Bayesian network reasoning and machine learning with multiple data features: air pollution risk monitoring and early warning

Natural Hazards - From a macro-perspective, based on machine learning and data-driven approach, this paper utilizes multi-featured data from 31 provinces and regions in China to build a Bayesian...     

Experimental study of dissolved oxygen transport by regular waves through a perforated breakwater

The perforated breakwater is an environmentally friendly coastal structure,and dissolved oxygen concentration levels are an important index to denote water quality.In this paper,oxygen transport experiments with regular waves through a vertical perforated breakwater were conducted.The oxygen scavenger method was used to reduce the dissolved oxygen concentration of inner water body with the chemicals Na_2SO_3 and Co Cl_2.The dissolved oxygen concentration and wave parameters of 36 experimental scenarios were measured with different perforated arrangements and wave conditions.It was found that the oxygen transfer coefficient through wave surface,K_1a_1,is much lower than the oxygen transport coefficient through the perforated breakwater,K_2a_2.If the effect of K_1a_1 is not considered,the dissolved oxygen concentration computation for inner water body will not be greatly affected.Considering the effect of a permeable area ratio α,relative location parameter of perforations δ and wave period T,the aforementioned data of 30 experimental scenarios,the dimensional analysis and the least squares method were used to derive an equation of K_2a_2(K_2a_2=0.0042α~(0.5)δ~(0.2)T~(-1)).It was validated with 6 other experimental scenarios data,which indicates an approximate agreement.Therefore,this equation can be used to compute the DO concentration caused by the water transport through perforated breakwater.     

Experimental study on large wood filtration performance by herringbone water-sediment separation structure

A herringbone water-sediment separation structure(hereinafter referred to as "herringbone structure") has been shown to be effective in separating coarse inorganic debris; however, less is known regarding the large wood(LW) filtration effect in this structure. This paper presents preliminary research on the wood filtration effect of the herringbone structure based on physical model tests.The results show that the herringbone structure exhibited effective performance in large wood size segregation, with a 100% component filtration rate for LW that diameter(D) larger than ribbed beam opening width(a). The total filtration rate also exceeded 80% when the Fraud number(Fr) is larger than 2.64 and increased with the increase of Fr. After exceeding Frmax, total filtration rate would be decreased due to overflow. Beside flow condition,structure parameters influence significantly on LW filtration rate. We attempt to explain the filtration process via particle contact trajectory and particle movement trajectory. The inclined angle of ribbed beam(γ) contributed the most variation to the filtration rate via influencing the coincidence with particle contact trajectory and particle movement trajectory. The high sensitivity coefficient of ribbed beam(θ) under relatively low Fr conditions implies remarkable influences on LW filtration effects by causing clogging problem. The ribbed beam opening width(a) together with LW diameter(D) influenced the size segregation performance.     

Interannual variations in low potential vorticity water and the subtropical countercurrent in an eddy-resolving OGCM

Interannual-to-decadal variations in the subtropical countercurrent (STCC) and low potential vorticity (PV) water and their relations in the North Pacific Ocean are investigated on the basis of a 60-year-long hindcast integration of an eddy-resolving ocean general circulation model. Although vertically coherent variations are dominant for STCC interannual variability, a correlation analysis shows that an intensified STCC vertical shear accompanies lower PV than usual to the north on 25.5- to 26.1-σ_θ isopycnal surfaces, and intensified meridional density gradient in subsurface layers, consistent with Kubokawa’s theory (J Phys Oceanogr 29:1314–1333, 1999). The low-PV signals appear at least 2 years before peaks of STCC, propagating southwestward from the subduction region.     

甘肃北山营毛沱地区花岗岩类LA-ICP-MS锆石U-Pb定年及地质意义

为揭示整个北山地区构造演化特征,对北山营毛沱地区分布的花岗岩、花岗闪长岩、二长花岗岩、闪长岩等花岗岩类岩石进行了岩石化学研究。结果表现,这些花岗岩类具有偏铝质-过铝质、碱性-钙碱性特征,具有中等的Si O2(62.1%~72.92%)含量,较高的Na2O+K2O(5.4%~9.12%)含量;球粒陨石标准化分配模式图上,具有相对平缓的富集轻稀土元素配分模式,重稀土元素分馏不明显,弱Eu负异常;亏损Nb、Ba、P、Ti,富集Rb、Pb、K;主微量元素对比及图解分析认为花岗岩类具有Ⅰ型或Ⅰ-A型过渡花岗岩的特点。对其中的花岗闪长岩进行了LA-LCP-MS锆石U-Pb定年分析,得出其侵位时间为384.7±7.7Ma,为中泥盆世早期。结合区域地质分析,指出营毛沱地区的花岗岩类形成于北山早古生代洋盆碰撞造山后的拉伸环境,标志北山地区在中泥盆世已进入新的构造演化阶段,即板内伸展阶段。     

