Steric sea level change in twentieth century historical climate simulation and IPCC-RCP8.5 scenario projection: A comparison of two versions of FGOALS model

To reveal the steric sea level change in 20th century historical climate simulations and future climate change projections under the IPCC’s Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario, the results of two versions of LASG/IAP’s Flexible Global Ocean-Atmosphere-Land System model (FGOALS) are analyzed. Both models reasonably reproduce the mean dynamic sea level features, with a spatial pattern correlation coefficient of 0.97 with the observation. Characteristics of steric sea level changes in the 20th century historical climate simulations and RCP8.5 scenario projections are investigated. The results show that, in the 20th century, negative trends covered most parts of the global ocean. Under the RCP8.5 scenario, global-averaged steric sea level exhibits a pronounced rising trend throughout the 21st century and the general rising trend appears in most parts of the global ocean. The magnitude of the changes in the 21st century is much larger than that in the 20th century. By the year 2100, the global-averaged steric sea level anomaly is 18 cm and 10 cm relative to the year 1850 in the second spectral version of FGOALS (FGOALS-s2) and the second grid-point version of FGOALS (FGOALS-g2), respectively. The separate contribution of the thermosteric and halosteric components from various ocean layers is further evaluated. In the 20th century, the steric sea level changes in FGOALS-s2 (FGOALS-g2) are largely attributed to the thermosteric (halosteric) component relative to the pre-industrial control run. In contrast, in the 21st century, the thermosteric component, mainly from the upper 1000 m, dominates the steric sea level change in both models under the RCP8.5 scenario. In addition, the steric sea level change in the marginal sea of China is attributed to the thermosteric component.     

黑龙江省封冻前土壤底墒趋势变化分析

利用黑龙江省1981-2010年的土壤湿度数据,以富锦县、龙江县、双城县、黑河市、海伦县为代表点,分析了黑龙江省东、西、南、北、中各区域封冻前(11月8日)0～30 cm土层土壤湿度的趋势变化和干湿变化,采用线性趋势、5年滑动平均和Mann-Kendall法检验变化趋势,利用Mann-Kendall和Yamamoto法对土壤湿度变化趋势进行突变点检验.结果表明:封冻前0～30 cm土层各地土壤湿度在30年间均有不同程度下降,西部龙江县下降剧烈,中部海伦县较剧烈,北部黑河市和南部双城县次之,上述代表点20 cm土层土壤湿度下降均达到了P＜0.05以内的显著水平,东部富锦县下降趋势最弱;经Mann-Kendall法检验,0～30 cm土层龙江县、海伦县土壤湿度出现了下降的突变区域,其余代表点的土壤湿度变化趋势在近几年中逐渐接近或已经超越了显著线;1994年是龙江县10 cm、20 cm土壤湿度下降的突变时期;黑龙江省各地土壤湿度的下降与封冻前一段时期内气温和降水变化密切相关,还与土壤物理性质的恶化等因素有关.     

不同积雪深度下地面温度与雪面温度的相关

基于新疆昌吉州5个国家气象站2008—2010年积雪深度大于等于0 cm的实测地面温度与雪面温度,对0 cm地面温度（含最高、最低）、雪面温度（含最高、最低）及云量、日照时数、雪深进行统计分析,找出不同积雪深度下地面温度与雪面温度的关系,并以阜康市天池气象站2011年所有积雪日数据对关系模型作检验。结果显示：地面温度与雪面温度的关系有3个雪深分层：5 cm以下、6~40 cm和40 cm以上,积雪深度为0~5 cm时,地面温度与雪面温度差值很小,受雪深及天气条件影响明显,雪深6~40 cm,主要受雪深影响,雪深超过40 cm,地面温度趋于定值。     

高清气象影视虚拟演播室系统设计与调试

以华风集团高清虚拟演播室建设项目为案例,论述了高清虚拟演播室技术在系统建设、系统调试、天气预报节目业务实现环节需要重点解决的几个问题和难点。根据气象电视节目制作要求,在从虚拟演播室系统系统建设到节目制作业务化的整个过程中,重点解决了音频系统延时量计算、绿箱景区施工、绿箱景区灯光布局、绿箱色键抠像调试、摄像机定位与跟踪调试、气象数据调用与转换共6个关键性技术问题。此次业务系统实践的成功是虚拟演播室技术在全国气象影视行业高清节目制作中的应用和推广的很好尝试。     

Solar cycle distribution of strong solar proton events and the related solar-terrestrial phenomena

