差动输出型力平衡加速度传感器设计与噪声测试

改进力平衡加速度传感器的机械设计和电路设计,使其幅频特性、动态范围、噪声等性能具有较大提升,且稳定性较好。该产品的实际测试结果证明其动态范围达到130 dB,能够满足强震动监测需求。     

所罗门群岛及周边海域M≥7.4级地震时空对称性分析

对重大自然灾害趋势判断的时空对称分析方法进行总结,利用该方法研究了所罗门群岛俯冲带强震的时空变化特征,对该区的未来强震做出趋势判断。结果表明:1强震活动与区域地质活动关系密切,历史强震均发生在俯冲带一侧。2强震活动在时间分布上具有可公度性。所罗门群岛地区在2015年发生7.4级以上地震的信号较强,蝴蝶结构图表明2015年发生M≥7.4级强震的概率为46.7%,不漏报水平43.75%。3在空间分布上,强震震中呈东西对称跃移,且具有沿板块边界运动的特点。震中跃移具有规律的经纬对称性和经纬同步性,在经度上以160°E为对称轴摆动,在纬度上以10°S为对称轴上下摆动。根据震中跃移的空间对称和最小作用量原理判断,下一次地震的震中位置在纬度上可能逼近9.5°S以北位置,在经度上可能逼近160°E以西的位置。     

Control of differential tectonic evolution on petroleum occurrence in Bohai Bay Basin

The Bohai Bay Basin(BBB)is the most petroliferous Cenozoic basin in the east of China.It consists of seven depressions.Each depression has been subjected to different stress states and then has experienced varying faulting processes since the Neogene,especially during the Neotectonism(from the Pliocene to the present).On the basis of the investigation of fault patterns,fault densities and fault activity rates(FARs)for each depression,this paper demonstrates the discrepancy of faulting development and evolution across the BBB.The dynamic mechanism for the differences in faulting is also discussed by the analysis of the regional stress state.The Bozhong Depression is just situated in the transtensional zone induced by the two active strike-slip faults,namely Yingkou-Weifang and Beijing-Penglai.In this depression,the major faults which cut through the Paleogene or the Cenozoic have had higher than 10 m/Ma FARs since the Neogene,and the highest FARs have reached or exceeded 25 m/Ma during the Neotectonism.As a result,most of the petroleum has migrated along these major faults and accumulated within the Neogene.In contrast,in the other depressions of the BBB away from the Bozhong Depression,the FARs of the major faults were decreased to lower than 10 m/Ma since the Neogene,and tended to be zero during the Neotectonism.Therefore,the major faults could not serve as vertical conduits for petroleum migration,and the petroleum was entrapped in the Paleogene.Consequently,the faulting since the Neogene,especially during the Neotectonism,controlled the petroleum richness in vertical strata.     

基于拟准检定的实时单站GPS提取同震速度的改进算法研究

提出了一种基于拟准检定的实时单站GPS载波相位观测数据历元间差分提取同震速度的改进算法.改进算法将实时高频历元差分数据质量控制作为同震速度准确提取的重要保障,对原始高频数据中的小周跳和粗差十分敏感,且能够有效地估计小周跳和粗差,从而抵抗它们对同震速度估计的不良影响;另外,改进算法还简化了数据处理流程,也使得利用广播星历单站提取同震速度、监测地震形变的算法更为稳健.选取了2011年3月11日日本大地震距离震中140 km的MIZU站1 Hz高频GPS观测数据和广播星历来测试改进算法.结果表明：拟准检定法具有更好的小周跳与粗差自动定位和估计性能,改进算法利用广播星历求得的同震速度与事后动态精密单点定位结果表现出很好的一致性.     

Modeling soil erosion using a spatially distributed model in a karst catchment of northwest Guangxi,China

