Surface wave array tomography in SE Tibet from ambient seismic noise and two-station analysis – II. Crustal and upper-mantle structure

We determine the 3-D shear wave speed variations in the crust and upper mantle in the southeastern borderland of the Tibetan Plateau, SW China, with data from 25 temporary broad-band stations and one permanent station. Interstation Rayleigh wave (phase velocity) dispersion curves were obtained at periods from 10 to 50 s from empirical Green's function (EGF) derived from (ambient noise) interferometry and from 20 to 150 s from traditional two-station (TS) analysis. Here, we use these measurements to construct phase velocity maps (from 10 to 150 s, using the average interstation dispersion from the EGF and TS methods between 20 and 50 s) and estimate from them (with the Neighbourhood Algorithm) the 3-D wave speed variations and their uncertainty. The crust structure, parametrized in three layers, can be well resolved with a horizontal resolution about of 100 km or less. Because of the possible effect of mechanically weak layers on regional deformation, of particular interest is the existence and geometry of low (shear) velocity layers (LVLs). In some regions prominent LVLs occur in the middle crust, in others they may appear in the lower crust. In some cases the lateral transition of shear wave speed coincides with major fault zones. The spatial variation in strength and depth of crustal LVLs suggests that the 3-D geometry of weak layers is complex and that unhindered crustal flow over large regions may not occur. Consideration of such complexity may be the key to a better understanding of relative block motion and patterns of seismicity.     

青海地区S波非弹性衰减Q值、场地响应特征研究

根据地质构造及地震台网分布特征,将青海地区分为柴达木盆地、青海东北部、青海东南部3个区域,运用青海地震台网记录的112条数字地震波形资料,利用Atkinson方法得到3个区域的非弹性衰减Q值随频率的关系,结果表明,柴达木盆地Q值最大,青海东南部Q值最小。采用Moya方法反演得到3个区域24个地震台的场地响应,其中15个台站的场地响应在频率域不平坦,9个台站稳定性相对较好,GOM(格尔木)作为国家基准地震台,具有良好的观测环境,场地响应曲线稳定。     

羌塘盆地冻土层结构核磁共振信号响应研究与实践

为了了解羌塘盆地冻土层的结构,利用核磁共振测深(MRS)技术对羌塘盆地的两个研究区进行了野外勘探。结合室内实验及野外实际资料,冻土层基本无法引起仪器核磁共振响应是划分冻土层和探测水合物的重要证据。在钻井附近进行的MRS方法对试验点进行测量并采集到了NMR信号,分析认为是天然气水合物处在亚稳定状态,分解产生水或者液态烃,形成水-水合物-气三相共存的情况,引起了NMR反应。实践表明可以将MRS方法运用于探测陆域冻土带分布以及冻土带,该方法对于冻土层的结构划分具有十分重要的科学意义和应用价值。      

Research on meteorological thresholds of drought and flood disaster: a case study in the Huai River Basin,China

Together with affected areas of crops from 1978 to 2008, the daily precipitation of 110 stations located in the Huai River Basin during 1959–2008 was used to study the critical conditions when drought and flood occur, based on which the quantitative relationship between the critical condition and the affected area of crops was further studied. Based on the research on the hazard-formative factor of precipitation and the damage degree of crops, the spatial-temporal characteristics of disasters were analyzed, the drought and flood disaster-causing threshold was determined, and the quantitative relationship between the disaster-causing threshold and affected area of crops was established. The results are as the follows: (1) During 1959–2008, extreme precipitation levels were high in the eastern and western part of the Huai River Basin and were low in its central part; the spatial distribution of the coefficient of variation (CV) differed greatly from average extreme precipitation: the series of most stations were located in the central basin, and especially there was a positive trend in Anhui and Henan Provinces. (2) The cumulative precipitation during the disaster period of each station was divided by its mean cumulative precipitation during the same period in 1959–2008 to obtain the disaster-causing threshold, which has shown a good effect on reflecting the actual grade and affected areas in disasters. (3) The relationship among disaster grade, disaster-causing threshold and damage area of crops was established; this threshold can be used as a tool for agricultural disaster assessment and early warning, and can effectively improve the ability to prevent and mitigate disaster in the Huai River Basin. (4) The disaster-causing threshold can be an important input parameter for hazard assessment; other underlying surface indicators can be good supplements for determining the threshold in hazard assessment.     