We investigated the solar cycle distribution of strong solar proton events (SPEs, peak flux ≥1000 pfu) and the solar-terrestrial phenomena associated with the strong SPEs during solar cycles 21–23. The results show that 37 strong SPEs were registered over this period of time, where 20 strong SPEs were originated from the super active regions (SARs) and 28 strong SPEs were accompanied by the X-class flares. Most strong SPEs were not associated with the ground level enhancement (GLE) event. Most strong SPEs occurred in the descending phases of the solar cycles. The weaker the solar cycle, the higher the proportion of strong SPES occurred in the descending phase of the cycle. The number of the strong SPEs that occurred within a solar cycle is poorly associated with the solar cycle size. The intensity of the SPEs is highly dependent of the location of their source regions, with the super SPEs (≥20000 pfu) distributed around solar disk center. A super SPE was always accompanied by a fast shock driven by the associated coronal mass ejection and a great geomagnetic storm. The source location of strongest GLE event is distributed in the well-connected region. The SPEs associated with super GLE events (peak increase rate ≥100%) which have their peak flux much lower than 10000 pfu were not accompanied by an intense geomagnetic storm.     

NanoSIMS analysis of organic carbon from the Tissint Martian meteorite: Evidence for the past existence of subsurface organic‐bearing fluids on Mars

Two petrographic settings of carbonaceous components, mainly filling open fractures and occasionally enclosed in shock‐melt veins, were found in the recently fallen Tissint Martian meteorite. The presence in shock‐melt veins and the deuterium enrichments (δD up to +1183‰) of these components clearly indicate a pristine Martian origin. The carbonaceous components are kerogen‐like, based on micro‐Raman spectra and multielemental ratios, and were probably deposited from fluids in shock‐induced fractures in the parent rock of Tissint. After precipitation of the organic matter, the rock experienced another severe shock event, producing the melt veins that encapsulated a part of the organic matter. The C isotopic compositions of the organic matter (δ¹³C = ?12.8 to ?33.1‰) are significantly lighter than Martian atmospheric CO₂ and carbonate, providing a tantalizing hint for a possible biotic process. Alternatively, the organic matter could be derived from carbonaceous chondrites, as insoluble organic matter from the latter has similar chemical and isotopic compositions. The presence of organic‐rich fluids that infiltrated rocks near the surface of Mars has significant implications for the study of Martian paleoenvironment and perhaps to search for possible ancient biological activities on Mars.     

Non-axisymmetric instabilities in shocked adiabatic accretion flows

We investigate the linear stability of a shocked accretion flow on to a black hole in the adiabatic limit. Our linear analyses and numerical calculations show that, despite the post-shock deceleration, the shock is generally unstable to non-axisymmetric perturbations. The simulation results of Molteni, Tóth & Kuznetsov can be well explained by our linear eigenmodes. The mechanism of this instability is confirmed to be based on the cycle of acoustic waves between the corotation radius and the shock. We obtain an analytical formula to calculate the oscillation period from the physical parameters of the flow. We argue that the quasi-periodic oscillation should be a common phenomenon in accretion flows with angular momentum.     

Modelling of anisotropic damage in brittle rocks under compression dominated stresses

A new model for describing induced anisotropic damage in brittle rocks is proposed. Although phenomenological, the model is based on physical grounds of micromechanical analysis. Induced damage is represented by a second rank tensor, which is related to the density and orientation of microcracks. Damage evolution is related to the propagation condition of microcracks. The onset of microcrack coalescence leading to softening behaviour is also considered. The effective elastic compliance of the damaged material is obtained from a specific form of Gibbs potential. Irreversible damage‐related strains due to residual opening of microcracks after unloading are also captured. All the model's parameters could be determined from conventional triaxial compression tests. The proposed model is applied to a typical brittle rock. Comparison between test data and numerical simulations shows an overall good agreement. The proposed model is able to describe the main features related to induced microcracks in brittle geomaterials. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

辽宁庄河地区构造变形及构造演化初探

辽宁庄河地区构造活动强烈，构造变形样式多种多样，反映了在不同体制下，构造变形由下部构造层次到上部构造层次的系统变化，从早期褶皱变形到后则破裂变形过程中岩石韧性递减的系统演变。笔者利用构造解析方法，初步确定了该区的构造序列并探讨了构造演化过程。     

流体 花岗岩 金矿

流体地质研究是当代地学研究中的重要前沿课题，已成为发展地质科学、建立新的知识体系的一个主要支柱和知识生长点。本文阐述了当今国内外流体的研究现状、发展水平、流体的涵义、性质、研究方法和研究重点及其与板块构造、变质作用、岩浆作用、成矿作用、成矿作用的重要意义。流体地质为地质科学提出了许多新的研究机会和挑战。该文在简要评述当今花岗岩研究现状的基础上，对花岗岩与金矿的关系进行了深入的讨论，指出了不同成因类型的花岗岩与金矿有着完全不同的关系。人们所说的花岗岩与金矿关系多数情况下应考虑是流体作用的结果。最后指出加强流体地质研究对提高河南地质与金矿的研究水平具有十分重要的实际意义和理论意义。