气象信息服务与互联网--关于气象信息服务业发展的一些初浅思考

气象产业,就其核心功能来说属信息服务业.企、事业单位、家庭电脑使用的进一步普及,互联网将最终改变人类的生活方式,天生作为高科技信息服务的气象信息产业,欲赢得下世纪辉煌,不认真思考在信息网络时代气象信息服务业的发展,将会错过一次快速发展良机.     

固体矿产资源储量分类中的资源类别纠结——资源储量分类之形式逻辑辨析

资源储量分类标准在与国际接轨中始终存在着一个＂资源类别纠结＂,即西方市场经济体制国家,如美国的＂确定的、推定的、推测的＂究竟是属于勘查区整体资源的可靠性,还是局部块段资源的可靠性问题。国内对《固体矿产资源/储量分类（GB/T17766-1999）》的论争以及其在应用中出现的一系列问题,均与此有关。文章运用形式逻辑的一般规律对＂资源类别纠结＂进行了梳理,并对分类中的一些逻辑错误进行了分析。形式逻辑错误是《固体矿产资源/储量分类》的重大缺陷。     

长江口区鱼类资源调查与研究

长江口区是我国最大的河口渔场,开发历史悠久,水产资源丰富。它位于东海北部，西靠大陆,有长江入海,北接吕四渔场,南邻著名的舟山渔场,东至东经124°00′,包括长江下游上海江段至佘山以东的广大水域。 长江口区的环境特点是处于沿岸水和长江冲淡水为主的低盐水系和外海高盐水系的混合区。底质以粘土质软泥、细粉砂为主。水深一般在60m以内,温、盐度变化大,以长江口引水船水文站为例,表层水温年平均为16.6℃,波动范围为5.5-27.6℃;盐度年平均为12.8,波动范围为7.19-19.9。 长江口及邻近海域水质肥沃,营养盐类和饵料生物基础丰富,是初级生产力较高的水域(刘瑞玉等,1987)。又由于水浅,地形复杂(北有长江大沙堆),造成潮流湍急,该水域成为大黄鱼、小黄鱼、带鱼和银鲳等经济种类的重要产卵场。长江口区也是夏秋季银鲳、刀鲚、凤鲚、带鱼、石首鱼类以及鲐、鲹等中、上层鱼类的重要索饵场;又是名贵种类鲥、松江鲈、中华鲟溯河或降海洄游的必经水道。河口和崇明岛近岸低盐水域还是中华绒螯蟹蟹苗和鳗苗、银鱼等的集中产区。 长江三峡工程的建造将对河口渔场及部近海域渔业资源产生什么影响,已引起人们的关注与重视。为此,进行了长江口区渔业资源调查,其目的在于了解该水域渔业资源的本底现状;并评估三峡工程建成后对渔业资源的影响,进而为持久地利用河口渔业资源提出科学依据。     

An experimental study on controlling post-earthquake debris flows using slit dams

Post-earthquake debris flows often break out in groups frequently, which are usually caused by the abundant loose solid materials that produced by earthquake. Slit dams represent a practical and effective kind of countermeasure for controlling the post-earthquake debris flow. Flume experiments were carried out to study the interaction mechanism and the effect of slit dams on the post-earthquake debris flows. The results showed that affected by the slit dams, some certain types of deposits formed on the upstream. The steeper the flume slope, as well as the greater the width and the density of slits, the easier the lateral deposit became “V” shaped. Otherwise, the lateral deposit was more likely to be “–?” shaped. When the flume slopes were 12°, 16° and 20°, the profiles of the deposits would be long-shallow type, short-thick type and short-shallow type, respectively. The slope of the deposition first decreases and then increases with the flume slope increasing within a certain range. The slit dam can trap the coarse sand and discharge the fine sand. The maximum attenuation rate can reach 44.4%. The effect of this capacity gradually weakens as the flume slope is increased. When the width or the density of slits is smaller, the greater the rate of decrease in peak sand discharge and the greater the effect of peak cutting will be. The reduction in the sediment storage rate is likely due to the increase in the width and the density of the slits. With the increase in flume slope, the sediment storage rate first increases, then decreases, which reaches a maximum value when the flume slope is 16°.     