山东西南部南四湖水位变化特征及其与气候要素的相关分析

气候变化对水资源的影响是水文领域的一个重要的研究方向, 研究水位变化与气候要素的相关分析, 对预测湖面水位意义重大. 利用1981-2013年山东西南部南四湖水位和沿湖5个国家级气象观测站逐月平均气温、 相对湿度、 风速、 降水和蒸发量等资料, 分析了近33 a来南四湖水位变化特征及气象影响因子. 结果表明: 近33 a南四湖水位升高趋势显著, 平均每10 a升高0.46 m; 水位变化整体分两个阶段, 1989年以前为下降态势, 1989年以后为上升态势, 1994年是水位升高的突变时间点; 平均最高水位出现在3月为33.04 m, 最低出现在12月为32.03 m. 各气象要素对南四湖水位的影响呈明显的季节性, 降水量是影响年水位变化的重要气象因子, 年降水量每增加100 mm, 水位升高0.21 m, 夏季降水量对水位的影响更为显著; 蒸发量在夏、 秋季与水位呈极显著负相关; 水位在夏季与风速、 在冬季与相对湿度均呈显著负相关.     

砂土地基的黏性特性及其有限元模拟

采用非线性弹塑黏性有限元法模拟了砂土地基变速率加载室内试验,再现了砂土地基荷载-沉降曲线对加载速率突变、砂土蠕变以及应力松弛等加载情况下的响应和瞬时黏性中砂土黏性随加载进行的衰减现象。在有限元分析中,以非线性三要素模型为理论框架构建了可以综合考虑砂土黏性特性的弹塑黏性本构模型,用动态松弛法进行有限元求解,最后通过有限元与室内试验的对比分析研究了砂土地基所具有的黏性特性,同时验证了非线性三要素弹塑黏性模型用于模拟砂土黏性特征的合理性和正确性。     

基于F-K和Radon变换的多次波衰减方法

多次波干扰是地震勘探中最重要的问题之一,其衰减技术也是地震数据处理的难题之一。本文主要介绍了多次波的形成、分类及其特征,并在ProMax系统上对合成地震记录的多次波进行了压制:首先采用合适的速度对时-空域的地震记录进行NMO校正;然后,分别用F-K变换和Radon变换方法将其变换到F-K域和Radon域,对多次波所占据的主要区域进行充零衰减;最后,通过对应的反变换将其变换到时-空域,从而达到多次波衰减的目的。通过在ProMax系统中的应用表明:不同方法对多次波的衰减效果各有优劣,组合滤波方法能达到更好的效果。     

青海祁漫塔格地区虎头崖矿床Ⅵ矿带花岗岩的成岩时代、地球化学特征和成因

利用LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb法,测得与成矿有关的青海祁漫塔格地区虎头崖矿床Ⅵ矿带花岗岩的成岩年龄为(233.6±1.8) Ma(MSWD=1.2,n=17)。地球化学特征显示:花岗岩属高钾钙碱性、弱过铝质花岗岩;样品的稀土元素组成以总体右倾,轻、重稀土分异明显和具明显的负铕异常为特征;微量元素具有富集Rb、Th、U、La、Nd等大离子亲石元素,亏损Ba、Sr、Nb、P、Ti等元素的特点。Sr-Nd同位素组成特征显示,花岗岩的源区可能是富集岩石圈地幔。初步研究认为,虎头崖矿床Ⅵ矿带花岗岩可能形成于中、晚三叠世碰撞后碰撞的构造背景下。     

川滇M≥6.7强震的二维坐标系与时间预测研究

20世纪以来,川滇地区M≥6.7强震时间间隔具有良好的规律性,其地震发生的年份可组成一个二维时间坐标系,并据此建立川滇地区的强震时间预测模型。预测分析表明：未来16年,川滇地区可能存在发生4次6.7级以上地震发生的风险,2012-2021及2025-2029年均有M≥6.7强震信号,且未来强震可能发生在2014-2015、2019与2027年前后。