山地区位于中朝板块中部及其北部边缘,以铁、铜、钼、金、银、铅、锌、铀等金属矿产为特色。中生代本区进入陆内造山作用阶段,花岗质岩浆作用及与之有关的成矿作用是克拉通活化的结果。在已研究了与花岗质岩浆作用有关的成矿系列划分、特征和控制因素等基础上,本文重点探讨了成矿系统的划分、时空结构及其控制因素,指出其作为中生代陆内造山作用的结果,明显受到两期不同成矿动力机制的控制,主要由古欧亚构造域成矿系统和西太平洋构造域成矿系统组成。根据构造应力环境,可进一步划分出５个成矿亚系统和Ⅰ～Ⅳ４个成矿系列。成矿系列或矿床具有多期性,不同时代矿床空间分布成带或集中区,三叠纪矿床主要分布于燕辽沉降带北侧,早侏罗世时以辽西为主,中侏罗世时向西扩展到冀东,晚侏罗世时则以太行—燕山西段为主,早白垩世矿床广泛分布于全区,但Ⅲ成矿系列集中等间距分布在几条ＮＷ向带中。矿床这种时空分布规律受控于中生代花岗岩类岩浆活动,而中生代造山作用决定了岩浆岩的时空分布,岩浆起源演化与成矿有关。     

中亚巴尔喀什成矿带晚古生代岩浆活动与斑岩铜矿成矿时代

巴尔喀什成矿带是中亚成矿域重要的晚古生代斑岩铜钼成矿带。通过该成矿带科翁腊德、博尔雷和阿克斗卡地区与斑岩铜成矿作用密切相关的花岗斑岩类岩体锆石SHRIMP U-Pb定年,主量、稀土和微量元素地球化学,Sr、Nd同位素示踪分析,进一步厘定了斑岩铜成矿作用的时代,并推测了板块构造环境。斑岩铜成矿时代分为两期：早期约为327 Ma,形成科翁腊德和阿克斗卡超大型斑岩铜矿床;晚期约为316 Ma,形成博尔雷大型斑岩铜矿床。与成矿有关的斑岩类主要为高钾钙碱性系列花岗岩,可能为火山岛弧环境,部分具有埃达克岩特征和经典岛弧花岗岩类特征。斑岩类ε_Sr(t)和ε_Nd(t)的变化范围分别为-6.35~34.03和-0.46~5.53。其中,科翁腊德-博尔雷地区斑岩类来源于亏损地幔与大陆地壳表层物质（老地壳物质）的显著混染作用,而阿克斗卡地区斑岩类直接来自于亏损地幔。将巴尔喀什成矿带与我国西准噶尔成矿带进行了对比,认为可能属于同一个晚古生代斑岩铜钼成矿带。     

Investigations and assessment of the landslide hazards of Fengdu county in the reservoir region of the Three Gorges project on the Yangtze River

The spatial database of landslides in Fengdu County of the reservoir region of the Three Gorges project (TGP) on the Yangtze River was compiled from a variety of different sources including field investigations on landslides, existing catalogues and archives on landslides, reports of meteorological events and human engineering activities that triggered slope failures. The major factors that are found to have affected the slope stabilities are outlined, and an assessment and zonation of landslide hazards of the region is made using an integrated information model, which is divided into destructive, disastrous, likely disastrous and essentially non-disastrous areas from the assessment of landslide hazards. The destructive and disastrous areas are respectively 1.9 and 13.8% of the total region, mostly being nearby townships, highways along the south bank of the Yangtze River and residential quarters along two flanks of the Yangtze River and its distributaries, that will impose direct impact to highway transportation and residential lives, and may effect to some degree the navigation of the Yangtze River, reservoir banks, and building of cities and towns.     

海水热力学方程TEOS-10及其与海水状态方程EOS-80的比较

新的2010年海水热力学方程TEOS-10采用1990年国际温标以及考虑世界大洋海水组成空间差异的绝对盐度,与旧的1980年海水状态方程EOS-80相比,具有更高的准确度和更广的适用范围,能够直接计算包括熵、焓、热容量在内的旧方程无法计算的热力学变量,将给海洋学研究带来重要的影响。借助气候态平均数据计算的结果表明,新旧方程计算的密度之差,在全球大多数海域可超过10-2kg/m3。在赤道以北的太平洋和印度洋海域,包括中国东海和南海的深海区域,该差别尤为显著,在精度要求较高的研究中必须予以考虑。新方程对密度计算的这一修正主要归因于其首次提出的绝对盐度,考虑了包括中性溶质在内的所有溶质的作用,弥补了实用盐标的缺陷。新旧方程计算冰点等其他物理量也有相应的修正。应尽快推广应用TEOS-10以及绝对盐度,充分发挥其对海洋学发展的推动作用。     

