中国制造业FDI技术溢出效应——基于苏粤数据的实证与比较分析

选取2000—2009年江苏省和广东省为样本,考虑到技术溢出可能存在非线性和滞后性,构建引入了溢出变量的二次项和滞后一期的工业增加值面板数据模型,实证考察了外商直接投资在苏粤两省制造业各子行业产生的技术溢出效应。分析结果表明:江苏省FDI存在显著的行业内和后向技术溢出效应,广东省存在显著的行业内和行业间技术溢出效应。进一步通过对两省实证结果的对比,得出结论并提出政策建议。     

一次强降水超级单体风暴的动力特征分析

利用NCEP/NCAR(0.25°×0.25°)逐6 h再分析资料、常规观测资料、多普勒雷达资料对2018年9月19日晚发生在四川盆地东北部的强降水超级单体风暴进行诊断分析。研究表明：此次强降水超级单体风暴发生在较强的不稳定能量、很低的抬升凝结高度、低层深厚湿层、较弱的对流抑制能量及中等到强的垂直风切变的背景条件下,低层冷空气的侵入最终触发了本次过程。在强降水超级单体风暴发展演变过程中,中低层较强垂直风切变的重要作用是产生水平涡管。水平涡管又在上升气流的作用下抬升为垂直涡管,最后产生垂直涡度。而通过对大气垂直涡度方程的分析发现：垂直涡管在随高度增加的上升气流的拉伸作用下,不断加强,致使上升气流更强烈旋转,水平旋转又反过来加强了上升气流。上升气流与水平涡旋持续不断的正反馈机制是形成中气旋的重要原因。     

黔北一次下击暴流事件成因及雷达回波特征分析

利用地面自动站资料、探空资料、多普勒雷达观测资料以及ERA5逐时再分析资料对2021年5月15日发生在黔北的一次下击暴流事件成因及雷达回波特征进行分析。结果表明：（1）本次过程发生在500hPa槽前、西南低涡南侧、中低空急流北侧和地面锋前热低压内的大范围上升区内,地面辐合线是重要的触发机制。（2）大气为上干下湿不稳定状态,中等到强的垂直风切变维持,环境温度垂直递减率较大,低层有冷空气入侵,下沉气流接地时与周围大气形成10℃以上的温差,导致气流强烈辐散最终产生大风。（3）过程由多单体风暴引发,具有弓形回波、三体散射长钉、回波悬垂等结构特征,回波核强度在65dBz以上,大风出现时强回波核迅速降落。（4）大风发生前,风暴前侧有一支由前向后的斜升气流与后侧入流气流形成中层径向辐合（MARC）,大风出现时,低层有小尺度辐散区域,随后辐散尺度扩大,风速切变减小,大风强度减弱。     

“中国天然氧吧”品牌效益评估指标体系构建与应用——以江西省乐安县为例

开展“中国天然氧吧”品牌效益评估,对推动生态产品价值转换具有重要意义。运用层次分析法从生态效益、经济效益、社会效益三个方面构建了“中国天然氧吧”品牌效益评估指标体系,并细化为23个具体指标。结合模糊综合评价法,以江西省乐安县为例进行实际应用检验。结果表明：1）此效益评估体系和评估方法具有科学性和合理性,评价结果可以为政府部门合理开发旅游气候资源、推动“中国天然氧吧”品牌可持续发展提供借鉴。2）乐安县“中国天然氧吧”品牌综合效益属“良好”等级。3）针对低评分指标,提出当地政府需要加强生态环境保护规划、生态旅游开发力度和品牌宣传推广等建议。     

Zircon U–Pb Dating and Geochemistry of the Linong Granitoid and Its Relationship to Cu Mineralization in the Yangla Copper Deposit,Yunnan, China

The Yangla copper deposit (Cu reserves: 1.2 Mt) in the Jinshajiang–Lancangjiang–Nujiang region in China is spatially associated with the Linong granitoid. Zircon U–Pb dating shows the granitoid formed at 234.1 ± 1.2 to 235.6 ± 1.2 Ma, and the KT2 ore body of the deposit yields a molybdenite Re–Os model age of 230.9 ± 3.2 Ma. The ages of mineralization and crystallization of the granitoid are identical within the measurement uncertainties, suggesting the Yangla deposit is genitically related to the Indosinian Linong granitoid.     

