地震重点监视防御区县级行政单元地震危险性的差异统计及其分类管理的建议

本文利用GIS技术,将全国地震重点监视防御区(重防区)县级行政单元边界分别与中华人民共和国地震动峰值加速度图和中国及邻区地震区带和潜在震源区划分图叠加,对各县分别计算了如下4个地震危险性指标:(1)县境内最高地震动峰值加速度等级;(2)县境内面积比例最大的地震动峰值加速度等级;(3)县境内最高潜在震源区震级上限等级;(4)县境内面积比例最大的潜在震源区震级上限等级.通过分类统计全国重防区县级行政单元的地震危险性分布,得到的结论是:虽然同为重防区但各地的地震危险性相差巨大.据此,建议根据地震危险性的不同在重防区采取如下措施:第一,不论是何种类型的重防区,均应按中国地震动参数区划图对新建工程做抗震设防,对已有建筑做抗震加固;第二,位于高地震危险性的区域,特别是位于具7级以上潜在地震危险的重防区,要加强与防灾有关的应急准备、城市规划、地震监测预报、地震应急响应等专门措施.     

VOLUMETRIC SEDIMENT CONCENTRATION IN DEBRIS FLOWS

1　ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮ　Ｄｅｂｒｉｓｆｌｏｗｓｏｃｃｕｒｗｈｅｎｒａｉｎｓｔｏｒｍｓｏｒｔｈｅｅｌｅｖａｔｉｏｎｏｆｕｎｄｅｒｇｒｏｕｎｄｗａｔｅｒｌｅｖｅｌｃａｕｓｅｌｏｏｓｅｄｅｐｏｓｉｔｓｏｒｐｅｔｒｉｆｉｅｄｏｂｊｅｃｔｓｓｕｃｈａｓｐ?..     

苍山5.2Ms级地震前后地震前兆综合危险度的变化

地震前兆综合危险度是以系统论为基础的一种综合地震预报的新方法。利用山东省每年年底的地震会商报告给出的地震前兆异常,而不是取震后的震例总结或论文给出的异常,通过“专家系统”的思想,对每一异常事件进行综合评估,计算出无量纲的、归一化的地震前兆综合危险度,分析了１９９５年９月２０日山东苍山５２Ｍｓ级地震前综合危险度的变化特征。震前综合危险度出现了一次明显的高值异常变化,震后危险度很快下降恢复到正常水平。     

用GPS复测结果计算地应变

详细地叙述了用ＧＰＳ和应变数据计算地壳水平速度和水平应变率的方法,这一方法满足变形协调性条件。用全国和大华北地区ＧＰＳ网的多期观测数据进行了试算,获得了一系列地壳水平运动和应变率场分布的图像。根据这些计算结果,可以初步得出如下结论：（１）ＧＰＳ能够有效地监测现今地壳运动和形变的信息;（２）所述的计算方法是有效的,其计算结果比直接测量结果提供了更多的有关现今地壳运动和形变的信息。     

Nonlinear analysis for the coupled problem of temperature and seepage fields in cold regions tunnels

The govrrning differential equations of the coupled problem of temperature and seepage fields with phase change are first derived from the theory of heat transfer and the theory of seepage. The finite element formulae of this problem are obtained from Galerkin’ s method. And considering the seepage influence, an illustrative example of the temperature field in a cold-region tunnel is provided. The example shows that the influence of seepage on the frozen depth of the tunnel is very great, and thus the effect of the seepage factor should be taken into account in the engineering design     

A Sensitive and Versatile Multiplex PCR System for the Rapid Detection of Enterotoxigenic (ETEC), Enterohaemorrhagic (EHEC) and Enteropathogenic (EPEC) Strains of Escherichia coli