航空重力数据常用滤波方法对比研究

航空重力测量中,存在着各种各样的噪声干扰,严重影响了异常的精度和分辨率。低通滤波器在航空重力测量数据处理中对于去掉高频噪声干扰有着重要的作用;因此,对航空测量信号进行异常恢复和噪声信号衰减的一个重要步骤就是设计低通性能更优越的滤波器。通过模型实验,对比6×20_s RC滤波器、Kalman滤波器和FFT滤波器输出结果,以确定各种滤波器的可靠性,并分析了3种滤波器的影响因素,为以后对数字滤波器的研究奠定基础。     

全国危机矿山接替资源找矿专项煤炭项目成果综述

煤炭是我国最重要的基础性能源,经过数十年高强度的开采和开发,一大批大中型矿山资源枯竭,成为危机矿山。通过煤炭资源找矿专项的实施,取得了重大的找矿进展：①新发现并查明了一批资源储量,延长了诸多危机矿山的服务年限;②对我国深部找煤勘查方法进行了初步总结;③丰富了我国聚煤作用研究的内容．使老矿山深部和外围找煤理论和方法得以完善;④在复杂地质条件勘查区（推覆体下、红层下及火成岩下）找煤取得突破性的进展。     

Influence of Sea Surface Temperature on the Predictability of Idealized Tropical Cyclone Intensity

The role of sea surface temperature (SST) forcing in the development and predictability of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is examined using a large set of idealized numerical experiments in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model. The results indicate that the onset time of rapid intensification of TC gradually decreases, and the peak intensity of TC gradually increases, with the increased magnitude of SST. The predictability limits of the maximum 10 m wind speed (MWS) and minimum sea level pressure (MSLP) are ~72 and ~84 hours, respectively. Comparisons of the analyses of variance for different simulation time confirm that the MWS and MSLP have strong signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) from 0-72 hours and a marked decrease beyond 72 hours. For the horizontal and vertical structures of wind speed, noticeable decreases in the magnitude of SNR can be seen as the simulation time increases, similar to that of the SLP or perturbation pressure. These results indicate that the SST as an external forcing signal plays an important role in TC intensity for up to 72 hours, and it is significantly weakened if the simulation time exceeds the predictability limits of TC intensity.     

人工影响天气综合业务平台一期建设

中国气象局人工影响天气综合业务平台一期建设任务顺利完成。在该综合业务平台上已实现全国所有固定作业点的飞机、火箭、高炮等作业信息的收集、整理、显示,还基本实现组网雷达基数据的实时屏幕显示和一定延迟下的RHI剖面分析功能,用静止气象卫星高时间分辨率和大范围覆盖数据反演云降水粒子信息的准实时显示,     

Tropospheric NO2 Columns over Northeastern North America： Comparison of CMAQ Model Simulations with GOME Satellite Measurements

We present comparisons of the NO2 regional Chemical Transport Model （CTM） simulations over North-eastern North America during the time period from May to September, 1998 with hourly surface NO2 observations and the NO2 columns retrieved from the GOME （Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment） satellite instrument. The model calculations were performed using the Mesoscale Meteorological Model 5 （MM5）, Sparse Matrix Operator Kernal Emissions （SMOKE）, and Community Multiscale Air Quality （CMAQ） modeling systems, using the emission data from the National Emissions Inventory （NEI） databases of 1996 （U.S.） and 1995 （Canada）. The major objectives were to assess the performance of the CMAQ model and the accuracy of the emissions inventories as they affected the simulations of this important short-lived atmospheric species. The modeled （NcMAQ） and measured （NGOME） NO2 column amounts, as well as their temporal variations, agreed reasonably well. The absolute differences （NcMAQ-NGOME） across the domain were between ±3.0×10^15 molecules cm^-2, but they were less than ±1.0×10^15 molecules cm^-2 over the majority （80%） of the domain studied. The overall correlation coefficient between the measurements and the simulations was 0.75. The differences were mainly ascribed to a combination of inaccurate emission data for the CTM and the uncertainties in the GOME retrievals. Of these, the former were the more easily identifiable.     

冰雹微结构的分析研究

本文根据新疆昭苏地区五次雹暴的51个雹块切片的偏振光和透射光照片研究,获得了该地区的三种冰雹微结构类型,指出了我国这一地区冰雹微结构的冰晶、气泡、层次和雹胚的特征,最后研究了降雹时的雨滴谱变化和雹谱特征。