Structural,lithological, and geochemical constraints on the dynamic magma plumbing system of the Jinchuan Ni–Cu sulfide deposit,NW China

Eastern and western portions of the Jinchuan ultramafic intrusion have previously been interpreted as dismembered segments of a single elongate intrusion by late faults. However, the different stratigraphic sequences of the two portions indicate that they are originally two separate intrusions, referred to as Eastern and Western intrusions in this study. The Eastern intrusion is characterized by a concentric distribution of rock types with a core of sulfide dunite enveloped by lherzolite, whereas the Western intrusion is composed of the Upper and Lower units, interpreted as magmatic mega cycles with regular variations in lithology and chemistry. In the Western intrusion, the Upper unit consists of fine-grained dunite, lherzolite, and pyroxenite from its base to its top. The MgO contents decrease upward from the dunites (42–45 wt.%) to the lherzolites (36–41 wt.%), while Al₂O₃ and incompatible elements increase upward. In contrast, the Lower unit consists of coarse-grained dunites and lherzolites containing 37–40 and 28–35 wt.% MgO, respectively. Sharp contacts between the Upper and Lower units and fine-grained dunite xenoliths at the top of the Lower unit indicate that the Lower unit intruded along the base of the Upper unit. Disseminated and net-textured sulfides primarily occur in the Lower unit and comprise the no. 24 ore body. Very low S contents (<100 ppm) of the wall rocks at Jinchuan indicate that they were not the source of S causing sulfide immiscibility. Sulfide segregation more likely occurred in deep-seated magma chambers, and sulfides were deposited in the Western intrusion when sulfide-bearing magmas passed through the intrusion. In contrast, the Eastern intrusion was formed by injections of sulfide-free and sulfide-bearing olivine-crystal mushes, respectively, from another deep-seated staging magma chamber. The Eastern and Western intrusions and the deep-seated magma chambers comprise a complicated magma plumbing system at Jinchuan. Normal faults played a significant role in the formation of the magma plumbing system and provided pathways for the magmas.     

An Experimental Study on the Conductivity Changes in Coal during Methane Adsorption-Desorption and their Influencing Factors

During the processes of methane adsorption and desorption, the internal structure of coal changes, accordingly leading to changes in electrical conductivity. In this paper, using low rank coal seams of the Yan’an Formation in the Dafosi field as the research subject, the relationship between coal resistivity, methane adsorption quantity, and equilibrium pressure is analyzed through proximate analysis, mercury injection tests, low temperature liquid nitrogen adsorption tests, and coal resistivity measurements during methane adsorption and desorption. The results show that during the process of pressure rise and methane adsorption, the conductivity of coal increases, resulting from heat release from methane adsorption, coal matrix swelling and adsorbed water molecules replaced by methane, but the resistivity reduction gradually decreases. The relationship between coal resistivity and methane adsorption quantity and equilibrium pressure can be described by a quadratic function. During the processes of depressurization and desorption, the resistivity of coal rebounds slightly, due to decalescence of methane desorption, coal matrix shrinkage and water-gas displacement, and the relationship coincides with a linear function. Methane adsorption leads to irreversible changes in coal internal structure and enhances the coal conductivity, and resistivity cannot be restored to the initial level even after methane desorption. The resistivity and reduction rate of durain are higher than those of vitrain, with relatively greater homogeneous pore throat structure and fewer charged particles in the double electric layer. In addition, moisture can enhance the conductivity of coal and makes it change more complexly during methane adsorption and desorption.     

短波红外光谱技术在西藏尼木地区岗讲斑岩铜-钼矿床中的应用

为进一步探明岗讲斑岩铜-钼矿床蚀变和矿化结构,有效指导下一步勘查工作,利用短波红外光谱技术对矿床内典型剖面上的4个钻孔进行了系统的测试分析.共检测到绢云母类、高岭石类、绿泥石类、硫酸盐类和碳酸盐类等蚀变矿物,其中尤以绢云母类矿物最为发育.对绢云母进行短波红外光谱测试分析显示:在靠近矿体的位置,有较大的伊利石结晶度(≥1.5)和较小的绢云母Al-OH吸收位置(≤2 205 nm);而在远离矿体的位置伊利石结晶度和绢云母Al-OH吸收位置分别为0.8~1.2和2 207~2 209 nm.同时,铁氧化物强度值与氧化矿体的出现具有同步性.表明短波红外光谱的这些特征参数有助于进一步理解岗讲斑岩铜-钼矿床蚀变和矿化结构,有效识别成矿流体性质,有潜力成为该矿区及其他类似矿区有效的找矿指标.     