Reliable assessment of the spatial distribution of soil erosion is important for making land management decisions, but it has not been thoroughly evaluated in karst geo‐environments. The objective of this study was to modify a physically based, spatially distributed erosion model, the revised Morgan, Morgan and Finney (RMMF) model, to estimate the superficial (as opposed to subsurface creep) soil erosion rates and their spatial patterns in a 1022 ha karst catchment in northwest Guangxi, China. Model parameters were calculated using local data in a raster geographic information system (GIS) framework. The cumulative runoff on each grid cell, as an input to the RMMF model for erosion computations, was computed using a combined flow algorithm that allowed for flow into multiple cells with a transfer grid considering infiltration and runoff seepage to the subsurface. The predicted spatial distributions of soil erosion rates were analyzed relative to land uses and slope zones. Results showed that the simulated effective runoff and annual soil erosion rates of hillslopes agreed well with the field observations and previous quantified redistribution rates with caesium‐137 (¹³⁷Cs). The estimated average effective runoff and annual erosion rate on hillslopes of the study catchment were 18 mm and 0.27 Mg ha^?1 yr^?1 during 2006–2007. Human disturbances played an important role in accelerating soil erosion rates with the average values ranged from 0.1 to 3.02 Mg ha^?1 yr^?1 for different land uses. The study indicated that the modified model was effective to predict superficial soil erosion rates in karst regions and the spatial distribution results could provide useful information for developing local soil and water conservation plans. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

广东省地震前兆台网中心(ADP系统)的构成和功能

介绍了广东省ADP数字地震前兆综合观测台网中心系统的构成、功能以及运行情况。     

Relationship between the transition frequency of local fluid flow and the peak frequency of attenuation

Local fluid flow (LFF) at the mesoscopic scale is the main dissipation mechanism of seismic waves in heterogeneous porous media within the seismic frequency band. LFF is easily influenced by the structure and boundary conditions of the porous media, which leads to different behaviors of the peak frequency of attenuation. The associated transition frequency can provide detailed information about the trend of LFF; therefore, research on the transition frequency of LFF and its relationship with the peak frequency of the corresponding attenuation (i.e., inverse of quality factor) facilitates the detailed understanding of the effect of inner structures and boundary conditions in porous media. In this study, we firstly obtain the transition frequency of fluid flux based on Biot’s theory of poroelasticity and the fast Fourier transform algorithm in a sample containing one repeating unit cell (RUC). We then analyze changes of these two frequencies in porous media with different porous properties. Finally, we extend our analysis to the influence of the undrained boundary condition on the transition frequency and peak frequency in porous media with multiple RUCs. This setup can facilitate the understanding of the effect from the undrained boundary condition. Results demonstrate that these two frequencies have the same trend at low water saturation, but amplitude variations differ between the frequencies as the amount of saturation increases. However, for cases of high water saturation, both the trend and the amplitude variation of these two frequencies fit well with each other.     

2℃温升目标下排放空间及路径的不确定性分析

国际社会已就2℃温升目标达成政治共识。将温升目标向累积排放及各国减排目标转换的过程需要基于一致的科学认知。但由于目前地球系统模式、减排路径及减排方案的研究仍然存在不确定性,缺乏建立政治共识所需的科学基础。通过谈判形成一个自上而下的国际气候制度的决策基础尚不具备。目前最有效和务实的方案仍是各国自下而上加大减排力度,并不断进行评估,促进各国持续加强减排力度,最终公平地承担减排义务。     

对称性与西藏南部Ms≥6.6级地震趋势判断

在掌握西藏南部(26°～32°N,78°～98°E)19次历史地震数据后,从时间对称性方面研究该区域历史地震发生规律,分析未来地震发生的可能时间,从而为西藏地震灾害的监测提供一定的依据。从三元、四元和五元可公度信息提取法和蝴蝶结构法进行分析,得出未来10年内,西藏南部Ms≥6.6级地震的信号在2012年、2013年和2015年较强,有发生6.6级以上地震的可能。     

Coupled dynamic analysis for wave interaction with a truss spar and its mooring line/riser system in time domain

A full time-domain analysis program is developed for the coupled dynamic analysis of offshore structures. For the hydrodynamic loads, a time domain second order method is developed. In this approach, Taylor series expansions are applied to the body surface and free-surface boundary conditions, and the Stokes perturbation procedure is then used to establish the corresponding boundary value problems with time-independent boundaries. A higher-order boundary element method (HOBEM) is developed to calculate the velocity potential of the resulting flow field at each time step. The free-surface boundary condition is satisfied to the second order by fourth order Adams–Bashforth–Moultn method. An artificial damping layer is adopted on the free surface to avoid the wave reflection. The mooring-line/tendon/riser dynamics are based on the rod theory and the finite element method (FEM), with the governing equations described in a global coordinate system. In the coupled dynamic analysis, the motion equation for the hull and dynamic equations for mooring-lines/tendons/risers are solved simultaneously using the Newmark method. The coupled analysis program is applied for a truss Spar motion response simulation. Numerical results including motions and tensions at the top of mooring-lines/risers are presented, and some significant conclusions are derived.