Although Escherichia coli is widely distributed in the marine environment, only a small percentage are pathogenic to humans. Nonetheless, the widespread occurrence of waterborne infections of E. coli origin in humans has become one of the major health problems worldwide. To date, several types of enterovirulent E. coli have been recognized as the aetiologic agents of various gastrointestinal infections in humans. The most commonly encountered are those belonging to the enterotoxigenic (ETEC), enteroinvasive (EIEC), enterohaemorrhagic (EHEC) and enteropathogenic (EPEC) subtypes. In order to better determine the health risks that are associated with exposure to some of these specific subtypes, we have developed a very sensitive multiplex PCR system for the rapid detection and typing of ETEC, EHEC and possibly EPEC strains of E. coli in the aquatic environment. The target genes chosen for this investigation included: the PHO-A housekeeping gene (present in all E. coli); the LT1, LT2 and ST1 genes of ETEC; the VT1 and VT2 verotoxin, and EAE virulence genes of EHEC and EPEC, respectively. Six pairs of oligonucleotide primers were designed to simultaneously amplify internal fragments of these genes by multiplex PCR to generate PCR products that could be analysed and confirmed with relative ease by gel electrophoresis and HincII enzyme digestion. The results showed that the six sets of PCR primers were highly specific for their target genes and produced specific amplimers of the expected size from several control strains of E. coli – ATCC 35401 (LT1+/ST1+); SA53 (LT2+/VT2+); and O157 (VT1+/VT2+/EAE+). The detection sensitivity of the multiplex PCR system for the six target genes in an E. coli cell mixture was optimized and enhanced by preincubating serially diluted cells in Luria-Bertani broth for 6 h prior to PCR analysis. The results obtained indicated a detection sensitivity of 10° CFU (of each strain) per 100 μl reaction. Multiplex PCR analysis of seawater samples collected from four sewage-polluted sites in Hong Kong indicated the presence in all four samples of E. coli bacteria that were positive for LT1, ST1, VT1 and EAE virulence genes. Overall, the data indicated that the multiplex PCR system described in this study is a potentially very useful and powerful method for routine monitoring and risk assessment of water quality.     

Numerical Investigation of the Somali Jet Interaction with the Western Ghat Mountains

—Several major features of the interaction of the Somali jet with the Western Ghat Mountains have been observed. These include a pressure ridge, strong vertical motions, and occurrences of highly reflective cloud and heavy rainfall rates along the west coast of India. A triple nested regional weather prediction model has been used to investigate the dynamic interaction between the Somali jet and the Western Ghat Mountains. Two numerical experiments were conducted; one with the topography of western India and the other without. In the experiment without topography, the Western Ghat Mountains were removed from the innermost domain. The results for the innermost domain in the two experiments were analyzed and compared. The results from the simulation with topography captured several of the observed features of the Somali jet interaction with the Western Ghat Mountains. The simulation without topography failed to reveal these features. The results suggest that the blocking effect of the Western Ghats plays an important role in the prediction of the rainfall over the west coast of India.     

T形截面柱的非线性分析

编制了适用于任意截面的钢筋混凝土压弯构件截面的弯矩—曲率非线性分析程序。在此基础上,计算了考虑非线性变形的异形柱弯矩—曲率关系,并研究了翼缘、轴压比等因素对异形柱强度和延性的影响,可作为异形柱研究的参考依据。     

阴雨天气对海南数字地震台网的影响及防范

海南省夏秋为雷雨季节,日照充足,冬春两季阴雨天多,绵绵细雨。通过对各子台故障情况统计分析,掌握阴雨天气对海南数字地震台网的影响特征,并介绍一些防范措施。     

多维地震动各方向相关性对拱坝动应力的影响

本文将随机振动的虚拟激励法与拱坝-地基动力相互作用FE-BE-IBE时域模型结合，发展了一个可以考虑多维随机地震动作用下的拱坝动力响应计算模型，并用Monte Garlo方法对模型进行了验证，计算结果表明，地震动分量的相关性对结构的动力响应存在一定影响，合理考虑地震动各方向分量的相关性可以更好地计算实际地震作用下的拱坝动力响应。