GPU-accelerated iterative solutions for finite element analysis of soil–structure interaction problems

Soil–structure interaction problems are commonly encountered in engineering practice, and the resulting linear systems of equations are difficult to solve due to the significant material stiffness contrast. In this study, a novel partitioned block preconditioner in conjunction with the Krylov subspace iterative method symmetric quasiminimal residual is proposed to solve such linear equations. The performance of these investigated preconditioners is evaluated and compared on both the CPU architecture and the hybrid CPU–graphics processing units (GPU) computing environment. On the hybrid CPU–GPU computing platform, the capability of GPU in parallel implementation and high-intensity floating point operations is exploited to accelerate the iterative solutions, and particular attention is paid to the matrix–vector multiplications involved in the iterative process. Based on a pile-group foundation example and a tunneling example, numerical results show that the partitioned block preconditioners investigated are very efficient for the soil–structure interaction problems. However, their comparative performances may apparently depend on the computer architecture. When the CPU computer architecture is used, the novel partitioned block symmetric successive over-relaxation preconditioner appears to be the most efficient, but when the hybrid CPU–GPU computer architecture is adopted, it is shown that the inexact block diagonal preconditioners embedded with simple diagonal approximation to the soil block outperform the others.     

Quantifying time lag of epikarst-spring hydrograph response to rainfall using correlation and spectral analyses

Understanding spring-flow characteristics in karst areas is very important for efficient utilization of water resources. The time lag of a spring-hydrograph response to rainfall is related to karst hydrogeological properties such as thickness, porosity and hydraulic conductivity. The length of the time lag can be determined based on results of the time-series analysis. However, some approaches, with different identifying indicators, give different lengths of the time lag. In this study, the flow-discharge series of two hillslope springs located in a karst area of southwest China were used to compute lengths of the time lag. The thickness and porosity of the epikarst-zone fractures on the two hillslopes were estimated based on a ground-penetrating radar investigation and field measurement. Based on comparison of lengths of the time lag computed by auto- and cross-correlation analyses, the identifying indicators of the time lag were classified into three types for measuring short, intermediate and long-term responses of the spring hydrograph to rainfall. The study also reveals that the time lag of spring-hydrograph response to rainfall in the thick epikarst zone is much longer than that in the thin epikarst zone.     

微动物探方法探测采空区

采空区探测通常采用瞬变电磁法与地震勘探方法,前者采用人工电场,后者采用人工震源,但二者施工难度大,数据采集也困难.微动探测是从台阵微动记录的垂直分量中提取瑞利波相速度频散曲线,再通过对频散曲线的反演估算地下介质S波速度,利用其低速异常解释采空区.以铜川东坡煤矿某区的探测为例,在煤层埋深50m左右、微动探测深度100m的情况下,即解释的采空区与地面电法解释的结果高度一致.     

阿拉善高原近60年的气候变化

阿拉善高原处于季风边缘区,生态环境极其脆弱,对气候干湿变化的响应极为敏感。利用近60a的逐月气温和降水量资料,采用非参数Mann-Kendall和Mann-whitney阶段性转换检验方法,分析了其变化趋势。结果表明,研究区气温在1988年前后发生突变,在该跃点后的19882010年的平均气温比19551987年要高1℃以上,有明显的增温趋势。而年降水量则无明显的增加趋势,尽管部分站点在1991年前后有微弱的增加迹象,但是区域尺度的降水突变还不存在,气候仍以暖干化为主,暂不能得出气候向暖湿转变的结论。     

遥感考古在安徽的实践

为了查清寿春古城以及皖南土墩墓和台形遗址的范围和分布规律，1987年和1996年分另4对这两个地区进行了遥感考古，不仅达到了预期目的并发现了皖南西周时期古城址，获得多项重要成果，展示出遥感考古优势和良好的发展前景。通过实践，无论是对局部小区域还是对大范围的遥感考古，都取得一定经验。在此基础上，逐渐探索出一套适合安徽特点的遥感考古工作方法，为在安徽考古和文物保护工作中系统地开展遥感考古创造了条件。