嫩江流域径流时空演化规律分析

以流域时空分布理论框架为基础,分析嫩江流域径流时空演化规律,并着重从地形地貌影响因素方面进行归因分析。采用1955-2003年49 a的降水资料和1955-1973年19 a的径流资料,通过对代表性水文站自上游至下游（空间上）径流、地表径流和地下径流的年内与年际（时间上）演变规律进行分析。结果表明：1）嫩江流域降水年内变化及年际变化过程基本一致,可以忽略降水时空分布对径流时空演化规律的影响。2）从径流年内演化规律上可以判定上下游水源组合的差异性：上游以地表径流为主,在春季来源于融雪,汛期来源于大气降水,枯水季节来源于地下水补给;下游全年以地下径流为主。3）由于坡度和水文地质条件作用,上游更容易产流,下游受下垫面调蓄作用更强,不易产流;因此,从径流年际演化规律上可以判定径流产量自上游至下游逐渐减小。     

北天山北缘构造剖面测量及多期构造变形

天山北缘为典型的大陆内部活动构造特征,发育准噶尔盆地南缘逆冲带,主要表现为新生代时期形成的多排平行山体的背斜和逆冲断层。为了详细研究该区主要构造变形特征和变形形成时间,2005年我们对天山北缘进行了详细的地表地质剖面测量,之后进行了多年地表地质区域调查,落实了关键砾岩地层时代,充分结合卫星遥感影像资料、二维三维地震剖面和钻井测井资料,应用断层相关褶皱理论,完成了一条近SN向的长度50 km的金钩河-安集海河构造地质大剖面。野外观察和地质测量以及生长地层和生长地层不整合分析表明,安集海深层背斜初始形成时间为中新世早期,在第四纪西域组（Q1x）、乌苏群(Q2)和第四纪中晚期(Q4)最终定型的浅表背斜,深层为断层转折褶皱和中浅层反冲的楔形构造叠加组合而成;霍尔果斯深层背斜初始形成时间为中新世晚期,在第四纪中晚期Q4最终定型,构造样式为深层断层转折褶皱、中深层楔形构造和浅层断层扩展背斜叠加组合而成。区域地质调查发现一条近东西走向285°,发育在中生界地层的准南走滑断层,该断层位于准南边界逆冲断裂以北,形成时间最晚（Q4）。根据准南安集海背斜、霍尔果斯背斜和准南边界逆冲断裂初始形成时间,可以认为准南构造初始逆冲次序为后展式,然后整个逆冲带从第四纪早期西域组晚期开始一直活动到现今。     

北京两次沙尘污染过程中PM2.5浓度变化特征

利用北京市空气质量监测数据和气象资料,对2013年2月28日和3月9日两次沙尘污染过程PM2.5(空气动力学当量直径小于等于2.5μm的颗粒物,即细颗粒物)、PM10(空气动力学当量直径小于等于10μm的颗粒物,即可吸入颗粒物)浓度及PM2.5浓度/PM10浓度比值的变化特征进行了分析,研究结果表明:(1)沙尘开始影响北京时,PM2.5与PM10浓度表现出反位相变化,PM10浓度在两次沙尘过程中2 h内分别上升50.8%与202.4%,最高达800μg m-3以上;PM2.5浓度分别下降58.3%与50.9%,直至下降至35μg m-3以下,PM2.5有明显改善现象。(2)虽然PM2.5浓度在沙尘到达前有缓升的迹象,但沙尘抵达后,PM2.5浓度持续快速下降,PM2.5浓度/PM10浓度比值由沙尘影响前的0.75以上降至0.25以下。沙尘影响前,PM2.5日均值均超过150μg m-3,北京地区处于重度污染水平。这说明沙尘来临前以人为污染为主,主要由细粒子"贡献",沙尘来临后的空气污染,主要由巨、大粒子的沙尘"贡献"。