土层动力参数变化对地表地震反应影响的研究

通过模拟土层剖面,采用等效线性化程序,对土体的非线性动力参数～动剪切模量比与阻尼比分别使用实测值、行业推荐值和规范值来计算地表的反应谱,比较地表的地震动峰值与反应谱的特征周期大小以及反应谱的形状,以评价土层参数变化对地表地震反应的影响.     

Organic structure and possible origin of ancient charred paddies at Chuodun Site in southern China

A number of ancient charred paddies with a ¹⁴C dating of about 5900 a BP were recovered in the sixth excavation at Chuodun Site and are assigned to the Majiabang culture (7–6 ka BP). To understand their formation mechanism, the ancient charred paddies were compared to modern paddies using FT-IR spectrum and thermaogravimetric analysis. At the same time, modern charred paddies were made in helium by the laboratory method, and the structural characteristics of them and the ancient ones were revealed using CP/MAS-¹³C-NMR. Our results show there are more aromatic moieties in ancient charred paddies compared to modern paddies. The aliphatic components of modern charred paddies decrease continuously, accompanied by the accumulation of aromatic components, when the duration and temperature of oxidation increase, and the structure buildings of modern charred paddies are more similar to ancient ones. Given the planting manner of paddies during Majiabang culture period, these ancient charred paddies might be a result of the original farming mode involving fire. Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40571088)     

北京一次突发性降雪的云场结构特征分析

本文对利用三重嵌套的高分辨率中尺度模式对北京一次突发性降雪过程进行了数值模拟。重点分析伴随降雪过程的云各微物理含量构成和云场三维图像的演变特征,初步分析表明：此次降雪过程中云中的主要成份是冰晶粒子,雪其它粒子的含量较少,冰晶粒子含量随时间呈由高空向低空增加的趋势,它在降雪过程中起重要作用;云的三维结构图也清楚地反映云顶有不断降低和向下伸展过程,这与冰晶粒子的增长和沉降有关。     

一次大冰雹过程的成因初探

2006年7月12日下午5时前后,阳泉市遭受严重的冰雹、暴雨袭击,造成部分乡镇农作物受害,直接经济损失在3 000万元以上。为此我们以这次大冰雹天气过程为例,应用《阳泉市冰雹短期预报系统》、FY2C云图资料、多普勒雷达资料等方法,初步探索大冰雹天气的成因,以及在大冰雹出现前冰雹云的一些特殊结构特征,为今后的预报提供一些有价值的,有指示意义的预报指标。     

多普勒雷达基本观测量直接同化对模式物理量场的影响

在GRAPES一3DVar雷达同化模块的基础上,建立了多普勒径向速度和基本反射率因子的直接同化观测算子,实现了雷达反射率因子和径向速度的直接同化,并对2007年7月3日的江淮梅雨进行了模拟试验。结果表明,多普勒径向速度的直接同化的主要影响表现在风场上,能够改善几乎整个三维风场分析,在雷达影响半径范围内,风场明显得到加强,影响当时天气的系统及其高低层配置被合理模拟,但对湿度场影响甚微。雨水混合比的直接同化的主要影响表现在湿度场上,改进了模式对湿度场的模拟,对降水的影响十分显著,有利于准确模拟降水的发展和维持,减小了Spin—up现象;其亦可使整个风场微弱增强,但影响甚微。     

我国南方晚稻孕穗期旱灾指标试验研究

根据我国南方晚稻孕穗普遍期后对干旱最敏感这一特点,分别在江西南昌、湖北荆州、湖南长沙3个试验站设计了孕穗普遍期后7d、10d、13d、16d和直至植株死亡5种干旱天数。试验结果表明:干旱天数与穗粒数、穗结实粒数呈负相关,相关系数分别为-0.956和-0.959。随着干旱天数增加,土壤湿度逐渐减少,减产率上升。当干旱18d时,土壤湿度临界值为5.57%,植株死亡。用线性和非线性回归拟合干旱天数、土壤湿度、减产率三者之间的方程,分别以土壤湿度、减产率作为评价因子得出干旱灾害评价标准。经鉴定,自大田土壤上层无水开始干旱6～7d,晚稻受到轻度灾害;干旱8～11d,晚稻受中度灾害;干旱12d以上受重度灾害。     

华北盛夏暴雨过程的能量特征分析

本文利用实况资料和T213输出资料,对发生在2005年8月16日～17日的华北暴雨过程进行了能量学特征分析,结果表明:暴雨前24h～36h,对流层上下层有暖湿空气同时发展,是暴雨发生的重要动力机制;强的干、湿静力能锋区稳定维持是这次大范围暴雨产生的能量基础,中低层湿静力能差值大于0,且数值很大,说明对流不稳定层结很强,暴雨发生在高能、高不稳定度的条件下;水汽的充足补给作用,是这次暴雨过程能量转换的基础。     

Projected climate change scenario over California by a regional ocean–atmosphere coupled model system

This study examines a future climate change scenario over California in a 10-km coupled regional downscaling system of the Regional Spectral Model for the atmosphere and the Regional Ocean Modeling System for the ocean forced by the global Community Climate System Model version 3.0 (CCSM3). In summer, the coupled and uncoupled downscaled experiments capture the warming trend of surface air temperature, consistent with the driving CCSM3 forcing. However, the surface warming change along the California coast is weaker in the coupled downscaled experiment than it is in the uncoupled downscaling. Atmospheric cooling due to upwelling along the coast commonly appears in both the present and future climates, but the effect of upwelling is not fully compensated for by the projected large-scale warming in the coupled downscaling experiment. The projected change of extreme warm events is quite different between the coupled and uncoupled downscaling experiments, with the former projecting a more moderate change. The projected future change in precipitation is not significantly different between coupled and uncoupled downscaling. Both the coupled and uncoupled downscaling integrations predict increased onshore sea breeze change in summer daytime and reduced offshore land breeze change in summer nighttime along the coast from the Bay area to Point Conception. Compared to the simulation of present climate, the coupled and uncoupled downscaling experiments predict 17.5 % and 27.5 % fewer Catalina eddy hours in future climate respectively.     

The soil moisture of China in a high resolution climate-vegetation model

1. Introduction The soil moisture plays an important role in in- fluencing the climate change by altering the surface albedo, soil heat capacity and the heat flux between air and land (Ma et al., 2001). Near-surface soil mois- ture controls the partitioni…     

基于S波段双偏振雷达观测的雹暴偏振特征分析

为了研究雹暴的偏振特征及其在实际业务中的应用,使用S波段双偏振雷达所观测到的46例冰雹数据,对其中反复出现的3种偏振特征:冰雹在各高度层的偏振参数特征、差分反射率因子柱、三体散射偏振特征进行了分析,重点分析了3种偏振特征大、小冰雹事件的差异.结果表明:(1)大冰雹的水平反射率因子中位数要高于小冰雹,二者的水平反射率因子...