最小噪声分离在航空电磁数据噪声压制中的应用

时间域航空电磁数据经预处理后,仍存在残余噪声,影响电磁探测对地下异常的识别能力。笔者提出一种基于最小噪声分离的去噪方法,将一组含噪电磁数据通过旋转矩阵线性变换为按照信噪比大小排列的最小噪声分离成分,利用信噪比较大的最小噪声分离成分重构电磁数据,以达到分离噪声的目的。仿真数据去噪结果表明：最小噪声分离不仅能够有效压制晚期道剖面噪声,还能准确分辨异常信息;晚期道信噪比较测线滤波提高了11.28 dB,实测数据的噪声水平也由±50 nT/s降低到±10 nT/s。     

Landslide and debris-flow hazard analysis and prediction using GIS in Minamata–Hougawachi area, Japan

On July 20, 2003, following a short duration of heavy rainfall, a debris-flow disaster occurred in the Minamata–Hougawachi area, Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan. This disaster was triggered by a landslide. In order to assess the landslide and debris-flow hazard potential of this mountainous region, the study of historic landslides is critical. The objective of the study is to couple 3D slope-stability analysis models and 2D numerical simulation of debris flow within a geographical information systems in order to identity the potential landslide-hazard area. Based on field observations, the failure mechanism of the past landslide is analyzed and the mechanical parameters for 3D slope-stability analysis are calculated from the historic landslide. Then, to locate potential new landslides, the studied area is divided into slope units. Based on 3D slope-stability analysis models and on Monte Carlo simulation, the spots of potential landslides are identified. Finally, we propose a depth-averaged 2D numerical model, in which the debris and water mixture is assumed to be a uniform continuous, incompressible, unsteady Newtonian fluid. The method accurately models the historic debris flow. According to the 2D numerical simulation, the results of the debris-flow model, including the potentially inundated areas, are analyzed, and potentially affected houses, river and road are mapped.     

Observations and modeling of flat subduction and its geological effects

Flat subduction refers to low-angle(10°) or sub-horizontal subduction of oceanic slabs. Flat subduction is only recognized in ～10% of present-day subduction zones, but its impact on the behavior of the overriding plate is particularly strong.For example, flat subduction zones are typically associated with stronger earthquakes. The deformation caused by typical flat subduction will transfer from the trench to the overriding continental interior and form a broad magma belt. The formation mechanism of flat subduction has been linked to the relative buoyancy of subducted oceanic plateaus, overthrusting of the overriding plate, hydrodynamic suction, and trench retreat. However, these mechanisms remain debated. This paper systematically analyzes and summarizes previous studies on flat subduction, and outlines the possible geological effects of flat subduction, such as intracontinental orogeny and magmatism. Using examples from numerical modeling, we discuss the possible formation mechanisms. The most important factors that control the formation of flat subduction are associated with overthrusting of the overriding plate and the arrival of an oceanic plateau at the subduction zone. In addition, trench retreat is necessary to enable flat subduction. Hydrodynamic suction contributes to the reduction of the slab dip angle, but is insufficient to form flat subduction. Future numerical modeling of flat subduction should carry out three-dimensional high-resolution thermo-mechanical simulation, considering the influence of crustal eclogitization(negative buoyancy) and mantle serpentinization(positive buoyancy) of oceanic lithosphere, in combination with geological and geophysical data.     

库车前陆褶皱冲断带中段第三系盐枕构造

本文旨在探讨库车前陆褶皱冲断带盐枕构造的类型、分布、成因机制及其与油气聚集的关系。通过地震反射剖面的解释和石油地质条件综合分析,认为库车前陆褶皱冲断带由北而南依次发育残留盐枕、非稳态盐枕和稳态盐枕等 3类盐枕构造,沿克拉苏构造带和西秋立塔克构造带呈长条形带状分布,其成因受重力滑动、重力扩展、区域挤压和塑性流动作用的联合控制。从盐枕构造的演化序列和分布特征看,该区盐枕构造的主要特点表现为:北部盐枕形成较早,稳定性差,出现残留盐枕,盐枕规模较小;南部盐枕形成较晚,稳定性较强,形态相对完整,规模较大。库车前陆褶皱冲断带盐枕构造与油气聚集密切相关,伴随盐枕构造的形成,发育大量盐相关油气圈闭构造,沿盐枕构造成带状分布,同时盐枕构造巨厚的盐岩层为油气聚集提供了良好的封闭条件。